Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 7 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 28.3% | -15.2% | 0.0% | 8.68 | 5.58 | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 7 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 13.0% | 28.3% | -15.2% | 0.0% | 8.68 | 5.99 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 13 | 6 | 26 | 116 | 18 | 21 | 0 | 46% | 2.0 | 10.6% | 22.6% | -12.1% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 5.08 | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays 1 | 13 | 6 | 26 | 116 | 18 | 21 | 0 | 46% | 2.0 | 15.5% | 18.1% | -2.6% | 0.0% | 4.15 | 4.14 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Rays | 10 | 0 | 12 | 73 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.0% | 30.8% | -17.8% | 1.9% | 14.25 | 6.96 | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | GCL Rays | 10 | 0 | 12 | 73 | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 24.7% | -5.5% | 1.4% | 14.25 | 6.35 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Rays | 12 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 15.1% | 16.0% | -0.9% | 0.0% | 6.17 | 3.85 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | GCL Rays | 12 | 0 | 23 | 117 | 26 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% | 6.17 | 2.80 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 63 | 274 | 78 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 2.59 | 3.99 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 63 | 274 | 78 | 31 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 28.5% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 1.5% | 2.59 | 2.92 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 274 | 84 | 36 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 0.6% | 3.63 | 3.06 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 0 | 62 | 274 | 84 | 36 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 30.7% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 0.4% | 3.63 | 2.34 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 65 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 29.4% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 1.1% | 5.04 | 3.28 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 65 | 32 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 32.2% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 1.0% | 5.04 | 2.92 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 31 | 176 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 6% | 0.9 | 22.7% | 25.0% | -2.3% | 1.5% | 8.71 | 5.19 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 31 | 176 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 6% | 0.9 | 23.9% | 23.9% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 8.71 | 5.29 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.57 | 4.91 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 13 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 5.01 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.81 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 26 | 18 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 4.40 | 3.65 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 233 | 161 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 18.8% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 4.40 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 206 | 8 | 271 | 1278 | 274 | 233 | 13 | 4% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 5.11 | 4.16 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 152 | 6 | 200 | 943 | 202 | 172 | 10 | 4% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 18.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 5.11 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Angel Felipe (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.91 | 23.8% | 16.0% | 2.6% | — | 5.01 | 23.1% | 7.6% | 20 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 80 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.02 | 23.1% | 16.2% | 1.5% | .325 | 4.10 | 16.8% | 6.2% | 103 | +0.08 | 4.02 | 328 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 78 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.45 | 25.6% | 16.8% | 2.5% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 272 | 78 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 77 |
| Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.38 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 4.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 153 | 76 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 76 |
| Michael Ynoa R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.64 | 23.1% | 13.8% | 3.2% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 142 | 76 |
| Gregory Infante R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.57 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.7% | .290 | 3.63 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.94 | 2.96 | 230 | 75 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.93 | 21.7% | 14.9% | 3.2% | .205 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 107 | 75 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.66 | 23.1% | 15.5% | 2.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 197 | 75 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.10 | 24.7% | 17.3% | 1.6% | .189 | 4.23 | 22.4% | 9.7% | 54 | +0.13 | 3.28 | 197 | 75 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 75 |
| Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 19.7% | 13.0% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 234 | 75 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.83 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.87 | 232 | 75 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.96 | 17.9% | 13.5% | 1.2% | .363 | 3.59 | 21.1% | 11.3% | 181 | -0.37 | 3.07 | 227 | 75 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.44 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 2.3% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.06 | 3.03 | 115 | 74 |
| Dan Hammer R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.08 | 22.4% | 15.5% | 1.7% | .229 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 238 | 74 |