Will Frizzell — OGILVIE

Will Frizzell1B Wilmington Blue Rocks

Age 27 L/R 6'3" / 225 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 136 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .280 / .319

PA10

HR0

K%35

BB%10

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	34	32	10	3	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	312	353	500	853	188	360	18	3	376	141	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2022	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	155	138	52	11	0	11	13	35	1	0	0	377	434	696	1.130	319	432	23	8	477	209	+20	+0	—	—	+3	2.4
2022	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	39	32	14	4	0	0	6	6	1	0	0	438	538	562	1.101	125	538	15	15	490	218	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	25	25	5	0	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		312	36	0	181	9	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	86	71	11	2	0	1	14	31	1	1	0	155	302	225	528	70	256	36	16	260	62	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	309	246	59	11	2	9	54	70	9	0	0	240	395	411	805	171	299	23	17	368	135	+13	+0	—	—	+7	2.0
2024	25	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	110	13	2	0	0	17	49	1	2	0	118	242	136	379	18	206	38	13	193	17	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	34	32	7	2	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	219	265	375	640	156	276	26	3	258	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	155	142	42	9	0	8	9	51	1	0	0	296	342	528	870	232	376	33	6	367	135	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2022	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	39	34	11	3	0	0	4	9	1	0	0	324	410	412	822	88	426	23	10	358	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	86	75	10	2	0	1	10	38	1	1	0	133	244	200	444	67	232	44	12	194	17	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	24	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	309	265	54	10	2	8	35	96	9	0	0	204	317	347	664	143	283	31	11	294	85	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.1
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	116	10	1	0	0	11	67	1	2	0	86	172	95	267	9	192	52	8	138	-20	-19	+0	—	—	+3	-1.6
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	34	32	7	2	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	219	265	375	640	156	273	26	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	34	32	10	3	0	1	1	6	1	0	0	312	353	500	853	188	360	18	3	376	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	219	200	60	13	0	10	14	68	2	0	0	300	352	515	867	215	400	31	6	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	219	195	71	15	0	11	19	50	2	0	0	364	426	610	1.036	246	438	23	9	446	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	395	341	64	12	2	9	44	134	10	1	0	188	299	314	613	126	278	34	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	395	317	70	13	2	10	68	101	10	1	0	221	375	369	744	148	291	26	17	345	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	116	10	1	0	0	11	67	1	2	0	86	172	95	267	9	196	52	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	110	13	2	0	0	17	49	1	2	0	118	242	136	379	18	206	38	13	193	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	34	32	7	2	0	1	1	9	1	0	0	219	265	375	640	156	276	26	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	219	201	60	13	0	10	14	68	2	0	0	299	352	512	864	214	386	31	6	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	395	338	64	12	2	9	44	134	10	1	0	189	299	317	615	127	272	34	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	117	10	1	0	0	11	67	1	2	0	85	172	94	266	9	192	52	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	395	338	64	12	2	9	44	134	10	1	0	189	299	317	615	127	272	34	11	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	130	117	10	1	0	0	11	67	1	2	0	85	172	94	266	9	192	52	8	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		288	40	10	275	72	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	WSH	26%	207	183	37	7	1	5	20	71	2	3	1	202	288	333	621	131	287	34	10	278	75	-6	+0	-1	-4	+4	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	WSH	26%	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	286	35	9	268	75	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	54	48	9	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	188	278	292	569	104	286	35	9	268	73	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	108	24	0	12	60	229	12	12	0	187	277	291	568	104	285	35	9	268	73	-20	+2	-2	-12	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	995	881	179	35	3	25	91	353	16	6	1	203	289	335	624	132	303	35	9	276	73	-7	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	117	23	2	16	59	231	10	4	1	203	288	333	622	130	303	36	9	276	73	-20	+1	-2	-12	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Frizzell (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	192/280/319	126	288	3	2	35%	10%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→45	49→50	44	191/275/317	127	288	13	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	242/306/403	161	300	18	9	25%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/428	176	300	20	6	22%	7%	107	+1.0
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA	27	39→40	48→55	44→45	40	198/264/342	144	302	16	8	38%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/315	104	316	10	11	33%	9%	77	-0.3	170/300/233	63	264	8	11	34%	12%	60	-0.3
✕Matt Skole 2015 · AA	26	40→41	46→50	48→40	48	204/283/333	129	280	14	5	31%	10%	76	-0.4	197/265/330	133	253	16	3	28%	8%	68	-1.0	186/253/322	137	230	17	2	27%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→41	42→45	51→50	41	177/263/272	95	295	11	13	41%	9%	55	-2.0	208/301/333	125	331	13	13	37%	10%	82	+0.0	220/323/371	151	334	16	13	35%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2023 · AAA	27	42→49	49→50	52→50	43	214/277/367	153	293	16	8	32%	8%	80	-0.1	219/283/349	130	311	12	12	31%	8%	78	-0.3	218/283/331	113	310	10	13	31%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Rhett Wiseman 2021 · AA	27	37→44	49→50	46→45	37	194/254/339	144	289	17	8	38%	6%	65	-1.2	199/250/316	117	327	12	7	41%	5%	59	-1.7	172/220/283	111	291	12	3	43%	4%	37	-1.7
✕Josh Ockimey 2022 · AAA	26	38→45	47→50	44→30	48	191/286/323	132	288	16	3	37%	11%	75	-0.5	202/288/337	135	299	15	6	34%	11%	78	-0.3	180/275/317	137	258	15	3	34%	11%	67	-0.9
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	39→38	47→50	50→55	38	197/263/340	143	289	14	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	200/262/323	123	290	14	24	34%	6%	65	-1.2	188/254/295	106	273	12	30	34%	6%	53	-1.5
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→38	48→55	48→40	41	203/273/350	148	268	16	5	30%	6%	76	-0.4	213/275/371	158	267	19	4	27%	7%	82	-0.0	212/274/375	163	259	21	2	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Josh Lester 2021 · AAA	27	39→42	46→55	47→40	42	203/256/332	129	262	14	3	28%	6%	65	-1.2	206/253/381	175	265	22	5	31%	6%	76	-0.4	198/244/371	173	249	22	4	31%	5%	67	-0.9
✕Donald Lutz 2016 · MLB	27	43→49	45→50	53→45	38	215/265/343	128	294	12	8	31%	5%	70	-0.8	203/252/288	85	322	8	9	37%	5%	52	-2.2	165/206/211	46	282	4	2	41%	4%	15	-1.9
✕Roger Kieschnick 2014 · MLB	27	44→46	49→50	49→45	41	219/274/372	153	302	15	6	32%	7%	80	-0.1	205/252/340	135	282	15	6	32%	6%	65	-1.2	191/234/319	128	258	15	5	32%	5%	50	-1.7
✕Deik Scram 2011 · AAA	27	40→50	46→50	53→50	44	203/272/339	136	279	13	13	31%	8%	72	-0.7	213/292/342	129	305	11	10	31%	9%	80	-0.1	208/300/341	134	297	10	4	31%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Jordan Qsar 2023 · AAA	27	39→37	52→55	52→50	38	195/268/363	168	324	20	13	44%	8%	77	-0.3	205/286/348	143	334	16	15	40%	9%	80	-0.1	183/285/318	135	294	16	20	39%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	47→45	42	191/262/331	140	285	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	192/256/321	129	288	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕John-Ford Griffin 2007 · AAA	27	40→38	48→50	45→40	42	210/263/352	142	269	17	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	216/274/364	148	281	16	5	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/273/357	145	276	15	4	28%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Dustin Geiger 2019 · AA	27	38→47	45→50	46→40	39	195/256/312	118	283	13	6	35%	6%	60	-1.6	206/271/321	115	330	11	7	38%	7%	68	-1.0	166/240/282	116	284	11	0	42%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Mike Costanzo 2011 · AAA	27	44→47	44→45	49→40	41	214/271/333	119	302	11	6	32%	7%	70	-0.8	211/271/338	127	298	12	4	31%	7%	72	-0.7	204/266/329	125	285	12	2	32%	8%	66	-0.8