Francisco Morales

Francisco Morales P Reno Aces

Age 26 RHP 6'4" / 185 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%24.4%

BB%14.5%

K-BB%9.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

SL+2.7

FB-2.3

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	10	9	41	180	44	20	1	90%	4.1	16.6%	13.9%	2.7%	0.8%	3.05	3.88	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	10	9	41	180	44	20	1	90%	4.1	24.4%	11.1%	13.3%	0.6%	3.05	2.74	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	27	15	97	417	129	46	8	56%	3.6	22.9%	13.0%	9.9%	3.1%	3.82	4.51	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	27	15	97	417	129	46	8	56%	3.6	30.9%	11.0%	19.9%	1.9%	3.82	2.93	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	92	432	117	67	11	92%	3.8	22.8%	16.9%	5.9%	2.5%	6.28	4.70	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	92	432	117	67	11	92%	3.8	27.1%	15.5%	11.6%	2.5%	6.28	4.30	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	56	250	73	51	2	0%	1.2	25.2%	21.0%	4.2%	0.5%	4.98	3.88	+0.4
2022	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	56	250	73	51	2	0%	1.2	29.2%	20.4%	8.8%	0.8%	4.98	3.69	+0.6
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	27	134	40	27	4	0%	1.1	23.9%	18.7%	5.2%	3.4%	6.59	5.33	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	27	134	40	27	4	0%	1.1	23.9%	18.7%	5.2%	3.4%	6.59	5.33	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	27	134	40	27	4	0%	1.1	29.9%	20.1%	9.7%	3.0%	6.59	5.04	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	30	155	45	28	4	0%	1.1	25.2%	17.6%	7.6%	2.9%	9.20	4.78	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	0	30	155	45	28	4	0%	1.1	25.2%	17.6%	7.6%	2.9%	9.20	4.78	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	0	30	155	45	28	4	0%	1.1	29.0%	18.1%	11.0%	2.6%	9.20	4.62	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			3	0	5	21	3	6	1	0%	1.7	14.3%	28.6%	-14.3%	4.8%	7.20	8.10	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	ARI	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	24.4%	14.5%	9.9%	3.0%	4.90	4.90	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	ARI	26	0	27	114	28	16	3	0%	1.0	24.2%	14.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.87	4.88	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	11	7	1	0%	1.1	24.2%	14.0%	10.2%	3.1%	4.87	4.88	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	16	69	15	13	2	0%	1.2	21.2%	18.4%	2.8%	3.6%	5.58	5.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	0	200	843	183	158	24	0%	1.2	21.2%	18.4%	2.8%	3.6%	5.58	5.60	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		160	46	343	1568	358	257	35	29%	2.1	22.9%	16.4%	6.4%	2.3%	5.27	4.49	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	27	200	913	209	150	21	29%	2.1	22.9%	16.4%	6.4%	2.3%	5.27	4.49	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Francisco Morales (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	24.4%	14.5%	3.0%	—	4.88	24.2%	10.2%	27	-0.02	—	—	—
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	78
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	76
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	76
Sean Isaac R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	25	SW	4.20	24.2%	16.3%	2.0%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	155	75
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.30 FIP	25	SW	5.30	21.4%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	75
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	74
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	73
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	73
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	72
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	72
Gabriel Ponce R 2023 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	23.9%	14.9%	3.0%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	161	72
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	72
Jeff Ames R 2017 · 3.94 FIP	26	SU	3.94	25.1%	13.4%	2.3%	.310	4.65	25.4%	10.8%	79	+0.71	3.85	272	71
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	71
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	71
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	71
Cody Morris R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	23.1%	15.6%	3.7%	.203	3.97	22.5%	8.7%	38	-1.18	2.23	256	71
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	71
Orlando Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	26	SW	4.40	23.0%	11.9%	3.1%	.278	4.67	13.7%	3.1%	41	+0.27	4.40	119	71
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	71