Dauri Moreta — OGILVIE

Dauri Moreta P Indianapolis Indians

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10496vR 88

ERA3.59

FIP3.75

K%30.7%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%20.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL4545

CMD6060

K†7070

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5194.6

Whiff%

p9032.4%

p8127.9%

xwOBA vs

p350.329

FB+0.8 (42%)

SL (57%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	11	0	21	92	30	6	1	0%	1.9	22.2%	8.2%	14.0%	1.5%	1.69	3.10	—
2015	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	11	0	21	92	30	6	1	0%	1.9	32.6%	6.5%	26.1%	1.1%	1.69	1.74	—
2016	20	ROK MLE	Billings Mustangs	22	0	33	148	56	20	0	0%	1.5	25.7%	16.9%	8.8%	0.0%	1.89	3.07	—
2016	20	ROK RAW	Billings Mustangs	22	0	33	148	56	20	0	0%	1.5	37.8%	13.5%	24.3%	0.0%	1.89	1.54	—
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	31	129	45	12	4	0%	1.4	24.9%	8.6%	16.3%	4.0%	4.31	4.31	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	31	129	45	12	4	0%	1.4	34.9%	9.3%	25.6%	3.1%	4.31	3.04	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	56	261	79	26	3	0%	1.4	21.9%	12.0%	9.9%	1.4%	6.79	3.56	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	56	261	79	26	3	0%	1.4	30.3%	10.0%	20.3%	1.1%	6.79	2.36	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	35	0	57	220	64	9	6	0%	1.6	22.4%	4.7%	17.7%	3.1%	2.35	3.50	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	35	0	57	220	64	9	6	0%	1.6	29.1%	4.1%	25.0%	2.7%	2.35	2.70	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	0	57	213	62	10	6	0%	1.2	24.3%	4.9%	19.5%	2.9%	1.11	3.27	+0.9
2021	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	0	57	213	62	10	6	0%	1.2	29.1%	4.7%	24.4%	2.8%	1.11	2.82	+1.2
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	63	1	66	280	67	24	16	2%	1.0	22.7%	8.8%	13.9%	5.1%	4.80	5.12	-0.4
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	63	1	66	280	67	24	16	2%	1.0	23.9%	8.6%	15.4%	5.7%	4.80	5.32	-0.6
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	1	66	277	89	32	5	2%	1.1	31.8%	9.6%	22.2%	1.8%	4.39	2.63	+1.5
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	61	1	66	277	89	32	5	2%	1.1	31.8%	9.6%	22.2%	1.8%	4.39	2.63	+1.5
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	61	1	66	277	89	32	5	2%	1.1	32.1%	11.6%	20.6%	1.8%	4.39	2.84	+1.3
2025	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	1	56	229	77	27	4	2%	1.0	29.9%	11.2%	18.7%	2.1%	2.59	3.13	+0.9
2025	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	55	1	56	229	77	27	4	2%	1.0	29.9%	11.2%	18.7%	2.1%	2.59	3.13	+0.9
2025	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	55	1	56	229	77	27	4	2%	1.0	33.6%	11.8%	21.8%	1.7%	2.59	2.72	+1.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			112	1	117	481	138	42	17	1%	1.0	28.7%	8.7%	20.0%	3.5%	4.17	3.71	+1.2
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	PIT	5	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.0	30.7%	10.0%	20.7%	2.9%	3.59	3.75	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	PIT	60	0	63	264	79	27	8	0%	1.0	29.9%	10.3%	19.6%	3.1%	3.83	3.98	+0.4
2028	32	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	244	71	26	8	0%	1.1	29.1%	10.7%	18.4%	3.4%	4.07	4.24	+0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	PIT	22	0	23	97	29	10	3	0%	1.0	29.9%	10.3%	19.6%	3.1%	3.83	3.98	+0.2
2028	32	MLB CTX	PIT	30	0	32	135	39	14	5	0%	1.1	29.1%	10.7%	18.4%	3.4%	4.07	4.24	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		164	1	172	713	206	66	25	1%	1.0	28.9%	9.3%	19.6%	3.5%	4.10	3.73	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		192	1	200	831	240	77	29	1%	1.0	28.9%	9.3%	19.6%	3.5%	4.10	3.73	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		355	3	443	1849	469	172	48	1%	1.2	25.4%	9.3%	16.0%	2.6%	3.52	3.55	+1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	1	200	835	212	78	21	1%	1.2	25.4%	9.3%	16.0%	2.6%	3.52	3.55	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dauri Moreta (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.75	30.7%	10.0%	2.9%	—	4.10	29.5%	19.0%	120	+0.35	—	—	—
Chris Hatcher R 2015 · 2.92 FIP	30	SU	2.92	27.1%	6.6%	2.3%	.292	4.67	22.6%	14.0%	137	+1.75	2.92	176	74
Jay Jackson R 2019 · 2.80 FIP	31	SU	2.80	32.4%	9.1%	2.3%	.272	3.59	29.4%	19.9%	41	+0.79	2.36	261	73
AJ Ramos R 2017 · 3.86 FIP	30	SU	3.86	27.9%	12.8%	2.7%	.288	5.02	25.0%	8.0%	20	+1.16	2.55	266	73
Spencer Patton R 2016 · 2.79 FIP	28	SU	2.79	30.3%	12.2%	1.3%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	73
Pedro Báez R 2018 · 2.90 FIP	30	SU	2.90	26.2%	8.9%	1.6%	.280	3.37	23.7%	15.4%	87	+0.47	2.29	332	72
Rubby De La Rosa R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	30	SU	4.21	27.7%	8.0%	4.4%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	281	72
Brad Brach R 2016 · 2.69 FIP	30	SU	2.69	29.6%	7.7%	2.0%	.266	3.41	23.7%	13.8%	185	+0.72	2.69	410	71
C.C. Lee R 2017 · 3.14 FIP	30	SU	3.14	28.4%	9.6%	2.2%	.359	3.03	34.7%	25.6%	25	-0.11	2.59	121	71
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	71
Daniel Hudson R 2017 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	24.4%	11.8%	2.8%	.301	4.01	24.1%	15.2%	140	-0.06	1.68	468	70
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	70
John Brebbia R 2019 · 2.89 FIP	29	SU	2.89	28.6%	8.2%	2.1%	.285	3.34	22.8%	17.4%	102	+0.45	2.89	575	70
Jake Cousins R 2023 · 4.46 FIP	29	SU	4.46	26.3%	11.4%	3.9%	.379	3.42	34.2%	21.9%	38	-1.04	1.11	160	70
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	69
Tommy Nance R 2021 · 3.96 FIP	30	SU	3.96	24.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.228	3.43	23.9%	16.6%	99	-0.53	2.12	354	69
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	68
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	68
Junichi Tazawa R 2016 · 4.14 FIP	30	SU	4.14	26.0%	6.2%	4.4%	.288	4.74	17.7%	9.1%	118	+0.60	2.94	227	68
J.J. Hoover R 2017 · 4.32 FIP	29	SU	4.32	27.4%	12.7%	3.5%	.360	6.40	17.2%	8.0%	96	+2.08	4.22	258	67
Pedro Strop R 2015 · 2.70 FIP	30	SU	2.70	30.0%	8.5%	1.9%	.211	2.90	26.9%	18.5%	167	+0.20	2.56	277	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	30.0%	10.3%	1.21	3.82
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Diego Castillo ('22)	1.3	52	28.1%	8.9%	1.07	3.12
Brad Peacock ('19)	1.6	80	28.7%	9.2%	1.18	3.48
Keone Kela ('19)	1.1	43	30.1%	9.4%	0.92	3.23
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22