Bobby Miller P Oklahoma City Comets
Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150141vR 132
ERA5.28
FIP5.36
K%21.7%
BB%13.9%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP73
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP
K: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -4.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -4.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +5.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: -0.45 (73 IP)-0.5WAR
-0.4-0.4-0.62628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.6
Whiff%
p3923.7%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.396
SI (22%)
CU (28%)
CH (14%)
SL (9%)
FB-3.0 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202122MIX2 levels1714562307013282%3.322.9%6.7%16.2%0.8%2.402.44
202122MIX2 levels1714562307013282%3.330.4%5.7%24.8%0.9%2.401.77
202223MIX2 levels2423112469145371296%4.725.5%8.6%16.8%3.0%4.253.70
202223MIX2 levels2423112469145371296%4.730.9%7.9%23.0%2.6%4.252.90
202324MIX2 levels26261395661313814100%5.322.9%6.8%16.1%2.6%3.963.47+3.1
202324MIX2 levels26261395661313814100%5.323.1%6.7%16.4%2.5%3.963.35+3.3
202425MIX3 levels212189411795018100%4.219.1%12.6%6.4%5.1%7.585.90-0.8
202425MIX3 levels212189411795018100%4.219.2%12.2%7.1%4.4%7.585.64-0.5
202526MIX2 levels37159643790611341%2.617.9%15.4%2.5%3.2%6.025.32-0.0
202526MIX2 levels37159643790611341%2.620.6%14.0%6.6%3.0%6.024.90+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBLAD884920745297100%6.121.7%13.9%7.7%3.6%5.285.36-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBLAD121271299654211100%5.921.6%14.1%7.5%3.7%5.385.45-0.6
202829MLBLAD111168286604111100%6.221.0%14.3%6.7%3.8%5.525.61-0.7
202728MLBLAD884519041277100%5.621.6%14.1%7.5%3.7%5.385.45-0.5
202829MLBLAD885021144308100%6.221.0%14.3%6.7%3.8%5.525.61-0.6
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career535228111942641204698%5.322.1%10.1%12.0%3.9%5.444.63+2.5
/ 200 IP3837200850188853398%5.322.1%10.1%12.0%3.9%5.444.63+1.8
Career1259949221134582136679%3.921.7%10.1%11.6%3.1%4.904.26+6.5
/ 200 IP5140200859186872779%3.921.7%10.1%11.6%3.1%4.904.26+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Bobby Miller (OGILVIE) 5.36 21.7%13.9%3.6% 5.53 21.3%7.1%139 +0.17
Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 4.42 102 59
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 27 SP 4.85 21.5%10.9%4.0%.275 3.47 171 57
Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP 26 SP- 5.05 19.3%12.3%3.7%.291 3.81 171 57
Darien Smith R 2025 · 4.67 FIP 26 SP- 4.67 19.0%12.9%2.8%.212 3.47 102 57
Kyle Wright R 2026 · 4.41 FIP 27 SP- 4.41 21.9%11.0%3.2%.354 5.32 20.2%4.7%13 +0.91 3.32 669 56
Shelby Miller R 2026 · 5.68 FIP 27 SP- 5.68 24.1%10.1%6.1%.404 4.86 19.0%5.2%102 -0.82 2.93 694 56
Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 5.49 FIP 27 SP- 5.49 19.6%13.6%4.2%.330 6.70 15.2%5.2%69 +1.21 3.69 333 56
Matt Frisbee R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 27 SP 4.36 18.3%14.3%1.8%.369 4.07 463 55
Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP 27 SP- 5.35 20.5%15.1%3.8%.292 3.91 21.8%11.4%79 -1.44 3.04 341 55
Logan Martin R 2024 · 5.68 FIP 25 SP- 5.68 20.8%12.7%5.0%.254 3.93 223 54
Austin Bergner R 2026 · 5.40 FIP 27 SP 5.40 22.3%13.6%4.5%.325 4.40 18.7%7.0%107 -1.00 4.00 464 54
Trent Sellers R 2025 · 5.09 FIP 26 SP- 5.09 23.5%14.2%4.0%.336 3.39 236 54
Tony Gonsolin R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 27 SP 4.55 27.2%14.2%3.5%.250 4.09 21.7%13.9%233 -0.46 2.06 688 54
Noah Song R 2025 · 6.24 FIP 26 SP 6.24 12.0%13.2%4.5%.239 4.28 17.8%4.6%85 -1.96 3.62 106 54
Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 26 SP- 4.24 17.5%10.9%2.3%.393 4.44 9.2%3.9%53 +0.20 4.24 166 54
Chad Kuhl R 2026 · 5.27 FIP 27 SP- 5.27 22.3%14.2%4.1%.231 4.80 18.8%8.0%256 -0.47 3.93 983 54
Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP 27 SP- 4.17 18.2%9.8%2.5%.336 4.33 17.2%9.3%110 +0.16 3.46 572 53
Nick Fraze R 2026 · 5.29 FIP 27 SP- 5.29 14.9%11.8%3.6%.318 3.81 278 53
Jack Weisenburger R 2027 · 5.11 FIP 28 SP- 5.11 18.6%13.5%3.4%.295 3.06 128 53
Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP 27 SP- 5.36 14.3%14.1%3.1%.310 4.76 16.9%7.3%200 -0.60 4.76 247 52

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36321.4%14.1%1.425.40
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Michael Kopech ('24)49626.1%12.5%1.454.15
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78