Logan Davidson

1B Durham Bulls

Age 29 S/R 6'3" / 185 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2030

Overview

AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2031

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	AAAOAK	347	.300/.369/.535	14	7	93	—	.244/.297/.409
2025	27	MLBLAA	47	.167/.222/.286	1	0	36	-1.4
2026	28	AAATB	422	.204/.313/.376	15	13	43	—	.161/.243/.278
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBTB	25	.210/.288/.344	1	1	79	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBTB	104	.208/.285/.338	3	2	77	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.4 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2030Service2.000First FA2031Super-2

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.3M2029Ext$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%67

Max EV64

Speed64

Chase%21

Z-Con%17

K%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrett Carroll (age 29) · Ryan Cordell (age 29) · Jaylin Davis (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .288 / .344

PA25

HR1

K%36

BB%8

BABIP307

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1016.6%

xAVG

100.138

POWER45

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

2887.4

Bat Spd

5772.0

EYE60

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

4327.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2025

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	515	448	95	22	1	7	62	155	1	4	3	212	309	312	622	100	304	30	12	286	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	90	73	20	4	0	2	15	33	1	1	1	274	404	411	815	137	462	37	17	369	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	232	208	55	12	1	3	21	51	1	4	1	264	335	375	710	111	335	22	9	319	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	206	182	54	11	1	7	22	56	2	2	2	297	379	484	862	187	395	27	11	383	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	310	93	23	4	14	27	108	7	7	2	300	369	535	905	235	414	31	8	392	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	26	20	2	1	0	0	4	13	2	1	0	100	308	150	458	50	286	50	15	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	36	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
2025	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	423	344	86	18	1	10	73	119	4	7	2	250	387	395	783	145	350	28	17	357	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	422	362	74	13	2	15	51	132	6	13	4	204	313	376	688	171	272	31	12	310	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	220	35	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	515	468	81	19	1	6	42	193	1	4	3	173	243	256	499	83	270	37	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	439	93	17	1	14	38	164	3	4	1	212	279	351	630	139	293	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	232	215	49	9	1	2	14	60	1	4	1	228	278	307	585	79	298	26	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	206	189	44	8	1	6	15	70	2	2	2	233	296	381	677	148	331	34	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	347	320	78	17	3	10	17	127	7	7	2	244	297	409	706	166	359	37	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	—	47	42	7	2	0	1	3	22	0	0	0	167	222	286	508	119	316	47	6	222	36	-4	+0	-3	-8	+1	-1.4
2025	27	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	423	370	79	17	1	7	47	143	4	7	2	214	309	322	630	108	326	34	11	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	422	378	61	10	2	10	35	158	6	13	4	161	243	278	521	116	235	37	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	605	548	95	22	1	7	50	226	2	5	4	173	245	255	500	82	276	37	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	605	521	115	26	1	9	77	188	2	5	4	221	323	326	650	106	323	31	13	298	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	439	93	17	1	14	38	164	3	4	1	212	279	351	630	139	298	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Midland RockHounds	—	484	424	107	21	1	14	53	134	3	4	1	252	340	406	745	153	332	28	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	404	92	17	2	8	29	130	3	6	3	228	284	339	624	111	315	30	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	438	390	109	23	2	10	43	107	3	6	3	279	356	426	781	146	361	24	10	349	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	84	18	4	10	19	136	9	8	2	246	303	409	712	164	372	36	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	373	330	95	24	4	14	31	121	9	8	2	288	365	512	877	224	409	32	8	382	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	412	86	19	1	8	50	165	4	7	2	209	300	318	618	109	324	35	11	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	470	386	93	20	1	11	76	141	4	7	2	241	371	383	755	142	347	30	16	343	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	422	378	61	10	2	10	35	158	6	13	4	161	243	278	521	116	241	37	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	422	362	74	13	2	15	51	132	6	13	4	204	313	376	688	171	272	31	12	310	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	605	548	95	22	1	7	50	226	2	5	4	173	245	255	500	82	270	37	8	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	484	440	93	17	1	14	38	164	3	4	1	211	279	350	629	139	293	34	8	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	438	403	92	17	2	8	29	130	3	6	3	228	284	340	624	112	314	30	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	84	18	4	10	19	136	9	8	2	246	303	409	712	164	359	36	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	413	86	19	1	8	50	165	4	7	2	208	300	317	618	109	325	35	11	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	422	378	61	10	2	10	35	158	6	13	4	161	243	278	521	116	235	37	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	342	84	18	4	10	19	136	9	8	2	246	303	409	712	164	359	36	5	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	470	413	86	19	1	8	50	165	4	7	2	208	300	317	618	109	325	35	11	281	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	422	378	61	10	2	10	35	158	6	13	4	161	243	278	521	116	235	37	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	TB	10%	380	339	71	14	2	10	33	132	5	8	2	208	287	345	632	137	304	35	9	285	79	-10	+1	-1	-7	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	TB	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	210	288	344	632	134	307	36	8	285	79	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	TB	27%	380	341	71	14	2	9	32	131	4	6	2	207	284	340	624	133	300	34	8	281	77	-11	+0	-3	-7	+8	-1.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	TB	27%	104	93	20	4	0	3	9	36	1	2	0	208	285	338	624	130	303	35	9	281	77	-3	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	151	135	27	6	0	4	12	58	1	2	0	200	270	333	604	133	311	38	8	262	66	-7	+0	-3	-10	+3	-1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	116	26	0	17	52	250	4	9	0	200	270	332	602	133	311	38	8	262	66	-28	+2	-14	-44	+14	-7.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3422	3087	628	126	14	72	275	1197	34	54	19	203	276	323	599	120	303	35	8	266	66	-21	+1	-6	-20	+15	-3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	120	24	3	14	52	227	6	10	4	205	276	328	604	123	304	35	8	266	66	-20	+1	-6	-19	+14	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Davidson (OGILVIE)	29	45	45	50	60	207/284/342	136	304	6	5	35%	9%	79	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→46	48→55	48→50	43	214/278/354	140	262	16	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/338	133	269	16	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	190/259/323	133	248	16	10	30%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Jaylin Davis 2023 · MLB	29	39→47	45→50	44→45	41	196/268/319	123	295	13	7	36%	8%	67	-1.1	203/282/339	136	305	15	8	36%	8%	76	-0.4	170/265/315	145	251	16	3	37%	9%	63	-0.7
✕Brent Clevlen 2013 · AAA	29	48→53	48→50	50	43	233/291/380	147	327	15	9	32%	8%	88	+0.5	215/268/350	135	292	15	9	30%	7%	73	-0.6	201/250/323	122	264	15	6	30%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Abraham M. Nunez 2006 · MLB	29	45	46→50	42→45	49	223/289/348	125	276	14	9	24%	8%	80	-0.1	226/284/367	141	287	16	8	26%	7%	83	+0.1	223/280/364	141	280	16	5	26%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Brandon Boggs 2012 · MLB	29	42→48	45→55	41→50	50	209/299/338	129	288	13	7	30%	10%	82	+0.0	206/277/319	113	288	10	7	30%	8%	70	-0.9	199/265/303	104	276	8	6	29%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Ryan Rua 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	48→50	50	40	221/280/355	133	310	16	11	33%	7%	79	-0.2	218/271/367	149	304	18	13	33%	6%	78	-0.3	188/234/347	159	254	21	17	35%	4%	59	-0.6
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	43→45	48→55	50→40	41	217/276/355	138	293	16	11	31%	6%	78	-0.3	208/278/364	156	283	19	7	32%	7%	81	-0.1	175/251/330	155	229	21	1	33%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	47→50	48→55	41	212/266/349	137	286	15	13	31%	7%	72	-0.7	220/282/334	114	295	11	14	27%	8%	75	-0.5	206/270/274	69	282	2	21	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Eli White 2022 · MLB	28	43→53	46→50	48→60	44	213/287/340	127	294	14	13	31%	8%	78	-0.3	221/296/348	127	311	15	28	31%	9%	84	+0.1	239/292/380	141	304	16	27	26%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	203/278/374	171	267	22	14	32%	9%	83	+0.1	219/287/392	173	305	20	17	33%	9%	91	+0.6	212/277/398	186	292	19	20	33%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Bligh Madris 2024 · MLB	28	44→48	46→50	47→50	47	219/287/351	132	287	13	10	28%	8%	80	-0.1	205/276/356	151	264	18	14	28%	9%	78	-0.3	191/266/344	153	237	19	13	28%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Nick Gorneault 2008 · AAA	29	45→48	49→55	48→50	44	227/283/377	150	290	17	12	28%	7%	85	+0.2	205/260/338	133	270	15	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	190/244/318	127	249	15	9	29%	6%	54	-1.4
✕Simon Pond 2006 · MLB	29	43→42	49→50	47→45	41	220/273/365	146	288	17	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	217/270/347	130	291	13	6	29%	7%	73	-0.6	206/261/330	124	275	11	3	28%	7%	65	-1.1
✕Adam Engel 2020 · MLB	28	44→48	45→50	52→60	39	219/275/348	129	297	12	16	30%	5%	75	-0.5	235/292/380	145	304	15	19	27%	5%	89	+0.5	204/273/332	127	285	13	30	31%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Darnell Sweeney 2019 · AAA	28	44→51	44→50	46→55	40	214/268/335	121	304	12	14	32%	6%	70	-0.9	211/265/340	129	338	14	11	39%	6%	70	-0.9	169/213/286	117	295	13	7	45%	4%	34	-0.9
✕Michael Hollimon 2011 · MLB	29	40→49	49→55	49→50	43	206/273/357	151	288	16	9	33%	8%	77	-0.3	200/264/338	138	262	15	9	29%	8%	69	-0.9	182/250/319	136	232	16	8	28%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Sócrates Brito 2021 · MLB	28	45→55	49→50	50→55	41	227/273/385	158	295	16	13	28%	6%	83	+0.1	219/272/327	108	293	10	21	28%	6%	69	-0.9	209/261/292	84	281	8	28	27%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Clint Coulter 2022 · AAA	29	41→43	51→50	48→40	37	211/265/364	153	314	20	7	38%	6%	76	-0.4	219/284/359	140	266	15	7	23%	6%	82	+0.0	211/281/345	134	245	13	5	20%	5%	74	-0.2
✕Dillon Thomas 2022 · AAA	29	48→58	46→45	52→50	39	226/298/354	127	337	13	16	34%	6%	86	+0.3	230/308/368	138	326	15	10	32%	7%	93	+0.8	221/305/359	137	311	15	6	31%	7%	87	+0.3