Austin Shenton

1B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 29 L/R 6'0" / 205 lbs AAA K +7%HR -5% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAROOKIEArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	25	AATB	306	.307/.419/.567	15	126	—	.272/.347/.467
2024	26	MLBTB	50	.214/.340/.405	1	115	-0.5
2025	27	AAASEA	352	.217/.327/.413	14	49	—	.165/.246/.286
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBSEA	25	.208/.288/.353	1	83	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBSEA	104	.206/.286/.347	3	81	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.3M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

BB%73

Max EV57

Chase%50

K%36

Z-Con%32

Whiff%29

CompsDarick Hall (age 29) · Greg Bird (age 29) · Andy Wilkins (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .288 / .353

PA25

HR1

K%28

BB%8

BABIP274

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3912.2%

xAVG

100.199

POWER60

Barrel%

143.6

Avg EV

1083.9

Bat Spd

2868.9

EYE60

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

1025.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	West Virginia Power	—	134	119	30	7	1	5	11	29	3	0	0	252	331	454	785	202	291	22	8	345	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	99	91	27	8	0	3	6	25	1	0	0	297	347	484	830	187	375	25	6	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	273	224	66	24	3	11	41	62	7	1	0	295	419	576	995	281	362	23	15	431	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	195	46	9	1	8	28	70	3	0	0	236	341	415	756	179	319	31	12	337	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	271	219	66	24	0	14	48	75	3	0	0	301	433	603	1.036	301	397	28	18	446	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	306	254	78	21	0	15	46	79	3	0	0	307	419	567	986	260	387	26	15	426	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	336	115	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
2024	26	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	363	310	80	12	1	20	48	110	3	0	0	258	363	497	860	239	330	30	13	377	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	300	65	17	0	14	45	92	4	0	0	217	327	413	740	197	259	26	13	330	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	336	114	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	243	28	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	99	93	22	6	0	2	4	31	1	0	0	237	276	366	641	129	338	31	4	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	273	239	56	19	3	8	26	85	7	1	0	234	327	439	767	205	319	31	10	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	40	7	1	7	20	83	3	0	0	197	279	345	624	148	278	36	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	271	233	58	21	0	9	34	89	3	0	0	249	352	455	807	206	361	33	13	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	306	272	74	20	0	11	28	94	3	0	0	272	347	467	813	195	366	31	9	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	50	42	9	5	0	1	8	14	0	0	0	214	340	405	745	190	296	28	16	339	115	+1	+0	+1	-7	+1	-0.5
2024	26	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	363	323	68	10	1	13	35	130	3	0	0	211	294	368	662	158	298	36	10	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	315	52	14	0	8	30	107	4	0	0	165	246	286	532	121	213	30	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	244	28	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	134	119	30	7	1	5	11	29	3	0	0	252	331	454	785	202	291	22	8	345	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	332	80	25	3	11	30	116	8	1	0	241	319	434	753	193	333	31	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	372	315	93	32	3	14	47	87	8	1	0	295	400	549	949	254	366	23	13	413	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	40	7	1	7	20	83	3	0	0	197	279	345	624	148	287	36	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	195	46	9	1	8	28	70	3	0	0	236	341	415	756	179	319	31	12	337	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	505	133	41	0	20	62	183	6	0	0	263	351	463	814	200	369	32	11	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	577	473	144	45	0	29	94	154	6	0	0	304	426	584	1.009	279	391	27	16	436	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	365	77	15	1	14	43	144	3	0	0	211	299	373	672	162	301	35	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	413	352	89	17	1	21	56	124	3	0	0	253	360	486	846	233	325	30	14	372	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	315	52	14	0	8	30	107	4	0	0	165	246	286	532	121	217	30	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	300	65	17	0	14	45	92	4	0	0	217	327	413	740	197	259	26	13	330	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	134	123	24	5	1	4	7	38	3	0	0	195	256	350	605	154	243	28	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	372	331	80	25	3	11	30	116	8	1	0	242	319	435	754	193	324	31	8	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	228	203	40	7	1	7	20	83	3	0	0	197	279	345	624	148	278	36	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	504	133	41	0	20	62	183	6	0	0	264	351	464	815	200	364	32	11	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	364	77	15	1	14	43	144	3	0	0	212	299	374	673	162	298	35	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	315	52	14	0	8	30	107	4	0	0	165	246	286	532	121	213	30	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	413	364	77	15	1	14	43	144	3	0	0	212	299	374	673	162	298	35	10	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	352	315	52	14	0	8	30	107	4	0	0	165	246	286	532	121	213	30	9	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	10%	380	338	71	16	1	11	35	113	4	2	1	210	290	359	649	149	277	30	9	291	83	-8	+0	+1	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	208	288	353	642	146	274	28	8	288	83	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	27%	380	339	70	16	1	10	34	112	4	1	1	208	288	353	640	144	275	29	9	288	81	-9	-0	-1	-7	+8	-0.9
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	27%	104	93	19	4	0	3	9	31	1	0	0	206	286	347	633	141	272	30	9	285	81	-2	+0	-0	-2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	154	135	28	9	0	4	17	45	1	0	0	207	301	363	664	156	276	29	11	302	88	-2	+0	+0	-9	+3	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	118	38	0	17	72	190	4	0	0	207	300	363	663	156	275	29	11	302	88	-7	+0	+1	-39	+14	-3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2706	2405	523	134	8	81	249	857	33	3	1	217	300	381	680	163	298	32	9	299	88	-13	+0	-0	-19	+15	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	32	2	19	60	206	8	1	0	216	299	377	676	161	297	32	9	299	88	-12	+0	-0	-18	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Shenton (OGILVIE)	29	40	60	45	60	208/288/356	148	277	7	1	30%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darick Hall 2024 · MLB	29	42→39	53→55	46→40	44	225/283/392	167	273	22	4	27%	7%	89	+0.5	205/265/322	117	270	14	4	29%	7%	66	-1.1	182/244/273	91	243	12	1	29%	7%	44	-1.6
✕Greg Bird 2022 · MLB	29	38→48	51→60	43→30	46	204/275/360	156	258	20	3	29%	8%	79	-0.2	205/273/335	130	276	15	7	30%	8%	72	-0.7	171/243/265	94	235	10	4	30%	8%	42	-1.1
✕Andy Wilkins 2018 · MLB	29	36→46	50→55	50→45	43	195/257/343	148	251	18	5	30%	8%	68	-1.0	183/250/333	150	262	20	6	37%	8%	63	-1.3	138/208/284	146	185	22	2	39%	8%	35	-1.3
✕Brad Nelson 2012 · MLB	29	40→50	49→50	44→50	47	211/272/356	145	249	18	4	24%	8%	76	-0.4	215/274/359	144	261	18	4	24%	7%	78	-0.3	206/265/341	135	248	17	2	24%	7%	69	-0.7
✕Daniel Palka 2022 · MLB	30	40→43	51→55	50	48	210/281/366	155	262	19	7	28%	9%	82	+0.0	212/269/358	146	273	19	5	29%	7%	76	-0.4	200/255/340	139	255	19	2	29%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Matt Skole 2018 · AAA	29	37→40	52→50	46→40	45	201/263/360	159	245	20	3	28%	7%	74	-0.5	196/268/331	135	266	16	4	31%	9%	70	-0.9	182/261/305	123	249	15	2	32%	9%	60	-1.3
✕Ryan Langerhans 2008 · MLB	28	45→41	46→50	45→50	51	220/305/358	138	289	13	6	27%	10%	89	+0.5	233/319/373	140	311	13	13	27%	11%	97	+1.1	233/325/371	139	312	12	16	27%	12%	100	+0.7
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Jeff Larish 2012 · MLB	29	42→45	53→55	43→45	44	222/289/393	171	293	21	4	31%	8%	91	+0.7	199/270/331	132	295	14	6	35%	9%	70	-0.8	153/235/246	93	245	4	0	36%	10%	35	-1.2
✕Matt Clark 2016 · MLB	29	42→45	53→55	47→30	43	226/280/389	163	271	22	3	26%	6%	87	+0.4	224/276/379	155	282	20	4	27%	6%	83	+0.1	218/275/394	176	265	23	0	27%	7%	87	+0.2
✕John-Ford Griffin 2009 · AAA	29	43→40	51→55	49→40	44	224/280/388	165	276	19	4	27%	7%	87	+0.4	219/277/344	125	293	11	8	28%	7%	75	-0.5	200/258/302	103	280	6	7	29%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Jose Rojas 2022 · MLB	29	42→48	51→60	47→50	45	219/274/385	166	263	19	8	25%	7%	84	+0.1	211/269/387	176	253	22	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	197/261/391	194	228	25	10	26%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Billy McKinney 2024 · MLB	29	42→52	51→60	51→45	48	217/294/375	158	277	19	6	28%	9%	89	+0.5	217/289/349	132	283	15	7	27%	8%	81	-0.1	203/276/319	115	266	12	6	27%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Brandon Allen 2015 · MLB	29	43→49	49→55	50	47	223/287/368	146	273	17	5	25%	8%	84	+0.2	206/268/330	124	260	13	5	25%	8%	69	-0.9	186/248/300	113	233	12	3	25%	7%	54	-1.2
✕Jon Knott 2008 · MLB	29	41→40	54→55	45→40	47	219/288/402	183	262	22	5	26%	8%	93	+0.8	219/284/378	159	273	19	6	26%	7%	86	+0.3	205/266/363	158	248	19	2	25%	6%	73	-0.6
✕Josh Lester 2023 · AAA	29	37→44	54→55	46→40	40	204/253/382	177	252	22	6	29%	6%	76	-0.4	205/250/357	152	257	19	5	28%	5%	68	-1.0	195/238/340	145	242	19	2	28%	5%	59	-1.3
✕Edwin Rios 2024 · MLB	30	42→49	51→60	41→30	40	212/284/371	159	311	19	4	36%	7%	85	+0.2	212/280/372	160	316	19	3	37%	8%	83	+0.1	200/269/360	160	296	20	1	37%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	44	49→50	40	42	227/281/372	145	285	17	6	26%	6%	83	+0.1	218/279/345	127	285	14	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	193/264/302	109	251	12	2	27%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Simon Pond 2006 · MLB	29	43→42	49→50	47→45	41	220/273/365	146	288	17	8	30%	6%	79	-0.2	217/270/347	130	291	13	6	29%	7%	73	-0.6	206/261/330	124	275	11	3	28%	7%	65	-1.1
✕Seth Loman 2015 · AAA	29	43→49	50→55	48→30	39	222/283/374	152	285	18	4	28%	5%	85	+0.2	211/272/338	127	275	14	7	28%	5%	73	-0.6	164/234/259	95	210	12	2	28%	4%	40	-1.0