Israel Pineda — OGILVIE

Israel PinedaC Harrisburg Senators

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 226 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†19

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .217 / .243

PA250

HR2

K%28

BB%4

ISO64

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT29

Whiff%

1020.9%

xwOBA

100.127

POWER30

Avg EV

4788.9

EYE34

Chase%

1052.9%

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	65	61	13	4	1	0	2	19	0	0	0	213	238	311	550	98	295	29	3	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	65	59	17	5	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	288	333	441	774	153	354	20	6	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	383	55	7	0	5	21	155	3	1	2	144	194	201	395	57	221	38	5	179	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	374	81	12	0	7	30	102	3	1	2	217	280	305	585	88	276	25	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	346	326	54	10	0	13	14	132	4	0	0	166	209	316	525	150	224	38	4	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A+	2 teams	—	346	320	69	13	0	14	20	90	4	0	0	216	270	388	658	172	252	26	6	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	434	401	85	18	1	13	28	136	2	3	2	212	267	359	626	147	282	31	6	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	4 teams	—	434	388	98	22	2	16	41	104	2	3	2	253	327	443	770	191	303	24	9	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	213	201	28	5	0	2	8	83	2	0	0	139	180	194	374	55	220	39	4	163	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	213	196	37	6	0	4	13	59	2	0	0	189	246	281	527	92	244	28	6	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	251	36	4	0	1	9	86	0	2	0	143	173	171	344	28	211	33	3	152	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	246	40	4	0	1	14	68	0	2	0	163	208	191	399	28	218	26	5	186	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	WSH	—	250	237	43	8	1	2	10	71	1	4	1	181	218	249	467	68	249	28	4	210	19	-23	+0	-0	+4	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	WSH	27%	300	281	53	10	1	3	14	84	2	4	1	189	232	263	496	75	253	28	5	222	28	-24	+0	-0	+5	+8	-1.1
2028	28	MLB	WSH	40%	338	316	60	12	1	3	17	94	2	5	1	190	236	263	498	73	255	28	5	229	33	-26	+1	-1	+6	+10	-1.0
2027	27	MLB	WSH	27%	81	76	14	3	0	1	4	23	1	1	0	184	235	263	498	79	253	28	5	217	24	-7	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	WSH	40%	135	126	24	5	1	1	7	37	1	2	0	190	239	270	509	79	255	27	5	224	29	-11	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	216	202	38	8	1	2	11	60	2	3	0	188	237	267	505	79	255	28	5	221	28	-18	+1	-0	+4	+6	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	608	114	24	3	6	33	181	6	9	0	188	236	266	503	79	255	28	5	221	28	-53	+2	-1	+12	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	2619	2457	427	78	5	42	123	860	16	19	7	174	218	261	479	87	245	33	5	213	22	-232	+1	-2	+47	+74	-11.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	610	105	19	1	10	31	213	4	5	2	172	217	256	473	84	242	33	5	213	22	-58	+0	-0	+12	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	GCL Nationals	—	65	59	17	5	2	0	4	13	0	0	0	288	333	441	774	153	354	20	6	331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2019	19	A	Hagerstown Suns	—	411	374	81	12	0	7	30	102	3	1	2	217	280	305	585	88	276	25	7	266	62	-18	-1	—	—	+12	-0.7
2021	21	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	315	293	61	11	0	14	18	83	3	0	0	208	261	389	650	181	239	26	6	288	78	-8	+0	—	—	+9	0.1
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	31	27	8	2	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	296	367	370	737	74	381	23	6	327	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	26	21	2	1	0	1	5	7	0	0	0	95	269	286	555	190	77	27	19	264	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	103	93	26	3	0	7	9	18	0	1	0	280	343	538	881	258	275	17	9	380	149	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	271	246	65	16	2	8	22	70	1	2	2	264	327	443	770	179	335	26	8	339	117	+5	-0	—	—	+8	1.3
2022	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	34	28	5	2	0	0	5	9	1	0	0	179	324	250	574	71	263	26	15	280	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	107	98	15	3	0	1	7	34	1	0	0	153	217	214	431	61	219	32	7	201	12	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	40	39	8	1	0	1	1	10	0	0	0	205	225	308	533	103	250	25	2	237	40	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2023	23	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	66	59	14	2	0	2	5	15	1	0	0	237	308	373	681	136	279	23	8	303	90	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	262	246	40	4	0	1	14	68	0	2	0	163	208	191	399	28	218	26	5	186	0	-30	+0	—	—	+7	-2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	220	2	3	190	232	266	+4	-0	-0.7	-0.3
	/162	664	6	10	190	232	266	+11.9	-1.2	-2.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Israel Pineda (OGILVIE)	26	29	30	45	34	180/217/243	63	249	2	4	28%	4%	19	-1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	40	189/248/245	56	270	3	4	30%	6%	33	-2.9	211/276/282	71	286	5	5	26%	6%	56	-1.3	165/233/180	15	204	0	4	18%	6%	10	-0.8
✕Travis Tartamella 2013 · AA	25	34	38→30	48→30	35	172/214/248	76	253	6	4	34%	5%	20	-3.8	181/221/241	60	273	5	3	34%	4%	20	-3.8	164/200/203	38	252	3	0	35%	4%	-1	-1.7
✕Chad Noble 2013 · AA	25	38	35→30	43→30	39	183/226/237	54	252	2	4	28%	5%	20	-3.8	199/243/268	69	263	4	6	25%	5%	37	-2.7	192/228/245	53	245	2	2	22%	4%	22	-1.4
✕Anderson De La Rosa 2011 · AAA	26	38	38→40	42→40	35	189/227/267	78	260	5	5	29%	3%	30	-3.1	198/234/290	92	272	8	4	29%	4%	39	-2.5	195/226/285	90	266	8	2	29%	3%	30	-1.2
✕Nate Esposito 2019 · AA	26	40	35→30	48→50	38	190/239/243	53	254	3	5	26%	4%	29	-3.2	185/242/258	73	271	5	7	32%	5%	34	-2.8	126/175/173	46	183	3	3	32%	4%	-17	-1.5
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Josh Bissonette 2023 · AAA	26	41	36→30	44→30	45	197/256/265	68	265	3	5	26%	7%	42	-2.3	207/267/288	81	275	6	7	25%	7%	53	-1.5	190/254/236	46	252	2	0	24%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Jose Gonzalez 2013 · AA	26	40	36→30	40	38	195/241/254	59	274	4	5	30%	5%	32	-3.0	186/247/258	72	286	5	6	34%	6%	37	-2.7	137/209/191	55	219	5	3	38%	7%	2	-1.6
✕Nick Lovullo 2019 · AA	25	41	36→30	43→40	44	196/250/258	63	256	3	5	24%	6%	37	-2.6	197/252/272	75	282	5	6	30%	6%	42	-2.3	167/223/215	48	253	3	2	33%	6%	11	-2.0
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	175/245/249	74	270	6	5	35%	6%	34	-2.8	191/251/282	91	306	8	7	38%	6%	45	-2.1	149/202/237	88	245	9	3	41%	6%	9	-0.9
✕Branden Fryman 2023 · AAA	25	37	39→30	50	37	184/227/263	79	255	7	15	30%	5%	29	-3.2	202/240/304	102	292	9	11	33%	4%	45	-2.1	190/214/293	103	271	9	9	33%	2%	27	-1.1
✕Chris Hoo 2017 · AA	25	39	37→30	44→40	43	187/253/249	62	242	5	3	24%	6%	37	-2.6	187/263/263	76	296	6	5	36%	7%	46	-2.0	123/239/162	39	244	3	3	45%	9%	11	-1.0
✕Matt Whatley 2022 · AA	26	40→36	38→40	45→50	44	192/263/267	75	276	7	14	31%	8%	46	-2.0	190/249/283	93	268	11	9	32%	6%	45	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Warren Schaeffer 2010 · A	25	40	38→30	48→40	38	196/238/269	74	262	5	7	27%	4%	35	-2.8	202/245/271	69	285	4	4	29%	4%	38	-2.6	189/233/245	55	271	2	2	30%	3%	23	-1.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	177/224/238	61	263	4	7	33%	5%	20	-3.8	207/260/288	81	285	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	214/270/294	80	284	4	12	25%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Erick Castillo 2019 · AA	26	41	38→30	46→30	41	201/247/275	74	255	6	4	24%	5%	40	-2.4	207/263/283	76	264	6	5	23%	5%	50	-1.8	199/267/230	31	253	2	0	20%	5%	36	-0.7
✕Parker Dalton 2009 · A	26	40	39→40	49→45	37	195/240/283	88	274	6	8	30%	4%	40	-2.4	188/236/274	86	283	6	7	34%	5%	36	-2.7	123/168/188	66	196	3	2	37%	5%	-19	-1.7