Anderson Pilar — OGILVIE

Anderson Pilar P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 88

ERA3.76

FIP3.76

K%20.9%

BB%6.0%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 73 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

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K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2016	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	13	2	30	124	22	9	0	15%	2.3	12.1%	9.1%	3.0%	0.0%	2.97	3.23	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	13	2	30	124	22	9	0	15%	2.3	17.7%	7.3%	10.5%	0.0%	2.97	2.54	—
2017	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	26	0	25	118	15	8	0	0%	1.0	8.6%	8.5%	0.2%	0.0%	3.24	3.44	—
2017	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	26	0	25	118	15	8	0	0%	1.0	12.7%	6.8%	5.9%	0.0%	3.24	2.86	—
2018	20	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	33	0	41	157	43	7	0	0%	1.2	18.6%	5.6%	13.1%	0.0%	1.55	2.23	—
2018	20	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	33	0	41	157	43	7	0	0%	1.2	27.4%	4.5%	22.9%	0.0%	1.55	1.50	—
2021	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	33	1	62	254	57	15	2	3%	1.9	16.6%	7.0%	9.6%	0.8%	1.61	3.04	—
2021	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	33	1	62	254	57	15	2	3%	1.9	22.4%	5.9%	16.5%	0.8%	1.61	2.40	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	30	3	63	269	59	20	6	10%	2.1	16.9%	8.6%	8.3%	2.1%	4.16	3.92	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	30	3	63	269	59	20	6	10%	2.1	21.9%	7.4%	14.5%	2.2%	4.16	3.42	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	53%	3.5	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	0.9%	3.07	3.48	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	53%	3.5	19.3%	11.8%	7.5%	0.9%	3.07	3.48	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	17	9	59	253	67	25	2	53%	3.5	26.5%	9.9%	16.6%	0.8%	3.07	2.54	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	22.1%	6.0%	16.1%	2.9%	2.64	3.61	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	22.1%	6.0%	16.1%	2.9%	2.64	3.61	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	2	58	232	71	13	5	5%	1.6	30.6%	5.6%	25.0%	2.2%	2.64	2.44	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	20.1%	6.2%	13.9%	0.9%	3.96	2.67	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	20.1%	6.2%	13.9%	0.9%	3.96	2.67	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	48	3	61	260	63	18	2	6%	1.3	24.2%	6.9%	17.3%	0.8%	3.96	2.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	34	3	67	281	69	24	14	9%	2.0	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	5.7%	3.88	5.59	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	34	3	67	281	69	24	14	9%	2.0	20.2%	8.4%	11.8%	5.7%	3.88	5.59	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AA RAW	ATL	11	2	22	96	30	10	6	18%	2.0	31.2%	10.4%	20.8%	6.2%	4.43	5.21	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	ATL	23	1	45	185	39	14	8	4%	2.0	21.1%	7.6%	13.5%	4.3%	3.60	4.65	—
ROS	28	MLB MLE	ATL	6	0	6	25	5	1	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.0%	14.8%	2.3%	3.76	3.76	+0.1
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	73	306	74	25	15	—	—	24.3%	8.3%	15.9%	4.8%	3.87	5.44	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	63	0	66	280	58	18	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	6.6%	14.3%	2.5%	3.90	3.95	+0.5
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	59	0	62	263	54	19	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	7.1%	13.6%	2.8%	4.06	4.15	+0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	23	0	24	101	21	7	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	6.6%	14.3%	2.5%	3.90	3.95	+0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	32	0	34	144	30	10	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	7.1%	13.6%	2.8%	4.06	4.15	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	52	17	7	0%	1.1	20.8%	6.9%	13.9%	2.7%	3.99	3.69	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	57	24	0%	1.1	20.8%	6.9%	13.9%	2.7%	3.99	3.69	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		271	23	466	1948	351	154	35	8%	1.7	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	1.8%	3.07	3.58	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	10	200	837	151	66	15	8%	1.7	18.0%	7.9%	10.1%	1.8%	3.07	3.58	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anderson Pilar (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.76	20.9%	6.0%	2.3%	—	4.05	20.8%	14.0%	128	+0.29	—	—	—
Andrew Robinson R 2016 · 3.19 FIP	28	SU	3.19	22.2%	7.9%	1.8%	.247	4.32	23.4%	14.6%	39	+1.13	3.19	160	87
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	86
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	86
Simon Castro R 2016 · 3.01 FIP	28	SU	3.01	22.7%	5.6%	2.0%	.313	3.99	28.3%	18.0%	75	+0.98	3.01	185	85
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	84
C.C. Lee R 2015 · 2.59 FIP	28	SU	2.59	23.9%	7.0%	1.1%	.323	3.10	30.9%	21.5%	63	+0.51	2.59	121	84
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	84
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	83
Tommy Hunter R 2015 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	18.9%	4.8%	2.9%	.295	3.14	21.2%	15.9%	172	-0.58	2.78	316	83
Drew Storen R 2016 · 3.72 FIP	28	SU	3.72	21.1%	5.3%	3.1%	.304	3.91	19.5%	11.6%	65	+0.19	2.36	172	82
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	82
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	82
Chaz Roe R 2015 · 3.14 FIP	28	SU	3.14	20.7%	8.4%	1.3%	.300	2.73	28.4%	20.7%	140	-0.41	1.72	257	81
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	81
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	81
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	81
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	81
Ryan Tepera R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.81	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.70	2.35	445	81
Johnny Magliozzi R 2017 · 3.22 FIP	26	SU	3.22	17.1%	5.9%	1.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	131	81
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	66	20.8%	6.6%	0.99	3.90
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Claudio ('21)	1.5	59	16.3%	6.1%	0.76	3.66
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	52	18.3%	6.6%	0.75	3.75