Israel Pineda — OGILVIE

Israel PinedaC Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 226 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .221 / .246

PA19

HR0

K%28

BB%4

ISO64

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT32

Whiff%

1020.9%

xAVG

100.089

POWER30

Avg EV

4788.9

EYE34

Chase%

1052.9%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	65	59	17	5	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	288	333	441	774	153	354	20	6	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	374	81	12	0	7	30	102	3	1	2	217	280	305	585	88	276	25	7	266	66	-17	-1	—	—	+9	-0.8
2021	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	315	293	61	11	0	14	18	83	3	0	0	208	261	389	650	181	239	26	6	288	81	-7	+0	—	—	+7	-0.0
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	31	27	8	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	296	367	370	737	74	381	23	6	327	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	26	21	2	1	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	95	269	286	555	190	77	27	19	264	65	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	103	93	26	3	0	7	9	18	0	1	0	280	343	538	881	258	275	17	9	380	144	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	271	246	65	16	2	8	22	70	1	2	2	264	327	443	770	179	335	26	8	339	115	+5	-0	—	—	+6	1.1
2022	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	34	28	5	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	179	324	250	574	71	263	26	15	280	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	107	98	15	3	0	1	7	34	1	0	0	153	217	214	431	61	219	32	7	201	22	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.8
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	40	39	8	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	205	225	308	533	103	250	25	2	237	47	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	66	59	14	2	0	2	5	15	1	0	0	237	308	373	681	136	279	23	8	303	91	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	246	40	4	0	1	14	68	0	2	0	163	208	191	399	28	218	26	5	186	12	-27	+0	—	—	+6	-2.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	65	61	13	4	1	0	2	19	0	0	0	213	238	311	550	98	282	29	3	244	51	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	19	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	384	60	8	0	5	20	145	3	1	2	156	204	216	420	60	226	35	5	189	14	-42	-1	—	—	+9	-3.4
2021	21	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	315	299	49	9	0	11	12	116	3	0	0	164	204	304	508	140	217	37	4	221	36	-24	+0	—	—	+7	-1.8
2022	22	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	26	22	2	1	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	91	231	273	503	182	67	31	15	190	15	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	103	96	24	3	0	6	6	22	0	1	0	250	294	469	763	219	257	21	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2022	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	271	253	54	13	2	5	15	94	1	2	2	213	260	340	600	126	306	35	6	260	62	-12	-0	—	—	+6	-0.7
2023	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	107	100	13	2	0	1	5	41	1	0	0	130	179	180	359	50	200	38	5	158	-7	-14	+0	—	—	+2	-1.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	40	39	7	1	0	1	1	14	0	0	0	179	200	282	482	103	233	35	2	185	11	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	251	37	4	0	1	9	82	0	2	0	147	177	175	352	28	207	31	3	155	-9	-34	+0	—	—	+6	-2.8
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	65	61	13	4	1	0	2	19	0	0	0	213	238	311	550	98	295	29	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	—	65	59	17	5	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	288	333	441	774	153	354	20	6	331	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	384	60	8	0	5	20	145	3	1	2	156	204	216	420	60	232	35	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	374	81	12	0	7	30	102	3	1	2	217	280	305	585	88	276	25	7	266	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	346	327	54	10	0	12	13	127	4	0	0	165	206	306	512	141	221	37	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	346	320	69	13	0	14	20	90	4	0	0	216	270	388	658	172	252	26	6	291	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	434	402	86	18	2	13	27	135	2	3	2	214	267	366	632	152	284	31	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	434	388	98	22	2	16	41	104	2	3	2	253	327	443	770	191	303	24	9	339	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	213	201	28	5	0	2	8	80	2	0	0	139	180	194	374	55	215	38	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	213	196	37	6	0	4	13	59	2	0	0	189	246	281	527	92	244	28	6	239	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	251	37	4	0	1	9	82	0	2	0	147	177	175	352	28	212	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	246	40	4	0	1	14	68	0	2	0	163	208	191	399	28	218	26	5	186	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	—	65	63	13	4	1	0	2	19	0	0	0	206	238	302	540	95	282	29	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	385	60	8	0	5	20	145	3	1	2	156	204	216	420	60	226	35	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	346	326	54	10	0	12	13	127	4	0	0	166	206	307	513	141	217	37	4	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	434	402	86	18	2	13	27	135	2	3	2	214	267	366	632	152	278	31	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	213	201	28	5	0	2	8	80	2	0	0	139	180	194	374	55	209	38	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	251	37	4	0	1	9	82	0	2	0	147	177	175	352	28	207	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	213	201	28	5	0	2	8	80	2	0	0	139	180	194	374	55	209	38	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	251	37	4	0	1	9	82	0	2	0	147	177	175	352	28	207	31	3	155	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	WSH	2%	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	250	26	5	213	31	-2	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	WSH	27%	300	281	53	10	1	3	14	82	2	4	1	189	232	263	496	75	254	27	5	225	38	-22	+0	-0	+5	+6	-1.0
2028	28	MLB MLE	WSH	40%	338	316	60	12	1	3	17	91	2	5	1	190	236	263	498	73	256	27	5	231	43	-23	+1	-1	+6	+7	-1.0
2029	29	MLB MLE	WSH	45%	352	328	63	12	1	4	19	95	2	5	1	192	241	271	512	79	257	27	5	234	44	-23	+1	-2	+6	+8	-1.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	WSH	27%	81	76	15	3	0	1	4	22	1	1	0	197	247	276	523	79	253	27	5	219	38	-6	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	WSH	40%	135	126	24	5	0	1	7	36	1	2	0	190	239	254	493	63	255	27	5	225	43	-9	+0	-0	+2	+3	-0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	WSH	45%	157	147	28	5	0	2	8	42	1	2	0	190	237	265	502	75	256	27	5	228	44	-10	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	373	349	67	13	0	4	19	100	3	5	0	192	240	264	504	72	255	27	5	225	33	-26	+1	-1	+7	+8	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	117	23	0	7	33	174	5	9	0	192	240	265	504	72	256	27	5	225	33	-45	+2	-2	+12	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2740	2569	457	84	6	43	130	861	17	20	7	178	222	265	488	88	246	31	5	217	33	-70	+2	-3	+18	+22	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	609	108	20	1	10	31	204	4	5	2	177	222	263	485	85	245	31	5	217	33	-45	+1	-2	+12	+14	-2.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	378	4	5	193	237	271	+7	-0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	7	9	+11.9	-0.7	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Israel Pineda (OGILVIE)	26	32	30	45	34	182/221/246	63	250	2	4	28%	4%	31	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	40	189/247/246	57	270	3	4	30%	6%	41	-3.0	210/275/282	72	284	5	5	26%	6%	60	-1.6	171/242/188	17	208	0	4	16%	6%	26	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2011 · AAA	26	38	38→40	42→40	35	189/228/264	76	260	5	5	29%	4%	38	-3.2	202/239/294	92	271	7	4	28%	4%	49	-2.4	204/236/295	91	271	8	2	27%	3%	44	-1.1
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	193/247/277	84	283	5	5	32%	4%	49	-2.4	190/240/270	80	296	6	6	36%	5%	44	-2.8	170/217/237	67	275	5	4	38%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Chad Noble 2013 · AA	25	38	35→30	43→30	39	183/226/238	56	253	2	4	28%	5%	30	-3.8	200/244/270	70	264	4	6	24%	5%	45	-2.7	193/231/248	54	246	2	2	21%	4%	33	-1.4
✕Nate Esposito 2019 · AA	26	40	35→30	48→50	39	192/241/246	54	256	3	5	25%	4%	38	-3.2	188/246/262	74	270	5	7	31%	5%	45	-2.7	137/186/185	48	192	3	3	29%	4%	3	-1.3
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	176/245/251	75	269	7	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	191/252/281	90	304	8	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	147/204/228	81	243	8	3	41%	6%	18	-0.9
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	35	-3.4	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	55	-2.0	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Travis Tartamella 2015 · AAA	27	36	36→30	43→30	37	180/221/239	60	256	5	3	31%	5%	29	-3.8	194/236/270	76	291	6	7	34%	5%	42	-2.9	153/176/185	31	255	0	0	39%	3%	-1	-1.3
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	37→40	45→40	40	178/255/248	70	259	5	5	32%	6%	46	-2.6	192/272/277	85	272	7	6	30%	7%	59	-1.7	144/248/206	63	200	4	0	27%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→38	38→40	45→50	45	194/267/268	75	278	6	14	31%	8%	54	-2.0	189/250/280	91	266	10	9	31%	6%	51	-2.3	166/228/249	83	225	11	8	31%	6%	34	-1.3
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	43	36→30	44→30	46	202/263/268	66	268	3	5	25%	7%	52	-2.2	210/273/291	81	277	6	7	24%	8%	61	-1.5	193/259/240	46	254	2	0	23%	8%	41	-0.9
✕Brandon Bantz 2013 · AAA	26	43	38→30	43→30	41	206/258/287	81	271	6	5	26%	5%	55	-2.0	211/258/298	87	280	7	5	26%	5%	57	-1.8	197/247/276	78	257	8	1	26%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	42	37→30	46→30	41	203/249/273	70	254	6	4	22%	5%	47	-2.5	208/263/281	73	264	6	5	22%	5%	55	-1.9	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	38	186/229/264	78	254	7	15	29%	5%	38	-3.2	203/241/302	99	289	8	11	31%	4%	51	-2.3	193/216/293	100	272	7	9	31%	2%	36	-1.1
✕Nick Lovullo 2019 · AA	25	42	36→30	43→40	44	200/255/263	63	257	4	5	23%	6%	47	-2.5	200/255/276	76	281	5	6	29%	6%	51	-2.3	171/225/221	49	254	3	2	32%	6%	24	-1.9
✕Pat Cantwell 2016 · AAA	26	43	37→30	42→40	41	202/265/273	71	260	4	4	23%	5%	55	-2.0	211/272/287	76	292	6	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	231/298/302	72	322	6	8	28%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Warren Schaeffer 2010 · A	25	40	38→30	48→40	38	196/238/269	74	262	5	7	27%	4%	42	-2.9	202/246/271	69	277	4	4	27%	4%	46	-2.6	191/235/246	55	264	2	2	27%	3%	33	-1.6
✕Chris Hoo 2017 · AA	25	39	36→30	43→40	43	186/252/245	59	242	4	3	24%	6%	43	-2.8	187/262/262	75	295	5	5	36%	7%	51	-2.2	132/243/172	41	258	3	3	44%	9%	24	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps