Miguel Pena (P, Rome Braves) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Miguel Pena P Rome Braves

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%22.4%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.3%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	15	0	25	115	13	6	0	0%	1.7	7.7%	6.5%	1.2%	0.0%	3.96	3.28	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	15	0	25	115	13	6	0	0%	1.7	11.3%	5.2%	6.1%	0.0%	3.96	2.78	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	14	0	24	114	14	7	3	0%	1.7	8.4%	7.7%	0.7%	3.7%	5.32	5.39	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	14	0	24	114	14	7	3	0%	1.7	12.3%	6.1%	6.1%	2.6%	5.32	4.45	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	9	0	14	63	14	4	1	0%	1.6	15.1%	7.9%	7.2%	2.2%	1.88	4.05	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	9	0	14	63	14	4	1	0%	1.6	22.2%	6.3%	15.9%	1.6%	1.88	2.89	—
2021	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	26	1	51	236	51	24	7	4%	1.9	16.0%	12.0%	4.0%	3.2%	5.51	5.05	—
2021	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	26	1	51	236	51	24	7	4%	1.9	21.6%	10.2%	11.4%	3.0%	5.51	4.30	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	42	173	52	16	5	0%	1.5	23.2%	10.8%	12.4%	3.5%	3.02	4.45	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	42	173	52	16	5	0%	1.5	30.1%	9.2%	20.8%	2.9%	3.02	3.32	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	46	204	56	25	5	0%	1.3	21.3%	13.8%	7.6%	3.3%	3.35	4.84	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	46	204	56	25	5	0%	1.3	21.3%	13.8%	7.6%	3.3%	3.35	4.84	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	46	204	56	25	5	0%	1.3	27.5%	12.3%	15.2%	2.5%	3.35	3.71	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.65	4.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	ATL	25	0	26	111	25	12	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.70	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	ATL	10	0	10	42	9	5	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.70	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	41	9	5	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.32	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	103	21	0%	1.1	22.4%	11.1%	11.3%	3.1%	4.66	4.32	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		128	1	201	905	149	96	26	1%	1.6	16.5%	10.6%	5.8%	2.9%	4.03	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		127	1	200	900	148	96	26	1%	1.6	16.5%	10.6%	5.8%	2.9%	4.03	4.63	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Pena (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	22.4%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.70	22.4%	11.3%	26	+0.05	—	—	—
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	84
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	83
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	83
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	83
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	83
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	83
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	82
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	82
Jose Veras R 2008 · 3.67 FIP	27	SU	3.67	24.9%	9.1%	2.8%	.281	4.10	23.8%	11.7%	169	+0.43	3.37	422	82
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.38	554	82
Greg Aquino R 2005 · 5.03 FIP	27	SU	5.03	21.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.357	4.34	22.5%	13.3%	62	-0.69	4.10	154	82
Brandon Gomes R 2011 · 3.74 FIP	27	SU	3.74	20.0%	10.0%	1.9%	.284	4.17	22.3%	15.2%	71	+0.43	3.48	190	82
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	22.4%	11.1%	1.19	4.65
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44