Gerald Ogando
P
Norfolk Tides
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 180 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.46
FIP4.46
K%21.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 13.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 7.16 | 4.44 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 6 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.7 | 19.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 1.3% | 7.16 | 3.34 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 12 | 11 | 52 | 220 | 35 | 22 | 3 | 92% | 4.3 | 10.8% | 12.5% | -1.7% | 1.9% | 3.29 | 4.82 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL D-backs 1 | 12 | 11 | 52 | 220 | 35 | 22 | 3 | 92% | 4.3 | 15.9% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 3.29 | 3.77 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 9 | 7 | 34 | 142 | 35 | 15 | 1 | 78% | 3.8 | 16.8% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 3.18 | 3.90 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 9 | 7 | 34 | 142 | 35 | 15 | 1 | 78% | 3.8 | 24.6% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 0.7% | 3.18 | 2.75 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 3.19 | 4.49 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 31 | 136 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.8% | 6.6% | 16.2% | 2.2% | 3.19 | 3.23 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 31 | 119 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 3.23 | 5.45 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 31 | 119 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 2.5% | 3.23 | 3.49 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 57 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 17.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.48 | 5.01 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 44 | 204 | 57 | 30 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.9% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 2.0% | 5.48 | 3.73 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 36 | 0 | 50 | 218 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 0.7% | 3.58 | 3.06 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 36 | 0 | 50 | 218 | 59 | 22 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.1% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 3.58 | 2.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | 26 | 0 | 30 | 142 | 33 | 27 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.4% | 23.8% | -6.3% | 3.1% | 6.30 | 6.35 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 65 | 34 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | BAL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 100 | 438 | 98 | 61 | 10 | — | — | 22.3% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 5.01 | 5.03 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 21.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.08 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 64 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.49 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 62 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.56 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 59 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 119 | 0 | 125 | 527 | 116 | 60 | 14 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.20 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 96 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.54 | 4.20 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 165 | 18 | 289 | 1257 | 218 | 171 | 29 | 11% | 1.7 | 17.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 4.61 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 12 | 200 | 871 | 151 | 119 | 20 | 11% | 1.7 | 17.3% | 13.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.18 | 4.61 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gerald Ogando (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 2.5% | — | 4.57 | 22.0% | 10.6% | 200 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 90 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 88 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 88 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 87 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .298 | 3.09 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -1.00 | 1.97 | 682 | 86 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 86 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 86 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 86 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2025 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 85 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.51 | 21.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 156 | 85 |
| Eduard Santos R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 22.2% | 14.4% | 1.8% | .248 | 2.04 | 31.1% | 18.7% | 16 | -1.99 | 2.04 | 138 | 85 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 85 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 85 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.68 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .307 | 5.19 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 59 | +1.51 | 3.33 | 204 | 85 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .244 | 3.76 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.30 | 3.23 | 253 | 84 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 84 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 3.35 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.35 | 23.9% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.36 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 50 | +1.01 | 2.90 | 159 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 1.04 | 4.51 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |