Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Braves | 13 | 8 | 37 | 166 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 62% | 2.9 | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 3.62 | 3.65 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | GCL Braves | 13 | 8 | 37 | 166 | 36 | 14 | 1 | 62% | 2.9 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 0.6% | 3.62 | 2.64 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Lexington Legends | 15 | 15 | 79 | 337 | 72 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 15.8% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.19 | 4.97 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Lexington Legends | 15 | 15 | 79 | 337 | 72 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 3.19 | 4.02 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 11 | 71 | 325 | 78 | 35 | 12 | 42% | 2.7 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.99 | 5.62 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 26 | 11 | 71 | 325 | 78 | 35 | 12 | 42% | 2.7 | 24.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 3.7% | 5.99 | 4.59 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 72 | 321 | 53 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.7% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.48 | 5.58 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 0 | 72 | 321 | 53 | 29 | 9 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.45 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 39 | 0 | 52 | 225 | 65 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 3.12 | 4.19 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 39 | 0 | 52 | 225 | 65 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.3 | 28.9% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 1.8% | 3.12 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | KC | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 33 | 0 | 35 | 147 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 32 | 0 | 33 | 140 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | KC | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | KC | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | KC | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 57 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.11 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 140 | 34 | 311 | 1374 | 238 | 150 | 49 | 24% | 2.2 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.16 | 4.98 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 22 | 200 | 883 | 153 | 96 | 32 | 24% | 2.2 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.16 | 4.98 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yefri Del Rosario (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 104 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 81 |
| Stephen Perakslis R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.17 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | .313 | 5.36 | 11.8% | 5.9% | 42 | +2.19 | 3.17 | 211 | 80 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 80 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 78 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 78 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 77 |
| Dylan King R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 26.7% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.28 | 121 | 77 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 77 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 77 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 76 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 76 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 76 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.49 | 26.9% | 10.9% | 4.2% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 275 | 75 |
| Simon Castro R 2027 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 75 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 35 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 1.20 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |