Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 16 | 2 | 42 | 182 | 26 | 19 | 1 | 12% | 2.6 | 9.7% | 13.0% | -3.3% | 0.8% | 3.43 | 4.35 | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays 2 | 16 | 2 | 42 | 182 | 26 | 19 | 1 | 12% | 2.6 | 14.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 3.43 | 3.53 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 13 | 10 | 44 | 209 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 77% | 3.4 | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 8.12 | 4.92 | — |
| 2017 | 20 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 13 | 10 | 44 | 209 | 31 | 11 | 5 | 77% | 3.4 | 14.8% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 8.12 | 3.91 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 14 | 6 | 33 | 161 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 43% | 2.3 | 16.0% | 14.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.44 | 5.42 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Princeton Rays | 14 | 6 | 33 | 161 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 43% | 2.3 | 23.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 2.5% | 7.44 | 4.02 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 31 | 0 | 47 | 194 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 0.4% | 2.85 | 2.69 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 31 | 0 | 47 | 194 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 5.2% | 17.5% | 0.5% | 2.85 | 2.15 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 3 | 56 | 242 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 4.31 | 3.53 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 3 | 56 | 242 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 8% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 0.8% | 4.31 | 2.83 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 50 | 4 | 57 | 261 | 52 | 33 | 7 | 8% | 1.1 | 17.5% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.76 | 4.74 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 50 | 4 | 57 | 261 | 52 | 33 | 7 | 8% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 4.76 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 51 | 232 | 40 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.4% | 12.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.62 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 51 | 232 | 40 | 27 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 4.62 | 4.15 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 2.5% | 3.14 | 3.79 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 43 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 56 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 7.7% | 17.7% | 1.8% | 3.14 | 2.93 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 65 | 277 | 63 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 0 | 65 | 277 | 63 | 30 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 2.2% | 4.18 | 3.75 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 21 | 0 | 21 | 84 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SF | 31 | 0 | 32 | 136 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SF | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | SF | — | — | 53 | 220 | 45 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 20.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 2.2% | 4.05 | 2.82 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | SF | — | — | 44 | 184 | 45 | 23 | 5 | — | — | 24.7% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% | 4.92 | 3.99 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 51 | 29 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SF | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 46 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SF | 55 | 0 | 58 | 245 | 48 | 27 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.59 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SF | 51 | 0 | 54 | 228 | 44 | 26 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 165 | 0 | 178 | 742 | 143 | 80 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.27 | +2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 186 | 0 | 200 | 835 | 161 | 90 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 323 | 25 | 467 | 2062 | 335 | 215 | 42 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 4.57 | 4.17 | +6.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 138 | 11 | 200 | 883 | 144 | 92 | 18 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.3% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 4.57 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joel Peguero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 2.8% | — | 4.85 | 19.5% | 8.2% | 118 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Shintaro Fujinami R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.99 | 23.2% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.88 | 22.5% | -2.9% | 51 | +0.89 | 3.99 | 130 | 77 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.48 | 17.9% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .314 | 4.46 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 38 | -0.02 | 3.46 | 173 | 76 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 72 |
| Luis García R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.80 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.9% | .281 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 179 | +0.01 | 2.40 | 617 | 71 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 19.0% | 12.3% | 2.4% | .333 | 3.24 | 22.5% | 15.8% | 120 | -1.15 | 2.96 | 230 | 70 |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 22.9% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .261 | 3.30 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 143 | -0.96 | 2.39 | 332 | 70 |
| Neftalí Feliz R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.56 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 4.9% | .240 | 4.69 | 16.2% | 2.5% | 92 | -0.87 | 3.57 | 291 | 70 |
| Bo Schultz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 70 |
| Joe Colón J R 2024 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 69 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 69 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 69 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.23 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.60 | 22.0% | 13.3% | 83 | +0.37 | 2.30 | 523 | 69 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 68 |
| Domingo Tapia R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.02 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.0% | .246 | 4.61 | 17.0% | 2.7% | 93 | +0.59 | 3.34 | 395 | 67 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 67 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 66 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 66 |
| José Ramírez R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.56 | 21.7% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 206 | 65 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 1.11 | 4.61 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |