Dauri Moreta
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10697vR 88
ERA3.61
FIP3.81
K%31.3%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%20.5%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5194.6
Whiff%
p9032.4%
K%
p8127.9%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
FB+0.8 (42%)
SL (57%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 11 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 1.5% | 1.69 | 3.10 | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Reds | 11 | 0 | 21 | 92 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 32.6% | 6.5% | 26.1% | 1.1% | 1.69 | 1.74 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | 22 | 0 | 33 | 148 | 56 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.7% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 1.89 | 3.07 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | Billings Mustangs | 22 | 0 | 33 | 148 | 56 | 20 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 37.8% | 13.5% | 24.3% | 0.0% | 1.89 | 1.54 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 31 | 129 | 45 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.9% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 4.31 | 4.03 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 31 | 129 | 45 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 34.9% | 9.3% | 25.6% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 3.04 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 261 | 79 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.9% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 1.4% | 6.79 | 3.51 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 56 | 261 | 79 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.3% | 10.0% | 20.3% | 1.1% | 6.79 | 2.36 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 35 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 64 | 9 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 4.7% | 17.7% | 2.8% | 2.35 | 3.36 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | 35 | 0 | 57 | 220 | 64 | 9 | 6 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.1% | 4.1% | 25.0% | 2.7% | 2.35 | 2.70 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 213 | 62 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.3% | 4.9% | 19.5% | 3.0% | 1.11 | 3.28 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 57 | 213 | 62 | 10 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.1% | 4.7% | 24.4% | 2.8% | 1.11 | 2.82 | +1.1 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 1 | 66 | 280 | 67 | 24 | 16 | 2% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 4.9% | 4.80 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 63 | 1 | 66 | 280 | 67 | 24 | 16 | 2% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 4.80 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 1 | 66 | 277 | 89 | 32 | 5 | 2% | 1.1 | 31.8% | 9.6% | 22.2% | 1.7% | 4.39 | 2.56 | +1.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 61 | 1 | 66 | 277 | 89 | 32 | 5 | 2% | 1.1 | 32.1% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 1.8% | 4.39 | 2.84 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 1 | 56 | 229 | 77 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 31.2% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 2.1% | 2.59 | 3.22 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 55 | 1 | 56 | 229 | 77 | 27 | 4 | 2% | 1.0 | 33.6% | 11.8% | 21.8% | 1.7% | 2.59 | 2.72 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 89 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.3% | 10.9% | 20.5% | 2.9% | 3.61 | 3.81 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 60 | 0 | 63 | 264 | 81 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.6% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 3.1% | 3.87 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 73 | 28 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.6% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 3.1% | 3.87 | 4.04 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 40 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.8% | 11.6% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 4.13 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 164 | 1 | 172 | 713 | 208 | 69 | 25 | 1% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 3.5% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 1 | 200 | 831 | 242 | 80 | 29 | 1% | 1.0 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 19.5% | 3.5% | 4.12 | 3.75 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 355 | 3 | 443 | 1849 | 472 | 176 | 45 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 3.52 | 3.49 | +9.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 160 | 1 | 200 | 835 | 213 | 79 | 20 | 1% | 1.2 | 25.5% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 2.4% | 3.52 | 3.49 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dauri Moreta (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.81 | 31.3% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.16 | 30.2% | 18.8% | 120 | +0.35 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Báez R 2026 · 2.99 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.99 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .280 | 3.50 | 23.7% | 15.4% | 87 | +0.51 | 2.39 | 332 | 73 |
| AJ Ramos R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.86 | 27.9% | 12.8% | 2.7% | .288 | 5.03 | 25.0% | 8.0% | 20 | +1.17 | 2.55 | 266 | 73 |
| Jay Jackson R 2027 · 2.91 FIP | 31 | SU | 2.91 | 32.4% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .272 | 3.61 | 29.4% | 19.9% | 41 | +0.70 | 2.41 | 261 | 73 |
| Spencer Patton R 2024 · 2.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.74 | 30.3% | 12.2% | 1.2% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 239 | 72 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 27.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .292 | 4.66 | 22.6% | 14.0% | 137 | +1.61 | 3.05 | 176 | 72 |
| Jake Cousins R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.41 | 34.2% | 12.3% | 3.0% | .192 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.11 | 160 | 71 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.04 | 27.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 281 | 70 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 70 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.97 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .301 | 4.06 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | +0.09 | 1.74 | 468 | 70 |
| C.C. Lee R 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.96 | 28.4% | 9.6% | 1.9% | .359 | 3.00 | 34.7% | 25.6% | 25 | +0.04 | 2.50 | 121 | 70 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.23 | 24.4% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.16 | 186 | 69 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 2.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.73 | 29.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 3.43 | 23.7% | 13.8% | 185 | +0.70 | 2.73 | 410 | 69 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 69 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 69 |
| Tommy Nance R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.85 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .228 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 16.7% | 99 | -0.45 | 2.23 | 367 | 68 |
| John Brebbia R 2025 · 2.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.81 | 28.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | .285 | 3.36 | 22.8% | 17.4% | 102 | +0.55 | 2.81 | 574 | 68 |
| Yennier Cano R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.30 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.2% | .310 | 3.40 | 21.4% | 13.2% | 89 | +0.10 | 2.37 | 363 | 68 |
| Armando Rivero R 2024 · 2.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.81 | 32.9% | 13.1% | 1.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81 | 125 | 67 |
| Craig Kimbrel R 2026 · 2.95 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.95 | 38.9% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .212 | 3.32 | 39.8% | 28.7% | 96 | +0.37 | 0.89 | 599 | 67 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.07 | 30.2% | 11.9% | 3.7% | .276 | 3.82 | 27.6% | 17.2% | 109 | -0.25 | 3.07 | 363 | 67 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 30.6% | 11.2% | 1.21 | 3.86 |
| Cody Allen ('19) | 5 | 59 | 31.3% | 10.2% | 1.19 | 3.51 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Ryan Buchter ('19) | 4 | 53 | 26.7% | 10.8% | 1.10 | 2.87 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Brad Peacock ('19) | 4 | 80 | 28.7% | 9.2% | 1.18 | 3.48 |