Anderson Pilar
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 28
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 69 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10596vR 87
ERA3.76
FIP3.76
K%21.9%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%15.2%
ROS IP69
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 13 | 2 | 30 | 124 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 15% | 2.3 | 12.1% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 2.97 | 3.23 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 13 | 2 | 30 | 124 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 15% | 2.3 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 0.0% | 2.97 | 2.54 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 26 | 0 | 25 | 118 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 8.6% | 8.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 3.44 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 26 | 0 | 25 | 118 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 3.24 | 2.86 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 33 | 0 | 41 | 157 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 13.1% | 0.0% | 1.55 | 2.23 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 33 | 0 | 41 | 157 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.4% | 4.5% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 1.55 | 1.50 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 1 | 62 | 254 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 16.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 0.7% | 1.61 | 2.97 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 33 | 1 | 62 | 254 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 3% | 1.9 | 22.4% | 5.9% | 16.5% | 0.8% | 1.61 | 2.40 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 30 | 3 | 63 | 269 | 59 | 20 | 6 | 10% | 2.1 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 4.16 | 3.69 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 30 | 3 | 63 | 269 | 59 | 20 | 6 | 10% | 2.1 | 21.9% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 2.2% | 4.16 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 9 | 59 | 253 | 67 | 25 | 2 | 53% | 3.5 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 0.9% | 3.07 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 17 | 9 | 59 | 253 | 67 | 25 | 2 | 53% | 3.5 | 26.5% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.8% | 3.07 | 2.54 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 58 | 232 | 71 | 13 | 5 | 5% | 1.6 | 22.7% | 6.6% | 16.1% | 2.9% | 2.64 | 3.63 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 2 | 58 | 232 | 71 | 13 | 5 | 5% | 1.6 | 30.6% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 2.2% | 2.64 | 2.44 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 48 | 3 | 61 | 260 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 0.9% | 3.96 | 2.72 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 48 | 3 | 61 | 260 | 63 | 18 | 2 | 6% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 6.9% | 17.3% | 0.8% | 3.96 | 2.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 21 | 0 | 39 | 161 | 36 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.9 | 19.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 3.69 | 5.14 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ATL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.76 | 3.76 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ATL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.76 | 3.76 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 108 | 454 | 100 | 33 | 14 | — | — | 22.1% | 7.2% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 3.74 | 4.26 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 7 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 21.9% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.76 | 3.38 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 61 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.8% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 3.95 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 59 | 0 | 62 | 263 | 57 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 52 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 3.95 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 31 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.07 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 0 | 105 | 443 | 95 | 34 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.08 | 3.78 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 65 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 7.6% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.08 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 258 | 20 | 437 | 1828 | 331 | 148 | 26 | 8% | 1.7 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 3.00 | 3.37 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 9 | 200 | 836 | 151 | 68 | 12 | 8% | 1.7 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.4% | 3.00 | 3.37 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Anderson Pilar (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | — | 4.15 | 21.5% | 14.0% | 186 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 88 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.96 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 1.3% | .247 | 4.39 | 23.4% | 14.6% | 39 | +1.43 | 2.96 | 160 | 87 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 87 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 87 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 2.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.85 | 22.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% | .313 | 4.04 | 28.3% | 18.0% | 75 | +1.19 | 2.85 | 185 | 85 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 84 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 84 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.04 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 1.3% | .266 | 3.81 | 24.3% | 15.9% | 164 | +0.77 | 2.33 | 445 | 83 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 83 |
| Chaz Roe R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.16 | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.3% | .300 | 2.78 | 28.4% | 20.7% | 140 | -0.38 | 1.69 | 257 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.96 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 65 | +0.20 | 2.36 | 172 | 83 |
| Alex Colomé R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.91 | 20.6% | 5.7% | 1.5% | .261 | 3.38 | 23.0% | 15.3% | 151 | +0.47 | 2.72 | 530 | 83 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 83 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 82 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.62 | 18.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | .295 | 3.16 | 21.2% | 15.9% | 172 | -0.46 | 2.82 | 316 | 82 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 82 |
| Sam Dyson R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 19.3% | 8.1% | 1.7% | .287 | 3.77 | 18.9% | 11.9% | 187 | +0.34 | 2.67 | 333 | 82 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 82 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 24.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.78 | 22.8% | 13.6% | 168 | +0.47 | 1.74 | 468 | 82 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 64 | 21.6% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.98 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Kelvin Herrera ('19) | 5 | 59 | 23.8% | 7.3% | 1.03 | 3.58 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |