Israel Pineda — OGILVIE

Israel PinedaC Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 226 lbs AA HR -9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .237 / .274

PA250

HR4

K%32

BB%6

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

28→28

PWR

30→30

SPD

45→45

EYE

35→35

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.4peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-6M		$-23M	-$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	65	61	13	4	1	0	2	19	0	0	0	.213	.238	.311	.550	.098	.295	29	3	.244	45	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	411	386	60	8	0	6	18	140	3	1	2	.155	.199	.223	.422	.067	.222	34	4	.186	1	-46	-1	+0	+7	+12	-2.8
2021	21	A+	2 teams	346	327	55	10	0	13	13	128	4	0	0	.168	.209	.318	.527	.150	.223	37	4	.226	31	-27	+0	+0	+6	+10	-1.1
2022	22	A+	4 teams	434	403	84	17	1	14	26	134	2	3	2	.208	.260	.360	.620	.151	.271	31	6	.270	65	-17	-0	-0	+8	+12	0.2
2023	23	AA	3 teams	213	201	27	4	0	2	8	82	2	0	0	.134	.175	.184	.359	.050	.210	38	4	.164	-16	-28	+0	+0	+4	+6	-1.8
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	262	251	36	3	0	1	9	86	0	2	0	.143	.173	.167	.340	.024	.211	33	3	.157	-22	-36	+0	+0	+5	+7	-2.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	250	233	44	8	1	4	14	79	1	4	1	.189	.238	.283	.521	.094	.263	32	6	.233	37	-18	+0	+1	+4	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	WSH	300	277	54	10	1	5	18	93	2	4	1	.195	.249	.292	.542	.097	.266	31	6	.242	44	-19	+0	+1	+5	+8	-0.4
2028	28	MLB 22%	WSH	338	311	61	11	1	6	22	103	2	4	1	.196	.254	.296	.550	.100	.268	30	7	.247	48	-20	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.4
2029	29	MLB 34%	WSH	352	324	63	12	1	6	23	107	2	4	1	.194	.252	.293	.545	.099	.269	30	7	.249	49	-20	+0	-1	+6	+10	-0.4
2030	30	MLB 44%	WSH	362	333	64	12	1	6	24	111	2	3	0	.192	.251	.288	.539	.096	.268	31	7	.248	48	-21	+1	-1	+6	+10	-0.5
2031	31	MLB 58%	WSH	342	314	61	11	1	6	23	106	2	1	0	.194	.254	.293	.547	.099	.266	31	7	.244	45	-21	+0	-2	+6	+10	-0.7
2032	32	MLB 76%	WSH	318	292	55	10	1	5	21	100	2	0	0	.188	.248	.281	.528	.092	.265	31	7	.240	42	-21	+0	-3	+6	+9	-0.9
2033	33	MLB 93%	WSH	282	260	48	9	1	4	18	91	2	0	0	.185	.243	.273	.516	.088	.263	32	6	.234	38	-20	+0	-3	+5	+8	-1.1
2034	34	MLB	WSH	237	219	40	7	1	3	15	78	1	0	0	.183	.238	.265	.503	.082	.261	33	6	.228	33	-18	+0	-4	+4	+7	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4512	4192	765	136	11	81	254	1457	27	26	8	.182	.234	.278	.512	.096	.255	32	6	.230	34	-337	+2	-13	+81	+128	-14.2
/ 162G	—			650	604	111	20	2	12	37	210	4	4	1	.184	.236	.283	.519	.099	.256	32	6	.230	34	-49	+0	-2	+12	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	65	59	17	5	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	.288	.333	.441	.774	.153	.354	20	6	.331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	411	374	81	12	0	7	30	102	3	1	2	.217	.280	.305	.585	.088	.276	25	7	.266	62	-18	-1	—	—	+12	-0.7
2021	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	315	293	61	11	0	14	18	83	3	0	0	.208	.261	.389	.650	.181	.239	26	6	.288	78	-8	+0	—	—	+9	0.1
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	31	27	8	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	.296	.367	.370	.737	.074	.381	23	6	.327	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	26	21	2	1	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	.095	.269	.286	.555	.190	.077	27	19	.264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	103	93	26	3	0	7	9	18	0	1	0	.280	.343	.538	.881	.258	.275	17	9	.380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	271	246	65	16	2	8	22	70	1	2	2	.264	.327	.443	.770	.179	.335	26	8	.339	117	+5	-0	—	—	+8	1.3
2022	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	34	28	5	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	.179	.324	.250	.574	.071	.263	26	15	.280	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	107	98	15	3	0	1	7	34	1	0	0	.153	.217	.214	.431	.061	.219	32	7	.201	12	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	40	39	8	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	.205	.225	.308	.533	.103	.250	25	2	.237	40	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	66	59	14	2	0	2	5	15	1	0	0	.237	.308	.373	.681	.136	.279	23	8	.303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	262	246	40	4	0	1	14	68	0	2	0	.163	.208	.191	.399	.028	.218	26	5	.186	0	-30	+0	—	—	+7	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Israel Pineda (OGILVIE)	26	28	30	45	35	.185/.237/.274	.088	.263	4	4	32%	6%	37	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	36→37	38→40	42→45	43	.176/.254/.250	.074	.253	6	8	31%	8%	39	-2.5	.189/.253/.265	.076	.287	5	7	34%	7%	41	-2.3	.166/.232/.219	.053	.259	3	3	35%	6%	18	-2.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	39	.179/.256/.255	.076	.265	6	5	33%	6%	41	-2.3	.189/.268/.274	.085	.271	7	6	31%	7%	51	-1.7	.144/.247/.211	.068	.201	5	0	28%	8%	25	-0.8
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	38	41→45	45	42	.191/.251/.292	.101	.267	9	8	31%	7%	47	-1.9	.183/.267/.313	.130	.280	16	7	37%	10%	61	-1.0	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	41	38→30	46→30	41	.200/.246/.272	.072	.255	6	4	24%	5%	40	-2.4	.207/.261/.281	.074	.265	6	5	23%	5%	48	-1.9	.198/.267/.229	.030	.253	2	0	21%	5%	36	-0.7
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	33	42→40	49→45	41	.172/.233/.267	.095	.245	10	6	33%	7%	33	-2.9	.188/.255/.278	.090	.259	8	8	29%	8%	46	-2.0	.175/.250/.252	.077	.233	6	7	26%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Cody Bohanek 2021 · AAA	26	38→36	38→40	45→50	39	.179/.267/.254	.075	.295	6	11	38%	7%	46	-2.0	.179/.276/.286	.107	.293	9	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	.155/.261/.260	.105	.255	9	18	39%	9%	45	-1.1
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	39→40	44→40	39	.178/.247/.258	.081	.266	7	5	34%	6%	37	-2.6	.189/.250/.277	.088	.302	8	7	38%	6%	43	-2.2	.149/.206/.234	.086	.245	9	3	41%	6%	10	-0.9
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	39	38→40	44→45	35	.189/.244/.272	.084	.284	5	5	34%	4%	39	-2.5	.187/.238/.267	.080	.295	6	6	37%	5%	35	-2.8	.164/.212/.231	.068	.270	6	4	40%	5%	11	-1.5
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	37	39→45	50→55	40	.183/.248/.270	.087	.268	6	14	32%	6%	40	-2.4	.194/.274/.324	.130	.304	14	16	38%	9%	67	-0.5	.179/.266/.318	.140	.290	17	19	41%	9%	60	-0.7
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	38→36	38→40	47→50	44	.187/.259/.262	.074	.264	6	15	30%	8%	43	-2.2	.189/.249/.280	.091	.269	10	9	32%	6%	43	-2.2	.166/.228/.250	.085	.225	11	8	31%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	36→30	43→40	40	.190/.249/.250	.060	.273	3	4	30%	6%	35	-2.8	.207/.271/.277	.070	.284	5	5	27%	6%	53	-1.5	.165/.239/.182	.017	.205	0	4	18%	6%	14	-0.8
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	39	38→30	51→45	43	.191/.252/.268	.077	.262	6	6	28%	7%	41	-2.3	.200/.263/.277	.077	.269	6	6	26%	7%	48	-1.9	.195/.262/.257	.062	.254	5	5	23%	7%	40	-1.1
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	.193/.248/.281	.088	.293	8	15	36%	6%	43	-2.2	.204/.258/.297	.093	.310	9	12	35%	6%	51	-1.7	.145/.202/.182	.037	.248	4	8	41%	6%	-4	-1.0
✕Travis Tartamella 2014 · AAA	26	37	38→30	43→30	35	.183/.224/.255	.072	.272	6	4	34%	5%	25	-3.5	.180/.220/.242	.062	.270	5	4	33%	4%	20	-3.8	.147/.183/.178	.031	.225	1	0	34%	4%	-15	-1.9
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→29	43→45	46→40	35	.184/.232/.292	.108	.283	11	5	38%	6%	39	-2.5	.203/.251/.317	.114	.300	13	4	35%	6%	54	-1.4	.191/.237/.292	.101	.273	13	0	34%	5%	38	-1.6
✕Joe Hudson 2017 · AA	26	38	41→45	45→40	44	.190/.258/.287	.097	.258	9	3	29%	8%	50	-1.8	.189/.248/.285	.096	.265	8	3	30%	7%	44	-2.1	.183/.287/.336	.152	.261	22	8	36%	11%	73	-0.0
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37→36	41→45	40	43	.186/.254/.276	.090	.256	9	2	30%	7%	45	-2.1	.209/.273/.344	.135	.289	16	4	32%	7%	70	-0.3	.196/.255/.367	.171	.257	24	2	34%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	38→42	39→45	46→50	41	.189/.242/.273	.083	.253	7	12	28%	6%	38	-2.6	.200/.261/.303	.103	.257	11	12	26%	7%	55	-1.4	.204/.274/.324	.120	.246	14	14	23%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	38→48	38→40	45→50	38	.187/.238/.257	.071	.270	6	7	32%	6%	32	-3.0	.216/.254/.318	.102	.312	12	16	33%	5%	55	-1.4	.224/.248/.329	.106	.322	14	23	35%	3%	50	-1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)