Nick Podkul

1B Birmingham Barons

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	27	AAAPHI	220	.231/.364/.418	9	1	70	—	.187/.286/.311
2024	27	AACWS	95	.256/.358/.402	2	0	62	—	.207/.274/.333
2025	28	AACWS	92	.158/.304/.171	0	0	12	—	.136/.239/.148
2027PROJ2% MLB	30	MLBCWS	3	.202/.286/.337	0	0	76	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	31	MLBCWS	36	.200/.283/.330	1	0	73	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

BB%91

Chase%30

Z-Con%27

Whiff%21

wRC+16

wOBA14

CompsBrett Carroll (age 30) · D.J. Peterson (age 30) · Nick Gorneault (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .286 / .337

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO133

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	132	110	25	3	1	1	17	22	1	5	2	227	336	300	636	73	270	17	13	290	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	241	201	51	13	2	2	33	41	5	12	1	254	372	368	741	114	306	17	14	338	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	209	181	37	9	1	7	23	51	4	4	1	204	308	381	689	177	242	24	11	310	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	215	175	37	6	0	5	33	61	6	3	1	211	355	331	687	120	294	28	15	321	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	34	25	7	1	0	2	5	5	4	0	0	280	471	560	1.031	280	278	15	15	456	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	197	165	47	8	3	12	27	41	4	0	0	285	398	588	986	303	310	21	14	424	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	220	182	42	7	0	9	34	70	4	1	1	231	364	418	781	187	320	32	15	354	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	95	82	21	4	1	2	12	26	1	0	0	256	358	402	760	146	352	27	13	344	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	92	76	12	1	0	0	14	32	2	0	0	158	304	171	475	13	273	35	15	244	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	132	115	22	3	1	1	12	32	1	5	2	191	273	261	534	70	231	24	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	241	212	43	10	2	1	22	59	5	12	1	203	293	283	576	80	266	24	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	209	187	31	7	1	6	17	63	4	4	1	166	250	310	560	144	207	30	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	215	185	35	5	0	4	23	72	6	3	1	189	299	281	580	92	286	33	11	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	34	26	6	1	0	1	4	6	4	0	0	231	412	385	796	154	241	18	12	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	197	173	40	6	3	9	19	50	4	0	0	231	321	457	778	225	264	25	10	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	220	193	36	6	0	6	23	82	4	1	1	187	286	311	597	124	285	37	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	95	87	18	3	1	2	7	32	1	0	0	207	274	333	607	126	302	34	7	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	92	81	11	1	0	0	9	38	2	0	0	136	239	148	387	12	247	41	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	327	64	13	2	2	34	91	6	17	3	196	283	266	549	70	261	24	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	373	311	76	16	3	3	50	63	6	17	3	244	360	344	704	100	293	17	13	321	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	209	187	31	7	1	6	17	63	4	4	1	166	250	310	560	144	210	30	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	209	181	37	9	1	7	23	51	4	4	1	204	308	381	689	177	242	24	11	310	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	215	185	35	5	0	4	23	72	6	3	1	189	299	281	580	92	284	33	11	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Buffalo Bisons	—	215	175	37	6	0	5	33	61	6	3	1	211	355	331	687	120	294	28	15	321	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	231	199	45	7	3	10	23	56	8	0	0	226	330	442	773	216	261	24	10	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	231	190	54	9	3	14	32	46	8	0	0	284	409	584	993	300	305	20	14	429	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	315	279	54	9	1	8	31	114	5	1	1	194	286	319	605	125	293	36	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	315	264	63	11	1	11	46	96	5	1	1	239	362	413	775	174	331	30	15	351	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	92	81	11	1	0	0	9	38	2	0	0	136	239	148	387	12	256	41	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	—	92	76	12	1	0	0	14	32	2	0	0	158	304	171	475	13	273	35	15	244	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	373	330	64	13	2	2	34	91	6	17	3	194	283	264	547	70	254	24	9	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	209	186	31	7	1	6	17	63	4	4	1	167	250	312	562	145	207	30	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	215	184	35	5	0	4	23	72	6	3	1	190	299	283	582	92	286	33	11	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	231	198	45	7	3	10	23	56	8	0	0	227	330	444	775	217	261	24	10	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	315	276	54	9	1	8	31	114	5	1	1	196	286	322	608	127	290	36	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	92	81	11	1	0	0	9	38	2	0	0	136	239	148	387	12	247	41	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	315	276	54	9	1	8	31	114	5	1	1	196	286	322	608	127	290	36	10	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	92	81	11	1	0	0	9	38	2	0	0	136	239	148	387	12	247	41	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	2%	200	177	35	6	1	5	18	59	3	3	1	201	286	334	620	133	265	30	9	281	76	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	202	286	337	624	135	266	33	0	282	76	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	23%	157	140	28	5	1	4	14	46	2	1	1	199	282	327	609	128	263	29	9	276	73	-5	-0	-3	-3	+3	-0.8
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	23%	36	33	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	200	283	330	613	130	263	31	8	278	73	-1	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	36	33	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	0	0	182	250	303	553	121	238	31	8	278	67	-1	+0	-1	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	18	0	18	54	199	0	0	0	181	249	302	551	121	237	31	8	278	67	-21	+0	-12	-12	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1762	1548	299	53	9	38	167	530	35	29	8	193	286	313	599	120	264	30	9	268	67	-10	+0	-3	-6	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	110	20	3	14	62	196	13	11	3	193	286	312	598	119	264	30	10	268	67	-20	+0	-6	-12	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Podkul (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	200/283/331	132	265	4	3	29%	9%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→46	47→55	47→50	43	212/274/346	134	270	15	11	27%	6%	74	-0.5	204/269/335	131	275	16	10	30%	7%	70	-0.8	176/254/321	145	220	21	11	30%	8%	59	-0.9
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	43→45	48→55	50→40	41	217/276/355	138	293	16	11	31%	6%	78	-0.3	208/278/364	156	283	19	7	32%	7%	81	-0.1	175/251/330	155	229	21	1	33%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Nick Gorneault 2009 · AAA	30	42→48	49→55	45→50	44	218/277/364	145	279	17	12	28%	7%	80	-0.2	200/251/326	126	266	14	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	182/230/298	116	241	12	9	29%	5%	44	-1.9
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	42→43	50	43→40	41	220/282/374	154	273	18	5	26%	6%	84	+0.2	221/288/353	132	266	13	9	22%	6%	82	-0.0	201/273/314	113	238	10	9	20%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Dustin Peterson 2024 · AAA	29	40→50	47→45	47→45	44	208/267/339	130	263	15	5	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/332	126	290	15	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	170/226/256	86	251	12	9	36%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Matt Skole 2019 · AAA	30	37→40	47→50	46→40	44	194/259/328	134	252	15	4	29%	8%	65	-1.2	204/280/343	139	282	16	5	32%	9%	77	-0.3	186/273/327	141	252	19	0	33%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Christian Bethancourt 2022 · AAA	30	46→53	46→50	49→50	41	233/276/362	129	292	14	8	25%	5%	78	-0.3	233/268/385	152	289	19	8	26%	4%	81	-0.1	226/257/381	155	276	20	7	26%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	45→47	46→50	53→55	44	227/289/353	126	282	13	20	24%	6%	82	-0.0	216/274/336	120	278	13	17	26%	6%	72	-0.7	194/250/302	108	252	12	18	27%	6%	54	-0.7
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Jerad Head 2013 · MLB	30	43→42	50→55	50	40	224/277/378	154	271	18	9	25%	5%	84	+0.1	222/273/352	130	270	14	7	23%	5%	76	-0.4	212/258/328	116	254	13	2	22%	4%	59	-1.2
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2023 · MLB	30	38→48	46→55	48→45	43	198/267/328	130	270	14	9	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/278/368	156	262	20	8	27%	8%	81	-0.1	201/269/372	171	227	23	5	24%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Webster Rivas 2021 · AAA	30	45	43→40	48→40	44	222/275/329	107	276	11	6	24%	6%	70	-0.8	216/288/311	95	284	8	4	25%	9%	72	-0.7	207/286/285	78	273	6	1	25%	10%	63	-0.6
✕Jamie Romak 2015 · MLB	29	38→48	50→55	48→45	40	202/254/354	152	257	18	6	29%	6%	70	-0.9	214/271/389	175	291	21	7	33%	7%	84	+0.1	207/268/394	187	280	23	6	34%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	44→49	48→55	47→40	42	220/281/362	141	300	17	8	31%	7%	81	-0.1	245/300/423	178	302	22	7	26%	6%	103	+1.5	234/288/402	168	288	21	3	26%	5%	91	+0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2019 · AAA	30	46→42	48→50	47→45	42	234/288/376	142	297	16	10	27%	6%	86	+0.3	215/277/331	116	301	13	9	31%	6%	72	-0.7	184/248/269	86	259	12	4	32%	6%	46	-1.0
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2016 · AAA	30	43→45	51→55	48→50	44	222/265/387	165	249	17	9	20%	5%	80	-0.1	213/266/338	125	264	14	13	24%	7%	70	-0.9	244/291/439	195	277	29	10	24%	6%	102	+0.6
✕Justin Leone 2007 · MLB	30	41→39	47→50	43→55	46	208/280/337	128	270	15	6	28%	8%	75	-0.5	200/278/342	142	262	16	16	29%	9%	76	-0.4	181/264/322	141	235	16	19	29%	10%	65	-0.8
✕Nick Tanielu 2023 · AAA	30	40→50	44→50	48→40	45	200/258/314	115	247	11	5	24%	6%	61	-1.5	213/276/352	139	276	14	8	27%	7%	77	-0.3	188/256/351	163	241	17	2	29%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Ryan Fitzgerald 2024 · AAA	30	38→48	48→50	46→45	42	198/260/344	146	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.9	216/277/347	131	281	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	227/285/352	125	285	12	9	24%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Jaylin Davis 2023 · MLB	29	39→47	45→50	44→45	41	196/268/319	123	295	13	7	36%	8%	67	-1.1	203/282/339	136	305	15	8	36%	8%	76	-0.4	170/265/315	145	251	16	3	37%	9%	63	-0.7