Anderson Pilar — OGILVIE

Anderson Pilar P Gwinnett Stripers

+0.7 WAR

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.7 · 2026

ERA3.89

FIP3.89

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.4%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%14.3%

IP56

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2026

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†5555

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	13	2	30	124	22	9	0	12.1%	9.1%	0.0%	2.97	3.23	+0.6
2017	19	ROK	DSL Rockies	26	0	25	118	15	8	0	8.6%	8.5%	0.0%	3.24	3.44	+0.4
2018	20	ROK	DSL Colorado	33	0	41	157	43	7	0	18.6%	5.6%	0.0%	1.55	2.23	+1.3
2021	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	33	1	62	254	57	15	2	16.6%	7.0%	0.8%	1.61	3.03	+1.4
2022	24	A+	Spokane Indians	30	3	63	269	59	20	6	16.9%	8.6%	2.1%	4.16	3.89	+0.8
2023	25	A+	Spokane Indians	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	19.3%	11.8%	1.0%	3.07	3.49	+1.0
2024	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	22.7%	6.6%	2.9%	2.64	3.63	+0.9
2025	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	21.3%	7.3%	0.9%	3.96	2.71	+1.6
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	3	0	2	7	0	0	0	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
ROS	28	MLB	ATL	56	—	56	238	53	17	6	22.4%	7.2%	2.3%	3.78	3.78	+0.7
2026 Total	28	MLB	ATL	—	—	59	245	53	17	6	21.8%	7.0%	2.3%	3.63	3.63	+0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	29	MLB	ATL	55	—	55	232	52	17	6	22.4%	7.4%	2.4%	3.86	3.87	+0.7
2028	30	MLB	ATL	53	—	53	225	50	17	6	22.3%	7.7%	2.5%	3.94	3.97	+0.6
2029	31	MLB	ATL	52	—	52	217	48	17	6	22.1%	7.9%	2.6%	4.02	4.06	+0.5
2030	32	MLB	ATL	49	—	49	209	46	17	6	21.9%	8.1%	2.7%	4.10	4.15	+0.4
2031	33	MLB	ATL	47	—	47	199	43	16	6	21.5%	8.2%	2.8%	4.19	4.25	+0.4
2032	34	MLB	ATL	45	—	45	189	40	16	6	21.2%	8.4%	2.9%	4.29	4.36	+0.3
2033	35	MLB	ATL	42	—	42	178	37	15	5	20.8%	8.7%	3.0%	4.41	4.48	+0.2
2034	36	MLB	ATL	40	—	40	167	34	15	5	20.4%	8.9%	3.1%	4.53	4.62	+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			240	20	401	1674	299	135	19	17.9%	8.0%	1.1%	2.92	3.24	+9.4
/ 200 IP	—			120	10	200	836	149	67	9	17.9%	8.0%	1.1%	2.92	3.24	+4.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anderson Pilar (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.78	22.4%	7.2%	2.3%	—	3.96	22.3%	14.6%	160	+0.18	—	—	—
Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP	28	SW	3.34	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.07	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.73	3.25	150	91
Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.25 FIP	28	SW	3.25	22.2%	7.9%	1.9%	.247	4.33	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.08	3.25	160	90
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 3.68 FIP	28	SW	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.07	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.61	2.31	403	90
C.C. Lee R 2026 · 2.58 FIP	28	SW	2.58	23.9%	7.0%	1.1%	.323	3.07	30.9%	21.5%	63	+0.49	2.58	121	89
Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.07 FIP	28	SW	3.07	22.7%	5.6%	2.1%	.313	3.78	28.3%	18.0%	75	+0.71	3.07	185	89
Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 3.91 FIP	28	SW	3.91	20.2%	7.4%	2.9%	.348	3.55	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.36	2.38	160	88
Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.11 FIP	28	SW	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.78	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.67	2.27	445	87
Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.35 FIP	28	SW	3.35	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.13	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.78	3.35	108	87
Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.77 FIP	28	SW	3.77	21.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.304	3.89	19.5%	11.6%	65	+0.12	2.26	172	86
Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	86
Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.42 FIP	28	SW	3.42	19.3%	8.1%	1.7%	.287	3.85	18.9%	11.9%	187	+0.43	2.67	333	86
Joakim Soria R 2029 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	86
Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.52 FIP	28	SW	3.52	22.6%	9.0%	2.2%	.327	4.82	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.30	2.39	676	85
Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.30 FIP	28	SW	3.30	24.0%	9.5%	1.8%	.271	2.97	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.33	1.54	521	85
Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP	28	SW	3.54	25.1%	9.1%	2.6%	.277	3.88	21.1%	12.7%	203	+0.34	2.86	596	85
Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.14 FIP	28	SW	3.14	20.7%	8.4%	1.3%	.300	2.80	28.4%	20.7%	140	-0.34	1.71	257	85
Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	28	SW	3.48	24.5%	7.9%	2.6%	.302	3.74	22.8%	13.6%	168	+0.26	1.69	468	85
Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP	28	SW	3.43	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.95	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.52	3.08	205	85
A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	28	SW	3.96	20.1%	8.1%	2.8%	.307	6.39	17.6%	10.6%	13	+2.43	2.85	299	84
Alex Colomé R 2026 · 2.89 FIP	28	SW	2.89	20.6%	5.7%	1.5%	.261	3.29	23.0%	15.3%	151	+0.40	2.61	530	84

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.