Jake Mangum — OGILVIE

Jake MangumLF Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 30 S/L 5'11" / 191 lbs MLB Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION253 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8895vR 113

AVG/OBP/SLG.290 / .338 / .378

PA209

HR2

SB13

K%17

BB%5

BABIP346

ISO88

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

906.6%

xwOBA

270.282

POWER35

Barrel%

102.2

Avg EV

1386.3

Bat Spd

1066.8

EYE25

Chase%

6129.6%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.3

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 485 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

162

323

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

310

309

—

ISO

059

072

▶▶R

BABIP

338

349

▶R

11.7%

16.7%

◀◀L

BB%

4.3%

5.0%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.9M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	368	343	82	18	3	8	13	91	9	14	7	239	285	379	664	140	300	25	4	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	368	337	96	22	4	9	19	73	9	14	7	285	340	454	794	169	337	20	5	349	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	306	288	83	14	4	4	12	72	3	14	3	288	323	406	730	118	369	24	4	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA	2 teams	—	306	281	85	15	5	4	19	57	3	14	3	302	353	434	787	132	365	19	6	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	482	130	27	7	4	19	101	9	16	6	270	310	380	689	110	330	20	4	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	473	141	29	8	5	28	91	9	16	6	298	349	425	774	127	356	18	5	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	428	404	115	25	1	4	17	85	4	20	8	285	320	381	701	97	349	20	4	310	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	428	398	126	30	1	6	23	73	4	20	8	317	360	442	802	126	373	17	5	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	450	424	126	20	1	3	22	67	2	27	6	297	335	370	705	73	346	15	5	312	97	-1	+3	+3	-5	+13	1.3
2025	29	MLB	2 teams	—	450	423	128	19	1	3	23	67	2	27	6	303	342	374	715	71	353	15	5	322	104	+2	+3	+3	-5	+13	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	PIT	—	253	229	71	10	1	2	14	42	6	18	6	310	365	389	754	79	371	17	6	331	111	+3	+1	-0	-3	+7	0.9
YTD	30	MLB	PIT	—	253	229	71	10	1	2	14	42	6	18	6	310	365	389	754	79	371	17	6	337	116	+5	+1	-0	-3	+7	1.0
ROS	30	MLB	PIT	100%	209	193	56	9	1	2	11	36	3	13	3	290	338	378	716	88	341	17	5	318	102	+0	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.6
ROS	30	MLB	PIT	100%	209	193	55	8	1	2	11	36	3	13	3	285	333	368	701	83	339	17	5	306	93	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
FULL	30	MLB	PIT	—	462	422	126	18	2	4	25	78	9	31	9	299	351	379	730	81	357	17	5	320	103	+1	+3	-0	-5	+13	1.2
TOT	30	MLB	PIT	—	462	422	127	19	2	4	25	78	9	31	9	301	353	384	737	83	360	17	5	325	107	+4	+3	-0	-5	+13	1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	PIT	82%	447	413	117	18	2	4	24	79	7	24	6	283	333	366	699	82	338	18	5	314	98	-1	+2	-3	-5	+13	0.7
2028	32	MLB	PIT	82%	428	396	109	16	1	4	23	78	6	19	5	275	325	351	676	76	333	18	5	306	93	-4	+2	-3	-5	+12	0.3
2027	31	MLB	PIT	82%	367	339	95	15	1	3	20	65	5	20	5	280	330	357	687	77	336	18	5	301	89	-5	+2	-2	-4	+10	0.2
2028	32	MLB	PIT	82%	351	324	89	13	1	3	19	64	5	16	4	275	325	349	673	74	332	18	5	295	84	-7	+2	-3	-4	+10	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1355	1261	359	54	4	11	69	229	15	76	18	285	329	360	689	75	339	17	5	304	91	-14	+8	-2	-15	+38	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	172	26	2	5	33	110	7	36	9	284	329	359	687	74	339	17	5	304	91	-7	+4	-1	-7	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	3151	2943	818	147	20	33	141	609	43	147	44	278	320	375	696	97	338	19	4	307	93	-25	+12	-3	-34	+89	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	168	30	4	7	29	126	9	30	9	277	319	374	693	97	337	19	4	307	93	-5	+2	-1	-7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	330	303	89	21	4	7	16	58	8	14	6	294	346	459	804	165	340	18	5	353	129	+11	+0	—	—	+9	2.1
2021	25	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	38	34	7	1	0	2	3	15	1	0	1	206	289	412	701	206	294	39	8	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	148	138	46	11	1	2	7	23	1	7	1	333	370	471	841	138	383	16	5	368	140	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2022	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	158	143	39	4	4	2	12	34	2	7	2	273	338	399	736	126	346	22	8	328	109	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	473	141	29	8	5	28	91	9	16	6	298	349	425	774	127	356	18	5	342	120	+12	+1	—	—	+15	2.8
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	428	398	126	30	1	6	23	73	4	20	8	317	360	442	802	126	373	17	5	355	130	+15	+1	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	428	405	120	18	1	3	19	64	2	27	6	296	331	368	699	72	345	15	4	314	98	-1	+3	+3	-5	+12	1.3
2025	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	22	18	8	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	444	545	500	1.045	56	533	14	18	473	220	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	428	405	120	18	1	3	19	64	2	27	6	296	331	368	699	72	345	15	4	314	98	-1	+3	+3	-5	+12	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Young Sr.last yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,180 PA	7	3,180	36	173	275	346	384	-17	-24	8.6	8.6
	/162	664	8	36	275	346	384	-3.6	-4.9	1.8	pk7: 9
#2Norichika Aokilast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,044 PA	6	3,044	33	98	285	350	387	-33	-15	7.4	7.4
	/162	664	7	21	285	350	387	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#3Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	7	3,313	7	211	285	320	344	-10	+1	5.2	5.2
#3Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	/162	664	1	42	285	320	344	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,860	17	107	287	330	367	-20	+4	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	6	38	287	330	367	-7.1	+1.6	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Tony Womacklast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,230 PA	7	3,230	23	169	269	310	351	-8	-7	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	5	35	269	310	351	-1.7	-1.5	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Roger Cedenolast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,250 PA	6	2,250	29	124	270	330	371	-17	-25	2.3	2.3
	/162	664	9	37	270	330	371	-5.1	-7.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	6	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
	/162	664	9	20	275	319	389	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Mangum (OGILVIE)	30	50	35	60	25	301/353/384	83	360	4	31	17%	5%	107	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2015 · MLB	30	53→63	39→40	59→65	47	249/300/338	89	311	5	34	21%	7%	79	+0.3	250/293/325	75	311	4	29	20%	6%	72	-0.2	246/287/327	82	304	5	33	20%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	52→57	43→45	60→65	45	244/333/363	119	323	10	34	26%	7%	102	+1.8	226/314/349	123	299	10	35	26%	7%	90	+1.0	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Eury Pérez 2019 · AAA	29	55→65	39→40	60→65	41	260/294/353	94	314	5	35	19%	4%	80	+0.4	255/297/367	112	308	9	16	19%	5%	85	+0.7	306/345/417	111	368	5	7	17%	4%	112	+0.6
✕Everth Cabrera 2015 · MLB	28	53→60	39→40	59→65	48	253/310/339	86	314	6	37	20%	8%	83	+0.6	219/273/289	70	275	5	21	21%	6%	55	-1.4	190/244/219	28	246	1	22	21%	6%	21	-1.4
✕Eric Young Jr. 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	39→45	64→65	52	250/314/344	95	298	4	41	17%	8%	87	+0.8	225/289/305	80	278	4	40	19%	7%	66	-0.6	240/297/354	114	300	9	24	22%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Ezequiel Carrera 2016 · MLB	29	54→64	41→45	57→60	46	260/309/356	97	314	8	31	20%	6%	87	+0.8	245/308/354	109	307	11	19	23%	8%	87	+0.8	236/304/337	102	299	11	20	24%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Antoan Richardson 2014 · AAA	30	55→59	36→40	62→60	53	253/339/330	77	333	2	29	22%	10%	94	+1.3	233/308/316	83	317	4	32	26%	8%	78	+0.2	256/340/332	76	335	4	49	22%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Alex Sanchez 2006 · MLB	29	61	39→40	54→65	44	291/320/378	87	335	5	31	15%	4%	97	+1.5	256/286/359	103	289	10	15	15%	4%	79	+0.3	288/312/375	87	312	8	20	10%	3%	90	+0.6
✕Justin Christian 2009 · MLB	29	52→57	41→45	63→65	45	248/288/349	101	285	8	39	16%	5%	76	+0.1	250/294/363	113	286	9	31	15%	5%	83	+0.6	261/315/390	129	290	11	30	14%	6%	96	+1.2
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	52→56	37→40	62→65	44	245/299/321	76	308	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.1	231/281/311	80	290	6	31	22%	5%	64	-0.8	234/273/287	53	289	4	38	20%	4%	50	-1.3
✕Eugenio Velez 2011 · MLB	29	53→58	43→50	56→65	45	258/299/380	122	305	9	30	19%	5%	89	+1.0	246/292/364	118	308	9	27	22%	6%	82	+0.5	265/316/392	127	329	10	34	22%	6%	96	+1.1
●Corey Wimberly 2013 · AAA	29	54→64	38→40	57→65	48	254/308/332	79	287	4	31	13%	5%	81	+0.4	250/299/333	83	289	4	22	14%	4%	77	+0.1	295/355/389	94	336	3	33	12%	5%	112	+1.3
✕Damian Jackson 2004 · MLB	30	52→54	40→45	55	49	248/306/345	97	298	6	30	18%	7%	83	+0.6	241/313/362	121	284	12	22	18%	9%	92	+1.2	241/328/365	124	282	13	20	19%	10%	96	+0.6
✕Jason Bourgeois 2012 · MLB	30	57→58	38→45	63→65	47	269/307/351	81	300	5	44	12%	5%	85	+0.7	244/285/320	76	273	5	27	12%	5%	67	-0.5	249/285/329	80	284	5	14	14%	4%	67	-0.3
●Gilberto Mejia 2013 · AAA	30	50→60	39→45	64→65	50	237/295/331	95	282	6	42	18%	8%	75	-0.0	271/326/377	106	326	6	40	18%	6%	100	+1.7	284/339/394	110	341	6	44	17%	6%	106	+1.8
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	51→53	37→40	61→65	48	239/299/311	72	305	4	38	22%	8%	72	-0.2	229/308/315	86	300	5	31	23%	10%	78	+0.2	220/315/297	77	287	4	38	22%	12%	74	-0.0
✕Bernie Castro 2008 · MLB	29	55→64	36→30	62→60	47	260/299/329	70	302	2	33	15%	5%	75	-0.0	243/289/319	76	286	5	27	16%	6%	69	-0.4	250/299/292	42	290	2	33	14%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Roger Cedeno 2003 · MLB	28	56→60	41→45	61→65	51	269/326/368	99	309	8	36	16%	8%	98	+1.6	255/311/361	106	299	9	18	17%	7%	89	+1.0	263/320/373	110	310	8	15	17%	8%	91	+0.7
✕Dee Strange-Gordon 2019 · MLB	31	60→70	38→40	62→65	42	283/312/364	81	323	4	37	14%	3%	89	+1.0	255/290/344	89	296	6	25	15%	4%	76	+0.0	250/281/338	88	292	6	24	16%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Quintin Berry 2015 · MLB	30	50→60	37→40	59→65	48	235/302/310	75	310	4	32	24%	8%	73	-0.1	220/285/286	66	301	5	33	26%	8%	60	-1.0	208/274/258	50	292	4	42	28%	7%	45	-1.1