Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022
22
MIXMLE
2 levels
23
23
114
467
137
29
18
100%
5.0
22.2%
7.2%
15.0%
4.3%
3.54
4.51
—
2022
22
MIXRAW
2 levels
23
23
114
467
137
29
18
100%
5.0
29.3%
6.2%
23.1%
3.9%
3.54
3.51
—
2023
23
A+MLE
Lake County Captains
18
17
80
348
90
32
14
94%
4.4
19.9%
10.6%
9.3%
4.7%
4.95
5.36
—
2023
23
A+RAW
Lake County Captains
18
17
80
348
90
32
14
94%
4.4
25.9%
9.2%
16.7%
4.0%
4.95
4.33
—
2024
24
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
9
7
39
157
35
14
4
78%
4.3
18.1%
9.8%
8.2%
3.2%
3.26
4.56
—
2024
24
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
9
7
39
157
35
14
4
78%
4.3
18.1%
9.8%
8.2%
3.2%
3.26
4.56
—
2024
24
AARAW
Akron RubberDucks
9
7
39
157
35
14
4
78%
4.3
22.3%
8.9%
13.4%
2.5%
3.26
3.72
—
2025
25
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
18
18
78
315
72
22
5
100%
4.3
18.5%
7.7%
10.8%
2.1%
2.31
3.64
—
2025
25
AAMLE
Akron RubberDucks
18
18
78
315
72
22
5
100%
4.3
18.5%
7.7%
10.8%
2.1%
2.31
3.64
—
2025
25
AARAW
Akron RubberDucks
18
18
78
315
72
22
5
100%
4.3
22.9%
7.0%
15.9%
1.6%
2.31
2.93
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
27
MLB
CLE
12
12
70
296
54
23
8
100%
5.8
18.4%
8.0%
10.4%
2.9%
4.50
4.50
+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
28
MLBMLE
CLE
11
11
68
287
54
24
9
100%
6.2
18.8%
8.2%
10.5%
3.0%
4.53
4.56
+0.3
2029
29
MLBMLE
CLE
11
11
65
274
52
23
9
100%
5.9
18.9%
8.5%
10.3%
3.1%
4.61
4.68
+0.2
2028
28
MLBCTX
CLE
4
4
26
110
21
9
3
100%
6.5
18.8%
8.2%
10.5%
3.0%
4.53
4.56
+0.1
2029
29
MLBCTX
CLE
6
6
36
152
29
13
5
100%
6.0
18.9%
8.5%
10.3%
3.1%
4.61
4.68
+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
10
10
62
260
49
22
8
100%
6.2
18.8%
8.4%
10.4%
3.0%
4.57
4.25
+0.5
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
33
33
200
844
159
71
26
100%
6.0
18.8%
8.4%
10.4%
3.0%
4.57
4.25
+1.5
Career
—
MLE
68
65
311
1287
260
110
48
96%
4.6
20.2%
8.5%
11.6%
3.7%
3.56
4.53
+0.4
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
44
42
200
828
167
71
31
96%
4.6
20.2%
8.5%
11.6%
3.7%
3.56
4.53
+0.7
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.