Jake McCarthy

LF Colorado Rockies
Age 30 L/L 6'0" / 213 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 3.721 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202427MLBARI495.285/.351/.4008251062.2
202528MLBARI222.204/.248/.3454654-1.0
202629MLBCOL596.291/.336/.47515321071.7
2027PROJ30MLBCOL516.285/.335/.44812351041.6
2028PROJ31MLBCOL584.281/.330/.43712311001.1
2029PROJ32MLBCOL572.274/.323/.4221123940.5
Last 3 seasons WAR 2.9  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 3.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.721First FA2030
2027Arb-1$5M2028Arb-2$6M2029Arb-3$6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Whiff%90
Chase%90
Speed90
xwOBA53
Bat Spd48
Barrel%20
Form.271/.316/.425 ▲ rolling true talent (45d window) · proj .268/.317/.407
CompsMichael Bourn (age 30) · Greg Allen (age 29) · Sam Haggerty (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 87104vR 110
AVG/OBP/SLG.285 / .335 / .448
PA516
HR12
SB35
K%17
BB%5
BABIP324
ISO166
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+2BATRUN: +6.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+7RUNFLD: +2.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+3FLDPOS: -5.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-6POSREP: +11.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.40+2.4WAR
0.01.42.92.41.10.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
Whiff%
904.6%
xAVG
670.265
POWER40
Barrel%
204.4
Avg EV
1084.9
Bat Spd
4871.1
EYE45
Chase%
9018.5%
SPEED60
Sprint
9030.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%15%▲14% over 77 PA (45d) · proj 17%
BB%5%▼4% over 140 PA (60d) · proj 5%
ISO.154▲.172 over 128 AB (60d) · proj .139
HR/BB2.2%·1.8% over 110 BBE (60d) · proj 2.6%
BABIP.306·.315 over 108 BIP (60d) · proj .305
SLASH.271/.316/.425▲proj .268/.317/.407
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 769 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
189
580
—
wRC+
83
99
▶▶R
wOBA
291
315
▶R
ISO
074
139
▶▶R
BABIP
332
287
◀L
K%
18.0%
16.0%
▶R
BB%
4.2%
6.2%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2021
Service   3.721 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$5M+2.4$19M+$14M
2028Arb-2$6M+1.1$8M+$3M
2029Arb-3$6M+0.5$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $10M $29M +$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201922 A+Visalia Rawhide — 214195 541332 17522 182 277341405746 128369 248 335 50 — — — — — —
201922 INTLSalt River Rafters — 7468 18411 6200 40 265324397721 132362 278 323 105 — — — — — —
202124 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 7059 13302 8232 32 220333373706 153324 3311 319 100 -0 -0 -0 +2 +2 0.3
202124 AAAReno Aces — 212191 50679 20490 123 262332508840 246306 239 363 86 — — — — — —
202124 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles — 156137 33846 17462 171 241333489822 248318 2911 360 69 — — — — — —
202225 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 354321 911638 23766 233 283343427770 143349 216 340 111 +5 +3 -2 -6 +8 0.8
202225 AAAReno Aces — 165141 521135 19224 114 3694575961.053 227412 1312 457 154 — — — — — —
202326 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 312276 67752 26625 264 243319326645 83305 208 292 78 -8 +4 -3 -6 +7 -0.7
202326 AAAReno Aces — 221197 711339 17294 154 3604225941.016 234383 138 438 133 — — — — — —
202427 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 495442 1261378 317814 256 285351400752 115329 166 334 106 +4 +3 +3 +2 +11 2.2
202528 MLBArizona Diamondbacks — 222206 42754 10402 60 204248345592 141233 185 258 54 -12 +1 +1 -5 +5 -1.0
202528 AAAReno Aces — 237207 651541 24336 123 314401440840 126370 1410 378 100 — — — — — —
202629 MLBColorado Rockies — 596547 159301315 30958 326 291336475811 185326 165 351 107 +5 +4 +1 -6 +13 1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 20491851 498763339 12837437 11521 269329409738 140317 186 325 106 +14 +15 -1 -19 +44 5.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201922 A+ MLEVisalia Rawhide — 214200 41822 12712 182 205257295552 90309 336 242 50 — — — — — —
202124 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 7059 13302 8232 32 220333373706 153324 3311 315 100 -0 -0 -0 +2 +2 0.3
202124 AAA MLEReno Aces — 212196 44567 15590 123 224280418698 194280 287 295 86 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEAmarillo Sod Poodles — 156142 27743 12592 171 190263359622 169297 388 270 69 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 354321 881428 23766 233 274334405739 131349 216 333 111 +5 +3 -2 -6 +8 0.8
202225 AAA MLEReno Aces — 165147 501034 13264 114 340409531939 190386 168 396 154 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 312276 65642 26625 264 236313308621 72305 208 283 78 -8 +4 -3 -6 +7 -0.7
202326 AAA MLEReno Aces — 221203 641136 11374 154 315362488850 172347 175 365 133 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 495443 1241268 307814 256 280345388733 108329 166 325 106 +4 +3 +3 +2 +11 2.2
202528 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 222206 40644 10402 60 194239320559 126233 185 248 54 -12 +1 +1 -5 +5 -1.0
202528 AAA MLEReno Aces — 237214 581141 17396 123 271342374716 103327 167 316 100 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 596549 14929913 29958 326 271317428745 157326 165 327 107 +5 +4 +1 -6 +13 1.7
201922 A+ MLE2 teams — 288269 551132 17962 222 204257290547 86310 336 242 50 — — — — — —
201922 A+ RAW2 teams — 288263 721743 23722 222 274337403740 129367 258 332 50 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLE3 teams — 438397 83141012 351424 326 209280385665 176291 328 289 82 — — — — — —
202124 AAA RAW3 teams — 438387 96171117 451184 326 248333481813 233312 2710 355 82 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLE2 teams — 519468 13724512 3610210 347 293356442798 150352 207 353 125 +15 +4 -2 -6 +11 2.3
202225 MLB RAW2 teams — 519462 14327613 429810 347 310379478858 169369 198 377 125 +15 +4 -2 -6 +11 2.3
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 533479 1301779 37999 418 271335392728 121323 197 317 101 +1 +5 -3 -6 +12 0.8
202326 MLB RAW2 teams — 533473 13820811 43919 418 292362438800 146339 178 352 101 +1 +5 -3 -6 +12 0.8
202427 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 495443 1241268 307814 256 280345388733 108322 166 325 106 +4 +3 +3 +2 +11 2.2
202427 MLB RAWArizona Diamondbacks — 495442 1261378 317814 256 285351400752 115329 166 334 106 +4 +3 +3 +2 +11 2.2
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 459420 981885 27798 183 233292350642 117276 176 283 78 — — — — — —
202528 AAA RAW2 teams — 459413 1072295 34738 183 259327392720 133304 167 320 78 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 596549 14929913 29958 326 271317428745 157305 165 327 107 +5 +4 +1 -6 +13 1.7
202629 MLB RAWColorado Rockies — 596547 159301315 30958 326 291336475811 185326 165 351 107 +5 +4 +1 -6 +13 1.7
201922 A+ MLE2 teams — 288267 551132 17962 222 206257292549 86309 336 242 50 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLE3 teams — 438396 83141012 351424 326 210280386666 177293 328 289 82 — — — — — —
202225 MLB MLE2 teams — 519468 13724512 3610210 347 293356442798 150361 207 353 125 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 533482 1301779 37999 418 270335390725 120323 197 317 101 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 495448 1241268 307814 256 277345384729 107329 166 325 106 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 459421 981885 27798 183 233292349641 116282 176 283 78 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 596554 14929913 29958 326 269317424742 155326 165 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 MLB MLEArizona Diamondbacks — 495448 1241268 307814 256 277345384729 107329 166 325 106 — — — — — —
202528 AAA MLE2 teams — 459421 981885 27798 183 233292349641 116282 176 283 78 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEColorado Rockies — 596554 14929913 29958 326 269317424742 155326 165 327 107 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLECOL 100% 516475 12720810 28868 355 268319407726 139305 175 321 104 +2 +5 +3 -6 +11 2.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXCOL 100% 516475 136211112 28868 355 285335448783 163324 175 344 104 +2 +5 +3 -6 +11 1.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLECOL 100% 584539 14222811 31999 315 264314397711 134302 175 315 100 -0 +4 +0 -6 +13 1.1
202932 MLB MLECOL 100% 572530 13721810 291008 234 258307384692 126298 175 307 94 -4 +3 -1 -6 +12 0.5
203033 MLB MLECOL 100% 452420 1051667 23816 122 251299369668 118293 185 297 87 -7 +2 -2 -5 +10 -0.2
203134 MLB MLECOL 100% 406378 921366 20765 62 242289350639 108287 195 285 79 -10 +0 -3 -4 +9 -0.8
202831 MLB CTXCOL 100% 584539 151231212 31999 315 281330437767 156321 175 337 100 -0 +4 +0 -6 +13 1.1
202932 MLB CTXCOL 100% 572530 146221211 291008 234 274323422745 148317 175 328 94 -4 +3 -1 -6 +12 0.5
203033 MLB CTXCOL 100% 452420 1121698 23816 122 267314405719 139311 185 318 87 -7 +2 -2 -5 +10 -0.2
203134 MLB CTXCOL 100% 406378 971386 20765 62 257303385688 128304 195 305 79 -10 +0 -3 -4 +9 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 40633718 10041507476 23173065 18734 270324412735 141316 186 324 95 -7 +24 -7 -41 +88 5.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650595 161241212 3711710 305 271323412735 141318 186 324 95 -1 +4 -1 -7 +14 0.9
Career— MLE — 58585367 137921784105 342113391 31156 257312387700 130306 196 309 95 -5 +29 -4 -46 +99 7.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650596 15324912 3812610 356 257312388700 131306 196 309 95 -1 +4 -1 -7 +14 1.1