Dominic Pipkin

P Altoona Curve

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 200 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	23	MIX3 levels	23	1	25	5.40	3.46	28.3%	9.4%	—	K 23.3% · BB 9.6% · FIP 4.70
2024	24	MIX3 levels	9	0	9	0.00	2.54	25.0%	12.5%	—	K 25.0% · BB 12.5% · FIP 2.57
2026	26	MIX3 levels	21	10	42	4.68	4.40	23.1%	18.3%	—	K 18.6% · BB 20.9% · FIP 5.31
2027PROJ	27	MLBPIT	22	0	23	5.69	5.69	19.8%	18.4%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBPIT	8	0	8	5.60	5.64	20.0%	17.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBen Gross (age 25) · Jeremy Guthrie (age 27) · Paul Clemens (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%19.8%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%1.4%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies East	10	8	30	116	18	8	3	80%	3.0	10.6%	8.6%	1.9%	3.6%	3.64	5.29	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies East	10	8	30	116	18	8	3	80%	3.0	15.5%	6.9%	8.6%	2.6%	3.64	4.01	—
2019	19	A MLE	Lakewood BlueClaws	24	12	72	331	44	45	4	50%	3.0	9.8%	16.0%	-6.2%	1.9%	5.15	5.37	—
2019	19	A RAW	Lakewood BlueClaws	24	12	72	331	44	45	4	50%	3.0	13.3%	13.6%	-0.3%	1.2%	5.15	4.48	—
2021	21	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	16	12	58	255	64	27	6	75%	3.6	19.3%	12.2%	7.1%	2.9%	4.97	4.62	—
2021	21	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	16	12	58	255	64	27	6	75%	3.6	25.1%	10.6%	14.5%	2.4%	4.97	3.63	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	13	74	335	64	51	6	43%	2.5	14.7%	17.5%	-2.8%	2.5%	5.01	5.47	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	30	13	74	335	64	51	6	43%	2.5	19.1%	15.2%	3.9%	1.8%	5.01	4.50	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	23	1	25	106	30	10	3	4%	1.1	23.3%	9.6%	13.7%	4.3%	5.40	4.70	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	23	1	25	106	30	10	3	4%	1.1	28.3%	9.4%	18.9%	2.8%	5.40	3.46	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.57	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	9	0	9	40	10	5	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.00	2.54	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	10	42	186	43	34	3	48%	2.0	18.6%	20.9%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.68	5.31	—
2026	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	10	42	186	43	34	3	48%	2.0	18.6%	20.9%	-2.2%	2.1%	4.68	5.31	—
2026	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	10	42	186	43	34	3	48%	2.0	23.1%	18.3%	4.8%	1.6%	4.68	4.40	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	PIT	22	0	23	97	19	18	3	0%	1.0	19.8%	18.4%	1.4%	2.8%	5.69	5.69	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	PIT	21	0	22	95	19	17	3	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.6%	2.4%	2.9%	5.60	5.64	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	PIT	8	0	8	34	7	6	1	0%	1.0	20.0%	17.6%	2.4%	2.9%	5.60	5.64	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	8	36	7	6	1	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.6%	2.4%	2.9%	5.60	5.26	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	142	24	0%	1.1	20.0%	17.6%	2.4%	2.9%	5.60	5.26	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		133	56	309	1369	213	207	35	42%	2.3	15.5%	15.1%	0.4%	2.6%	4.74	5.10	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	36	200	885	138	134	23	42%	2.3	15.5%	15.1%	0.4%	2.6%	4.74	5.10	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dominic Pipkin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	19.8%	18.4%	2.8%	—	5.64	20.0%	2.4%	22	-0.05	—	—	—
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	71
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	71
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	345	68
Ariel Peña R 2016 · 6.26 FIP	27	SW	6.26	16.2%	17.7%	4.2%	.379	4.57	21.8%	6.0%	75	-1.69	3.74	223	68
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	68
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	68
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	67
Hunter Dollander R 2023 · 6.77 FIP	26	SU	6.77	17.6%	18.3%	5.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	106	67
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	27	SP-	4.87	20.0%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.90	3.02	341	67
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	67
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	67
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	67
Alex Caldera R 2015 · 5.57 FIP	29	SW	5.57	10.4%	13.1%	3.1%	.333	4.54	11.9%	0.8%	84	-1.03	4.54	120	66
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	66
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	65
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	65
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	65
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	64
Randy Dobnak R 2022 · 6.05 FIP	27	SW	6.05	17.8%	17.9%	4.0%	.268	4.38	17.5%	7.7%	358	-1.67	3.01	967	64
Juan Paniagua R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	27	SW	4.75	12.9%	13.9%	1.8%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	151	64