Tirso Ornelas

LF San Antonio Missions
Age 27 L/R 6'3" / 200 lbs AA HR +5% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030
Overview
AAROOKIEArb-1FA 2031
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAASD548.297/.371/.49723798—.259/.314/.402
202525MLBSD16.071/.188/.07100-16-0.7
202626AASD509.253/.329/.44317274—.217/.271/.370
202626INTLCharros de Ja…17.500/.647/.91710318—
2027PROJ2% MLB27MLBSD5.242/.300/.38300940.0
2028PROJ25% MLB28MLBSD143.240/.298/.37941930.0
2029PROJ36% MLB29MLBSD203.237/.296/.3745191-0.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7  ·  Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2
2027Arb-1$0.4M2028Arb-2$0.8M2029Arb-3$0.8M2030Arb-4$0.8M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%90
Z-Con%87
K%85
ISO71
wRC+60
Chase%59
Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsNicky Delmonico (age 27) · Bijan Rademacher (age 27) · Jake Goebbert (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .300 / .383
PA5
HR0
K%20
BB%7
BABIP286
ISO144
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +5.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025
CONTACT45
Whiff%
906.5%
xAVG
100.170
POWER45
Barrel%
518.3
Avg EV
7090.5
Bat Spd
6572.9
EYE46
Chase%
3734.3%
SPEED45
Sprint
3626.8
DEFENSE45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2025
Service   2.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.4M+0.0$0.0M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Arb-2$0.8M———
2029Arb-3$0.8M———
2030Arb-4$0.8M———
Totals $0.0M $-1.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201717 ROKAZL Padres 2 — 238196 541133 40611 00 276401408809 133383 2617 367 64 — — — — — —
201818 AFort Wayne TinCaps — 355309 781338 40683 51 252344392735 139297 1911 330 66 — — — — — —
201919 A+Lake Elsinore Storm — 379332 731151 44910 31 220311292603 72296 2412 279 37 — — — — — —
201919 ROKAZL Padres 1 — 9788 18200 9220 40 205278227506 23273 239 240 -2 — — — — — —
202020 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 5144 12310 7100 12 273373386759 114353 2014 345 120 — — — — — —
202121 A+Fort Wayne TinCaps — 445383 953117 52986 31 248347389736 141312 2212 331 59 — — — — — —
202121 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 238218 771622 15302 02 353400472872 119399 136 384 146 — — — — — —
202222 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1514 3100 120 00 214267286552 71250 137 253 24 — — — — — —
202222 AASan Antonio Missions — 492441 1272827 43854 72 288357408765 120342 179 342 96 — — — — — —
202222 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 6558 17401 6121 11 293369414783 121356 189 354 126 — — — — — —
202323 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 240214 611424 23472 42 285360425785 140348 2010 351 97 — — — — — —
202323 AASan Antonio Missions — 312264 7517011 44590 44 284386473860 189323 1914 378 112 — — — — — —
202323 INTLMayos de Navojoa — 248209 531005 28518 32 254363373736 120310 2111 335 113 — — — — — —
202424 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 548485 14424223 53884 72 297371497868 200318 1610 379 98 — — — — — —
202424 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 197166 481117 28262 94 289398494892 205306 1314 394 153 — — — — — —
202525 MLBSan Diego Padres — 1614 1000 220 00 7118871259 83 1212 144 -16 -2 +0 -0 -5 +0 -0.7
202525 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas — 371318 9221010 46644 72 289386450836 160333 1712 372 97 — — — — — —
202525 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 8072 17400 7120 30 236304292595 56279 159 272 70 — — — — — —
202626 AASan Antonio Missions — 509451 11433117 47905 21 253329443772 191279 189 340 74 — — — — — —
202626 INTLCharros de Jalisco — 1712 6201 510 00 5006479171.564 417500 629 638 318 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 1614 1000 220 00 7118871259 83 1212 144 -17 -2 +0 -0 -5 +0 -0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201717 ROK MLEAZL Padres 2 — 238211 42822 25881 00 199287284571 85328 3711 263 64 — — — — — —
201818 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 355322 691036 27933 51 214281320601 106273 268 266 66 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm — 379342 61941 341240 31 178253237490 58268 339 223 37 — — — — — —
201919 ROK MLEAZL Padres 1 — 9791 13100 6320 40 143196154350 11222 336 165 -2 — — — — — —
202121 A+ MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 445400 792315 351316 31 198272297570 100271 298 256 59 — — — — — —
202222 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 1514 3100 130 00 214267286552 71220 207 204 24 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 492452 1242427 321034 72 274328383711 108336 217 310 96 — — — — — —
202323 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 240220 601323 17572 42 273331391721 118351 247 312 97 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 312274 7013011 34730 44 255338423761 168300 2311 334 112 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 548502 13020216 361104 72 259314402716 143295 207 313 98 — — — — — —
202525 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 1614 1000 220 00 7118871259 83 1212 144 -16 -2 +0 -0 -5 +0 -0.7
202525 AAA MLEEl Paso Chihuahuas — 371333 861807 31794 72 258329375704 117314 218 312 97 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLESan Antonio Missions — 509470 10228114 301105 21 217271370641 153247 226 278 74 — — — — — —
201717 ROK MLEAZL Padres 2 — 238211 42822 25881 00 199287284571 85328 3711 263 64 — — — — — —
201717 ROK RAWAZL Padres 2 — 238196 541133 40611 00 276401408809 133383 2617 367 64 — — — — — —
201818 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 355322 691036 27933 51 214281320601 106279 268 266 66 — — — — — —
201818 A RAWFort Wayne TinCaps — 355309 781338 40683 51 252344392735 139297 1911 330 66 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLE2 teams — 476434 741041 391550 71 171239219458 48260 338 211 29 — — — — — —
201919 A+ RAW2 teams — 476420 911351 531130 71 217304279583 62291 2411 271 29 — — — — — —
202020 INTL MLEMayos de Navojoa — 5144 12310 7100 12 273373386759 114353 2014 — — — — — — — —
202020 INTL RAWMayos de Navojoa — 5144 12310 7100 12 273373386759 114353 2014 345 120 — — — — — —
202121 A+ MLE2 teams — 683615 1213618 532018 33 197269298567 101274 298 256 59 — — — — — —
202121 A+ RAW2 teams — 683601 1724739 671288 33 286365419785 133347 1910 350 59 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE3 teams — 572526 1432828 371195 83 272326378704 106337 216 307 94 — — — — — —
202222 AA RAW3 teams — 572513 1473328 50995 83 287356405761 119341 179 341 94 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE3 teams — 800708 18938320 7418910 118 267345414759 147334 249 324 106 — — — — — —
202323 AA RAW3 teams — 800687 18941220 9515710 118 275371428799 153327 2012 356 106 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 745683 17728321 491506 166 259314401716 142301 207 313 98 — — — — — —
202424 AAA RAW2 teams — 745651 19235330 811146 166 295378496874 201315 1511 383 98 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE3 teams — 467419 1062209 40984 102 253324370694 117308 219 305 93 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAW3 teams — 467404 11025010 55784 102 272365408773 136313 1712 347 93 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 526486 10529114 311145 21 216270366636 150251 226 278 74 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAW2 teams — 526463 12035118 52915 21 259339456795 197285 1710 349 74 — — — — — —
201717 ROK MLEAZL Padres 2 — 238210 42822 25881 00 200287286573 86328 3711 263 64 — — — — — —
201818 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps — 355322 691036 27933 51 214281320601 106273 268 266 66 — — — — — —
201919 A+ MLE2 teams — 476434 741041 391550 71 171239219458 48259 338 211 29 — — — — — —
202121 A+ MLE2 teams — 683617 1213618 532018 33 196269297566 100271 298 256 59 — — — — — —
202222 AA MLE3 teams — 572525 1432828 371195 83 272326379705 107333 216 307 94 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE3 teams — 800710 18938320 7418910 118 266345413757 146322 249 324 106 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 745684 17728321 491506 166 259314401715 142295 207 313 98 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE3 teams — 467420 1062209 40984 102 252324369693 117304 219 305 93 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 526485 10529114 311145 21 216270367637 151247 226 278 74 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AAA MLE2 teams — 745684 17728321 491506 166 259314401715 142295 207 313 98 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE3 teams — 467420 1062209 40984 102 252324369693 117304 219 305 93 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLE2 teams — 526485 10529114 311145 21 216270367637 151247 226 278 74 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLESD 2% 380348 8619110 26813 41 246304389693 143292 217 308 94 -3 +0 -1 -4 +8 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXSD 2% 55 1000 010 00 242300383683 142286 200 304 94 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLESD 25% 579529 12829114 401255 41 244302385687 141291 227 306 93 -5 +0 -2 -6 +13 0.0
202929 MLB MLESD 36% 567518 12528114 391245 21 241300380680 138289 227 303 91 -6 +0 -3 -6 +12 -0.2
203030 MLB MLESD 43% 388355 851919 27863 01 238297373670 135287 227 298 88 -5 -0 -3 -4 +8 -0.5
202828 MLB CTXSD 25% 143131 32704 10311 10 240298379678 140284 227 302 93 -1 +0 -0 -2 +3 0.0
202929 MLB CTXSD 36% 203185 43905 14442 10 237296374670 137283 227 299 91 -2 +0 -1 -2 +4 -0.1
203030 MLB CTXSD 43% 167152 36804 12371 00 234293367660 133281 227 295 88 -2 +0 -1 -2 +4 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 529482 11224013 381144 20 232294363657 131277 227 294 81 -8 +0 -3 -10 +11 -0.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650592 13729016 471405 20 231293361655 130275 227 294 81 -10 +0 -3 -13 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 66976079 143330124132 505160557 7131 236300358659 123297 248 288 81 -20 +0 -8 -24 +39 -1.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 13929213 491566 73 236301358658 122296 248 288 81 -7 +0 -3 -9 +14 -0.5