Francisco Morales
P
Reno Aces
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 185 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%24.1%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
SL+2.7
FB-2.3
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 10 | 9 | 41 | 180 | 44 | 20 | 1 | 90% | 4.1 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 3.05 | 3.88 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies | 10 | 9 | 41 | 180 | 44 | 20 | 1 | 90% | 4.1 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 0.6% | 3.05 | 2.74 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 27 | 15 | 97 | 417 | 129 | 46 | 8 | 56% | 3.6 | 22.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 3.82 | 5.03 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | 27 | 15 | 97 | 417 | 129 | 46 | 8 | 56% | 3.6 | 30.9% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 1.9% | 3.82 | 2.93 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 92 | 432 | 117 | 67 | 11 | 92% | 3.8 | 22.8% | 16.9% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 6.28 | 4.42 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 92 | 432 | 117 | 67 | 11 | 92% | 3.8 | 27.1% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | 6.28 | 4.30 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 250 | 73 | 51 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.2% | 21.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 4.98 | 3.87 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 250 | 73 | 51 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.2% | 20.4% | 8.8% | 0.8% | 4.98 | 3.69 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 27 | 134 | 40 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 21.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.59 | 5.56 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 0 | 27 | 134 | 40 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.9% | 20.1% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 6.59 | 5.04 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 155 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.7% | 20.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 9.20 | 4.87 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 30 | 155 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.0% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 2.6% | 9.20 | 4.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | ARI | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ARI | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.63 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 18.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.69 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 0 | 200 | 843 | 178 | 148 | 30 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.4% | 18.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.58 | 5.69 | -0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 160 | 46 | 343 | 1568 | 363 | 266 | 36 | 29% | 2.1 | 23.1% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 5.27 | 4.57 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 27 | 200 | 913 | 211 | 155 | 21 | 29% | 2.1 | 23.1% | 17.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 5.27 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Francisco Morales (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 24.1% | 12.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.64 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 75 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 73 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 73 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 73 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 72 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.50 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.53 | 13.7% | 3.1% | 41 | +0.03 | 4.50 | 119 | 72 |
| Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 72 |
| Sean Isaac R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 155 | 72 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 72 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 72 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 275 | 72 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.89 | 25.1% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .310 | 4.58 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 79 | +0.69 | 3.89 | 272 | 71 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 71 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 71 |
| Linder Castro R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 71 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .214 | 3.04 | 25.0% | 15.3% | 55 | -0.50 | 2.59 | 156 | 71 |
| Logan Taylor R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.78 | 17.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 300 | 71 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.16 | 23.6% | 11.6% | 4.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 117 | 71 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 71 |