Dominic Fletcher

RF Louisville Bats

Age 29 L/L 5'8" / 183 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

Overview

AAAArb-2FA 2029

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	MLBCWS	241	.206/.252/.256	1	0	40	-1.5
2025	27	MLBCWS	34	.219/.265/.469	1	1	99	-0.3
2026	28	AAACIN	291	.273/.361/.423	8	3	72	—	.224/.292/.338
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBCIN	34	.229/.287/.354	1	0	78	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBCIN	96	.225/.283/.346	2	1	75	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.8 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2028Service4.000First FA2029

2027Arb-2$0.4M2028Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Whiff%72

Chase%32

Bat Spd23

Avg EV13

Barrel%10

xwOBA10

CompsRamiro Pena (age 29) · Mike Vento (age 29) · Jose Castaneda (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 6778vR 81

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .287 / .354

PA34

HR1

K%21

BB%6

BABIP274

ISO125

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

728.7%

xAVG

160.223

POWER35

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

2368.5

EYE45

Chase%

3235.3%

SPEED35

Sprint

1025.5

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 269 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

211

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

236

238

—

ISO

039

080

▶▶R

BABIP

243

272

▶R

24.1%

21.8%

▶R

BB%

8.6%

2.8%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Kane County Cougars	—	239	214	68	14	1	5	22	50	3	1	1	318	389	463	852	145	396	21	9	381	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	440	402	106	18	5	15	25	109	7	3	3	264	318	445	763	182	320	25	6	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	449	396	119	29	8	5	42	88	4	5	6	301	373	452	825	152	369	20	9	362	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	142	127	44	6	2	7	13	25	1	4	2	346	411	591	1.002	244	385	18	9	433	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	102	93	28	5	1	2	7	22	0	0	2	301	350	441	791	140	377	22	7	345	109	+1	-1	+2	+2	+2	0.6
2023	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	334	278	81	18	5	10	42	62	10	5	2	291	403	500	903	209	340	19	13	395	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	241	223	46	8	0	1	11	58	3	0	0	206	252	256	508	49	273	24	5	231	40	-17	+0	+1	-4	+5	-1.5
2024	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	106	95	25	6	0	2	10	15	0	0	1	263	333	389	723	126	295	14	9	323	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	34	32	7	5	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	219	265	469	733	250	207	6	6	318	99	-0	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.3
2025	27	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	446	404	105	19	4	17	29	87	7	7	4	260	320	453	773	193	289	20	7	337	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	291	253	69	10	2	8	31	50	4	3	1	273	361	423	784	150	310	17	11	349	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	377	348	81	18	1	4	20	82	3	1	2	233	280	325	604	92	293	22	5	270	69	-14	-1	+4	-7	+8	-1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	239	223	54	11	1	4	13	69	3	1	1	242	293	354	647	112	334	29	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	440	409	87	14	5	9	18	141	7	3	3	213	258	337	595	125	285	32	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	449	409	109	25	7	4	29	105	4	5	6	267	321	391	712	125	338	23	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	142	131	37	5	2	5	9	30	1	4	2	282	333	466	799	183	327	21	6	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	—	102	94	27	4	1	2	6	22	0	0	2	287	330	415	745	128	377	22	6	329	109	+1	-1	+2	+2	+2	0.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	334	293	70	14	4	7	27	78	10	5	2	239	324	386	710	147	294	23	8	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	241	225	46	8	0	1	10	58	3	0	0	204	248	253	501	49	273	24	4	228	40	-17	+0	+1	-4	+5	-1.5
2024	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	106	98	21	5	0	1	7	18	0	0	1	214	267	296	563	82	257	17	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	—	34	32	7	5	0	1	2	2	0	1	0	219	265	469	733	250	207	6	6	315	99	-0	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.3
2025	27	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	446	413	85	15	4	9	20	105	7	7	4	206	255	327	581	121	243	24	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	291	263	59	8	2	6	21	60	4	3	1	224	292	338	630	114	261	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	239	223	54	11	1	4	13	69	3	1	1	242	293	354	647	112	333	29	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Kane County Cougars	—	239	214	68	14	1	5	22	50	3	1	1	318	389	463	852	145	396	21	9	381	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	440	409	87	14	5	9	18	141	7	3	3	213	258	337	595	125	294	32	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	440	402	106	18	5	15	25	109	7	3	3	264	318	445	763	182	320	25	6	333	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	540	146	30	9	9	38	135	5	9	8	270	324	409	733	139	340	23	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	591	523	163	35	10	12	55	113	5	9	8	312	383	486	868	174	373	19	9	379	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	436	387	97	19	5	9	33	100	10	5	4	251	326	395	721	145	313	23	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	436	371	109	23	6	12	49	84	10	5	4	294	391	485	876	191	349	19	11	384	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	347	323	67	13	0	2	17	76	3	0	1	207	254	266	520	59	264	22	5	237	47	-22	-0	+1	-4	+8	-1.8
2024	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	347	318	71	14	0	3	21	73	3	0	1	223	277	296	573	72	280	21	6	259	47	-22	-0	+1	-4	+8	-1.8
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	445	92	20	4	10	22	107	7	8	4	207	255	337	592	130	246	22	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	480	436	112	24	4	18	31	89	7	8	4	257	316	454	771	197	281	19	6	336	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	291	263	59	8	2	6	21	60	4	3	1	224	292	338	630	114	266	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	—	291	253	69	10	2	8	31	50	4	3	1	273	361	423	784	150	310	17	11	349	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Kane County Cougars	—	239	221	54	11	1	4	13	69	3	1	1	244	293	357	650	113	334	29	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	440	412	87	14	5	9	18	141	7	3	3	211	258	335	593	124	285	32	4	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	591	543	146	30	9	9	38	135	5	9	8	269	324	407	731	138	335	23	6	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	436	390	97	19	5	9	33	100	10	5	4	249	326	392	718	144	313	23	8	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	347	324	67	13	0	2	17	76	3	0	1	207	254	265	519	59	268	22	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	448	92	20	4	10	22	107	7	8	4	205	255	335	590	129	240	22	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	291	264	59	8	2	6	21	60	4	3	1	223	292	337	629	114	261	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	347	324	67	13	0	2	17	76	3	0	1	207	254	265	519	59	268	22	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	480	448	92	20	4	10	22	107	7	8	4	205	255	335	590	129	240	22	5	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	291	264	59	8	2	6	21	60	4	3	1	223	292	337	629	114	261	21	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	10%	341	313	71	13	2	7	21	74	4	4	1	227	285	348	633	121	273	22	6	284	78	-9	+0	+3	-4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	34	32	7	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	229	287	354	642	126	274	21	6	287	78	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	353	324	73	14	2	7	22	77	4	3	1	223	281	340	621	116	271	22	6	279	75	-11	+0	+1	-4	+8	-0.5
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	96	89	21	4	1	2	6	21	1	1	0	225	283	346	629	120	272	22	6	282	75	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	473	437	102	22	2	6	26	103	4	2	2	233	282	334	616	101	292	22	5	272	76	-17	-0	+4	-8	+10	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	140	30	3	8	36	142	5	3	3	233	281	333	614	100	292	22	6	272	76	-23	-1	+6	-11	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3518	3227	746	142	30	63	205	839	47	36	24	231	287	352	639	121	290	24	6	281	76	-34	+0	+8	-15	+23	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	138	26	6	12	38	155	9	7	4	232	288	356	643	124	290	24	6	281	76	-20	+0	+5	-9	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sam Fuld'07-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,535 PA	2.3	1,535	12	67	230*	314*	336*	-10	+29	3.7	4.0
/162	664	5	29	-4.3	+12.7	1.6	pk7: 4
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	474	5	1	231	278	318	-5	+3	-1.1	-1.0
/162	664	8	1	-7.1	+3.9	-1.5	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Fletcher (OGILVIE)	29	45	35	35	45	225/283/345	120	273	7	4	22%	6%	78	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramiro Pena 2014 · MLB	29	49→55	41→45	39→50	46	236/287/336	101	287	9	5	21%	6%	76	-0.4	242/285/343	101	286	9	5	18%	5%	77	-0.3	254/287/354	100	286	9	5	14%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Mike Vento 2007 · MLB	29	51	45	38→30	46	252/306/375	123	298	12	5	20%	6%	93	+0.8	232/279/356	124	285	12	6	22%	5%	78	-0.3	217/255/338	121	266	12	2	23%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Jose Castaneda 2014 · AAA	29	45→48	42→45	38→40	39	223/267/323	100	284	11	5	26%	4%	66	-1.1	209/259/306	97	269	10	6	25%	5%	59	-1.6	198/249/279	81	253	9	3	25%	6%	47	-1.1
✕Norel González 2023 · AAA	29	44	49→50	40	42	227/281/372	145	285	17	6	26%	6%	83	+0.1	218/279/345	127	285	14	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	193/264/302	109	251	12	2	27%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Michael Ryan 2006 · MLB	29	48→46	47→50	38→30	46	241/289/373	132	285	15	6	21%	6%	86	+0.3	219/259/353	134	269	15	4	24%	5%	70	-0.8	226/264/388	162	267	19	2	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Jordan Lennerton 2015 · AAA	29	46→51	46→45	36→30	48	228/299/358	130	300	14	2	28%	9%	86	+0.3	215/277/327	112	286	11	5	27%	8%	71	-0.8	190/247/277	87	252	7	0	26%	7%	46	-1.4
✕Mike Costanzo 2013 · MLB	29	42→50	46→50	38→40	42	211/270/339	129	289	13	4	31%	7%	72	-0.7	204/263/333	129	290	14	5	33%	7%	68	-1.0	187/246/314	127	264	14	2	34%	7%	56	-0.9
✕Guillermo Heredia 2020 · MLB	29	48→58	44→45	37→45	49	233/308/351	118	278	11	6	20%	8%	89	+0.5	224/301/365	141	283	14	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	217/302/349	133	278	9	0	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Matt Cepicky 2007 · MLB	29	44→43	44→50	42→30	45	218/272/341	122	278	12	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	210/261/347	137	283	14	5	30%	6%	70	-0.9	188/235/335	147	253	16	1	32%	6%	59	-1.3
✕Ryan Goins 2017 · MLB	29	47→57	40→45	42→45	45	227/276/326	99	283	7	4	22%	6%	70	-0.9	228/279/343	115	292	10	6	24%	7%	75	-0.5	232/287/347	115	303	10	4	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Nate Mondou 2024 · AAA	29	47→55	43→45	43→50	49	227/300/340	112	283	10	6	22%	8%	82	+0.0	231/299/333	102	295	7	9	22%	8%	80	-0.1	231/300/327	96	295	6	9	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	43→42	42→45	41→45	42	213/262/314	101	268	9	4	24%	6%	62	-1.4	212/269/322	110	274	10	5	25%	7%	67	-1.1	202/262/308	106	259	9	3	25%	7%	58	-1.4
✕Carlos Ibarra 2013 · AAA	29	51	44→50	39→40	36	250/282/367	117	322	12	5	26%	3%	82	-0.0	223/259/335	112	281	13	4	25%	4%	65	-1.2	208/242/301	93	258	11	1	24%	4%	50	-1.0
✕Mason Williams 2021 · MLB	29	49→53	47→45	41→55	44	246/290/380	134	295	15	7	22%	6%	88	+0.4	228/278/348	120	298	12	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	220/267/318	98	291	9	13	27%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Brock Stassi 2018 · MLB	28	46→56	45	42→45	51	227/296/350	124	269	13	3	21%	9%	84	+0.1	233/308/347	114	297	10	5	23%	9%	87	+0.4	236/328/337	100	314	4	0	23%	10%	90	+0.2
✕Kevin Flores 2014 · AAA	29	52→49	42→40	35→45	43	252/291/351	99	293	10	2	18%	5%	81	-0.1	249/291/332	83	299	7	4	18%	5%	76	-0.4	248/289/316	68	304	4	2	19%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Jason Conti 2005 · MLB	30	47→40	44→45	40→50	45	230/289/355	124	303	11	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	213/263/330	117	281	12	6	28%	6%	66	-1.1	203/250/309	106	268	11	4	28%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Dan Gamache 2019 · AAA	28	50→51	39→40	36→45	43	234/291/321	87	318	6	3	27%	7%	74	-0.5	213/280/295	82	292	6	6	27%	8%	65	-1.2	145/235/171	26	204	0	0	26%	9%	18	-1.3
✕Phillip Evans 2022 · MLB	29	46→56	43→45	41→40	51	227/305/337	111	274	11	4	21%	9%	84	+0.2	224/290/319	95	265	9	4	18%	7%	74	-0.6	222/287/306	84	260	9	2	17%	7%	69	-0.6
✕Ben Lasater 2013 · AAA	29	48	43→45	39→30	40	234/282/350	116	314	10	4	28%	5%	78	-0.3	213/271/313	100	303	9	6	31%	6%	65	-1.2	171/234/236	65	250	8	0	33%	6%	32	-1.3

Dominic Fletcher

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps