Naswell Paulino

P Vancouver Canadians

Age 27 LHP 5'11" / 160 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	A+TOR	30	10	86	4.59	4.25	23.1%	10.4%	—	K 17.8% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.41
2023	23	MIX2 levels	38	0	55	4.39	4.51	19.5%	11.3%	—	K 15.4% · BB 12.7% · FIP 4.97
2024	24	A+TOR	24	0	28	5.20	4.18	22.0%	12.2%	—	K 16.9% · BB 14.0% · FIP 5.02
2027PROJ	27	MLBTOR	15	0	16	4.61	4.61	22.1%	10.7%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBTOR	7	0	7	4.63	4.66	22.1%	10.7%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDan Meyer (age 27) · Chris Narveson (age 27) · Mark Manfredi Sr. (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105113vR 121

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%22.1%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	17	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays	13	13	56	225	52	18	2	100%	4.3	15.7%	10.0%	5.7%	1.2%	2.26	3.72	—
2017	17	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays	13	13	56	225	52	18	2	100%	4.3	23.1%	8.0%	15.1%	0.9%	2.26	2.67	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.28	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0%	1.0	40.0%	0.0%	40.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2021	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	23	97	427	109	57	8	100%	4.2	18.9%	15.8%	3.1%	2.4%	3.82	4.82	—
2021	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	23	23	97	427	109	57	8	100%	4.2	25.5%	13.3%	12.2%	1.9%	3.82	3.69	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	30	10	86	376	87	39	12	33%	2.9	17.8%	11.9%	5.9%	4.2%	4.59	5.41	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	30	10	86	376	87	39	12	33%	2.9	23.1%	10.4%	12.8%	3.2%	4.59	4.25	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	55	257	50	29	7	0%	1.5	15.4%	12.7%	2.7%	2.8%	4.39	4.97	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	55	257	50	29	7	0%	1.5	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	2.7%	4.39	4.51	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.20	5.02	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	14.0%	2.9%	2.9%	5.20	5.02	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	24	0	28	123	27	15	3	0%	1.2	22.0%	12.2%	9.8%	2.4%	5.20	4.18	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	TOR	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.5%	3.0%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	TOR	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	TOR	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.28	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	82	27	0%	1.1	22.1%	10.7%	11.5%	3.1%	4.63	4.28	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		129	46	323	1413	245	184	40	36%	2.5	17.4%	13.1%	4.3%	2.8%	3.96	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	29	200	876	152	114	25	36%	2.5	17.4%	13.1%	4.3%	2.8%	3.96	4.83	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Naswell Paulino (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	22.1%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.66	22.1%	11.5%	20	+0.05	—	—	—
Dan Meyer L 2008 · 5.66 FIP	27	SW	5.66	15.2%	10.6%	4.5%	.315	3.73	23.1%	15.2%	58	-1.93	3.73	112	74
Chris Narveson L 2009 · 4.01 FIP	27	SW	4.01	22.4%	7.3%	3.4%	.277	4.00	18.5%	10.0%	329	-0.01	4.00	625	72
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	71
Tommy Vail L 2024 · 3.65 FIP	25	SW	3.65	27.5%	15.3%	1.7%	.237	5.19	19.5%	2.9%	99	+1.54	3.65	168	69
Josh Outman L 2012 · 4.49 FIP	27	SW	4.49	21.6%	10.8%	3.4%	.339	3.46	22.0%	12.2%	82	-1.03	2.95	380	69
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	69
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	69
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	68
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	68
Edgar Olmos L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	27	SW	3.64	18.9%	9.7%	1.7%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	203	66
Reid Love L 2018 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	19.6%	7.2%	3.0%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	280	66
Everett Teaford L 2011 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	16.0%	8.0%	4.9%	.224	5.47	13.3%	5.3%	61	+0.00	4.42	208	66
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	66
Eric Stults L 2007 · 4.28 FIP	27	SW	4.28	16.8%	8.4%	2.8%	.349	4.14	16.2%	7.2%	89	-0.14	3.50	773	65
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	65
Jake Drehoff L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	25	SW	5.21	16.8%	9.0%	4.4%	.418	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	153	65
Aaron Rozek L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	17.4%	8.8%	3.9%	.311	4.34	16.7%	9.5%	356	-0.53	3.68	579	65
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	65
Carson Teel L 2022 · 4.26 FIP	26	SU	4.26	17.7%	7.1%	3.2%	.355	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	248	65
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	65