Domingo Tapia
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
+0.1
WAR
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 263 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.17
FIP4.57
xFIP5.66
SIERA5.56
K%22.6%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%12.2%
IP31
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†6060
FB Velo
p9097.4
Whiff%
p5826.6%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p560.306
FB+2.0
CH+0.8
SL-1.5
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 0 | — | — | — | 43.20 | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 20 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 2.1% | 3.56 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 38 | 10 | 88 | 389 | 85 | 26 | 9 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 4.08 | 3.68 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 48 | 4 | 65 | 278 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 3.60 | 4.06 | +0.7 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 44 | 1 | 66 | 302 | 52 | 32 | 8 | 15.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.76 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.08 | — | — |
| 2021 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 57 | 0 | 62 | 259 | 54 | 29 | 5 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.1% | 3.19 | 4.03 | +0.7 |
| 2022 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 43 | 0 | 53 | 241 | 43 | 28 | 2 | 16.3% | 11.9% | 0.9% | 4.10 | 3.71 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 40 | 0 | 41 | 192 | 37 | 32 | 7 | 17.8% | 17.2% | 3.9% | 6.20 | 5.89 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SD | 31 | — | 31 | 129 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 24.6% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.61 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 298 | 15 | 411 | 1839 | 306 | 208 | 40 | 16.6% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +4.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 7 | 200 | 895 | 149 | 101 | 19 | 16.6% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 4.36 | 4.32 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Domingo Tapia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 24.6% | 12.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.74 | 23.7% | 11.2% | 29 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.10 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 277 | 77 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 75 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.75 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.7% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.31 | 187 | 74 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.81 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.64 | 3.81 | 208 | 73 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 122 | 73 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 73 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2024 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.60 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 173 | 73 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.50 | 25.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | .290 | 3.90 | 22.4% | 12.7% | 161 | +0.40 | 3.50 | 219 | 72 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 72 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 19.9% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 71 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 71 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.96 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .309 | 4.52 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.56 | 2.57 | 251 | 70 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.01 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 153 | 70 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 70 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.18 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .253 | 5.14 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +0.96 | 3.38 | 212 | 69 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.25 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.25 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 120 | 69 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.36 | 20.5% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .412 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 137 | 68 |
| Josh Lueke R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 68 |
| Matt Bush R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.65 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.5% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 249 | 68 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.41 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.93 | 176 | 67 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.