Domingo Tapia
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 34
RHP
6'3" / 263 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 107
ERA4.69
FIP4.72
K%23.3%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.4
Whiff%
p5826.6%
K%
p2618.7%
xwOBA vs
p560.306
FB+2.0
CH+0.8
SL-1.5
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 38.1% | -38.1% | 0.0% | 43.20 | 7.93 | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Mets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 0.6 | 0.0% | 38.1% | -38.1% | 0.0% | 43.20 | 17.50 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.56 | 4.44 | — |
| 2016 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.56 | 4.02 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 10 | 88 | 389 | 85 | 26 | 9 | 26% | 2.3 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 1.5% | 4.08 | 3.34 | — |
| 2017 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 10 | 88 | 389 | 85 | 26 | 9 | 26% | 2.3 | 21.9% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 4.08 | 3.38 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 4 | 65 | 278 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 8% | 1.4 | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.60 | 4.07 | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 4 | 65 | 278 | 45 | 29 | 4 | 8% | 1.4 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 3.60 | 3.85 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 44 | 1 | 66 | 302 | 52 | 32 | 8 | 2% | 1.5 | 15.2% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.18 | 4.72 | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Pawtucket Red Sox | 44 | 1 | 66 | 302 | 52 | 32 | 8 | 2% | 1.5 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 5.18 | 4.55 | — |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.08 | 5.54 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.08 | 5.64 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 62 | 259 | 54 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 3.19 | 4.02 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 62 | 259 | 54 | 29 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 3.19 | 3.81 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 53 | 241 | 43 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.3% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 4.10 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 43 | 0 | 53 | 241 | 43 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 0.8% | 4.10 | 3.56 | +0.6 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 41 | 192 | 37 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.8% | 17.2% | 0.6% | 3.7% | 6.20 | 5.81 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 41 | 192 | 37 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 16.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.20 | 5.88 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | MLB | SD | 48 | 0 | 50 | 212 | 50 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 4.69 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 5.02 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | SD | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.13 | 5.33 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 35 | MLB | SD | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 4.87 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 36 | MLB | SD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 5.13 | 5.33 | — |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 75 | 329 | 58 | 40 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 4.23 | 4.05 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 179 | 0 | 200 | 877 | 154 | 106 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 4.23 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 298 | 15 | 411 | 1839 | 306 | 208 | 37 | 5% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 4.36 | 4.23 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 7 | 200 | 895 | 149 | 101 | 18 | 5% | 1.4 | 16.6% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 4.36 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Domingo Tapia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 23.3% | 12.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.17 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 85 | +0.45 | — | — | — |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 79 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.83 | 22.6% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .230 | 4.59 | 19.4% | 12.7% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.83 | 208 | 78 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 104 | 78 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2025 · 4.99 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.99 | 23.4% | 10.7% | 4.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 122 | 77 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.82 | 18.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.22 | 187 | 75 |
| Manny Acosta R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 75 |
| Arquimedes Caminero R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 173 | 74 |
| Mark Lowe R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.79 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.37 | 153 | 74 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.00 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 147 | 74 |
| Pedro Strop R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.93 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 277 | 73 |
| Jim Johnson R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.89 | 23.8% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .309 | 4.58 | 16.8% | 9.0% | 63 | +0.69 | 2.51 | 251 | 72 |
| Radhames Liz R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.31 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77 | 110 | 72 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2028 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 72 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 34 | SU | 5.83 | 17.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 170 | 71 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.67 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .304 | 3.59 | 19.8% | 11.6% | 113 | -1.08 | 2.78 | 326 | 70 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 176 | 70 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 5.21 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.21 | 20.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 120 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.72 | 23.7% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .253 | 5.26 | 25.0% | 13.8% | 32 | +1.54 | 3.41 | 212 | 69 |
| Matt Bush R 2024 · 4.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.74 | 17.6% | 13.0% | 2.7% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 249 | 69 |
| Jean Machi R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.22 | 18.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | .282 | 3.92 | 18.6% | 12.0% | 67 | -0.30 | 3.92 | 186 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 45 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 1.25 | 4.88 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |