Jake Mangum — OGILVIE

Jake MangumLF Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 30 S/L 5'11" / 191 lbs MLB HR -15%K -5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION443 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9797vR 97

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .222 / .222

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%5

BABIP333

ISO87

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.1%

xAVG

460.248

POWER35

Barrel%

102.2

Avg EV

1486.3

Bat Spd

1066.8

EYE25

Chase%

9023.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.5

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%20%▼21% over 81 PA (30d) · proj 18%

BB%6%▲6% over 144 PA (45d) · proj 5%

ISO.090·.092 over 173 AB (60d) · proj .087xISO .079 vs .085 prior

HR/BB1.5%·1.5% over 131 BBE (60d) · proj 1.4%barrel% 1.9% vs 2.6% prior

BABIP.326·.310 over 129 BIP (60d) · proj .328xBABIP .279 vs .341 prior

SLASH.266/.317/.356·proj .274/.320/.361

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 485 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

162

323

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

310

309

—

ISO

059

072

▶▶R

BABIP

338

349

▶R

11.7%

16.7%

◀◀L

BB%

4.3%

5.0%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.5M	+$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	330	303	89	21	4	7	16	58	8	14	6	294	346	459	804	165	340	18	5	353	125	+10	+0	—	—	+7	1.8
2021	25	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	38	34	7	1	0	2	3	15	1	0	1	206	289	412	701	206	294	39	8	313	98	-0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	26	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	148	138	46	11	1	2	7	23	1	7	1	333	370	471	841	138	383	16	5	368	135	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.1
2022	26	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	158	143	39	4	4	2	12	34	2	7	2	273	338	399	736	126	346	22	8	328	108	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2023	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	473	141	29	8	5	28	91	9	16	6	298	349	425	774	127	356	18	5	342	118	+11	+1	—	—	+11	2.3
2024	28	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	428	398	126	30	1	6	23	73	4	20	8	317	360	442	802	126	373	17	5	355	127	+14	+1	—	—	+9	2.4
2025	29	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	428	405	120	18	1	3	19	64	2	27	6	296	331	368	699	72	345	15	4	314	99	-1	+3	+3	-5	+9	1.0
2025	29	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	22	18	8	1	0	0	4	3	0	0	0	444	545	500	1.045	56	533	14	18	473	206	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	428	405	120	18	1	3	19	64	2	27	6	296	331	368	699	72	345	15	4	314	99	-1	+3	+3	-5	+9	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	330	308	80	18	4	5	11	70	8	14	6	260	303	393	696	133	307	21	3	297	87	-5	+0	—	—	+7	0.3
2021	25	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	38	35	5	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	1	143	211	257	468	114	273	50	5	228	40	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	148	140	44	10	1	1	5	29	1	7	1	314	342	421	764	107	375	20	3	333	112	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	26	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	158	147	36	3	3	2	8	41	2	7	2	245	293	347	640	102	323	26	5	276	73	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	482	129	26	7	3	19	105	9	16	6	268	308	369	677	102	327	20	4	296	86	-8	+1	—	—	+11	0.4
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	428	405	114	25	1	4	16	86	4	20	8	281	315	378	693	96	343	20	4	302	91	-5	+1	—	—	+9	0.5
2025	29	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	—	428	405	117	17	1	3	19	64	2	27	6	289	324	358	682	69	345	15	4	303	91	-4	+3	+3	-5	+9	0.6
2025	29	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	22	19	8	1	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	421	500	474	974	53	513	14	14	426	174	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	343	86	19	4	7	13	89	9	14	7	251	296	391	687	140	316	24	4	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	368	337	96	22	4	9	19	73	9	14	7	285	340	454	794	169	337	20	5	349	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	287	80	13	4	3	13	69	3	14	3	279	317	383	700	105	355	23	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	306	281	85	15	5	4	19	57	3	14	3	302	353	434	787	132	365	19	6	347	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	482	129	26	7	3	19	105	9	16	6	268	308	369	677	102	332	20	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	473	141	29	8	5	28	91	9	16	6	298	349	425	774	127	356	18	5	342	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	428	405	114	25	1	4	16	86	4	20	8	281	315	378	693	96	346	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	—	428	398	126	30	1	6	23	73	4	20	8	317	360	442	802	126	373	17	5	355	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	424	125	18	1	3	22	67	2	27	6	295	333	363	696	68	344	15	5	309	95	-3	+3	+3	-5	+10	0.8
2025	29	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	450	423	128	19	1	3	23	67	2	27	6	303	342	374	715	71	353	15	5	322	95	-3	+3	+3	-5	+10	0.8
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	368	343	86	19	4	7	13	89	9	14	7	251	296	391	687	140	303	24	4	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	306	287	80	13	4	3	13	69	3	14	3	279	317	383	700	105	348	23	4	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	482	129	26	7	3	19	105	9	16	6	268	308	369	677	102	327	20	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	428	405	114	25	1	4	16	86	4	20	8	281	315	378	693	96	343	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	423	125	18	1	3	22	67	2	27	6	296	333	364	697	69	353	15	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	515	482	129	26	7	3	19	105	9	16	6	268	308	369	677	102	327	20	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	428	405	114	25	1	4	16	86	4	20	8	281	315	378	693	96	343	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	450	423	125	18	1	3	22	67	2	27	6	296	333	364	697	69	353	15	5	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	PIT	—	443	402	113	18	2	4	23	85	12	23	8	281	339	366	704	85	346	19	5	314	99	-1	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	PIT	—	443	402	113	18	2	4	23	85	12	23	8	281	339	366	704	85	346	19	5	316	99	-1	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.5
YTD	30	MLB RAW	PIT	—	443	402	113	18	2	4	23	85	12	23	8	281	339	366	704	85	346	19	5	316	100	+0	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.6
ROS	30	MLB MLE	PIT	100%	9	9	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	222	222	222	444		335	22	0	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	PIT	100%	9	9	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	222	222	222	444		333	22	0	294	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	30	MLB A+C	PIT	—	452	411	115	18	2	4	23	87	12	23	8	280	336	363	699	83	345	19	5	316	99	-1	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.5
TOT	30	MLB MLE	PIT	—	452	411	115	18	2	4	23	87	12	23	8	280	336	363	699	83	345	19	5	314	99	-1	+1	-0	-5	+10	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	PIT	92%	447	412	112	17	2	4	23	85	9	21	6	272	324	352	676	80	331	19	5	307	94	-3	+2	-2	-5	+10	0.1
2028	32	MLB MLE	PIT	92%	428	394	106	16	2	4	22	83	9	17	4	269	322	350	673	81	325	19	5	299	88	-6	+2	-3	-5	+9	-0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	PIT	92%	411	378	103	16	2	4	22	78	8	19	5	272	326	357	683	85	330	19	5	290	94	-3	+2	-2	-4	+9	0.1
2028	32	MLB CTX	PIT	92%	394	362	95	14	1	3	21	77	8	15	4	262	317	331	649	69	323	20	5	281	88	-5	+1	-3	-4	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1242	1154	320	48	4	10	62	221	18	61	15	277	324	352	676	75	334	18	5	295	90	-9	+6	-2	-14	+27	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	167	25	2	5	32	116	9	32	8	276	322	349	672	73	333	18	5	295	90	-5	+3	-1	-7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2951	2756	754	134	21	28	128	586	45	129	40	274	316	368	684	94	336	20	4	301	90	-10	+7	-3	-14	+28	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	607	167	30	5	6	28	129	10	28	9	275	318	371	689	96	338	20	4	301	90	-5	+3	-1	-7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Scott Podsedniklast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,315 PA	6.5	4,315	41	309	281	339	379	-24	-27	10.6	10.8
/162	664	6	48	-3.8	-4.2	1.6	pk7: 11
#2Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	5.0	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
/162	664	5	24	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Norichika Aokilast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,044 PA	4.6	3,044	33	98	285	350	387	-33	-15	7.4	7.4
/162	664	7	21	-7.1	-3.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Chris Denorfialast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,339 PA	3.5	2,339	40	55	272	330	392	-20	+2	6.0	6.4
/162	664	11	16	-5.5	+0.5	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Ben Reverelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,313 PA	5.0	3,313	7	211	285	320	344	-10	+1	5.2	5.2
/162	664	1	42	-1.9	+0.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,156	19	111	279	325	360	-23	+4	3.0	3.0
/162	664	6	34	-7.1	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Raimel Tapialast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,959 PA	3.0	1,959	28	60	275	319	389	-21	-13	2.1	2.1
/162	664	9	20	-7.1	-4.4	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Mangum (OGILVIE)	30	50	35	60	25	275/328/360	85	335	5	26	19%	5%	97	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emilio Bonifácio 2015 · MLB	30	52→62	39→40	59→65	47	248/299/337	89	309	5	34	21%	7%	80	-0.1	251/294/326	75	313	4	29	20%	6%	76	-0.4	254/293/311	57	316	2	33	19%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Greg Allen 2023 · MLB	30	51→57	43→45	60→65	45	241/330/358	117	319	10	34	26%	7%	99	+1.3	221/310/338	117	292	9	35	26%	7%	87	+0.4	210/302/322	111	283	8	40	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→54	40→45	56→60	43	239/286/335	96	314	7	29	25%	6%	76	-0.4	221/279/314	93	295	7	25	26%	7%	68	-1.0	192/254/259	67	258	4	26	26%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Antoan Richardson 2014 · AAA	30	56→59	36→40	61→60	54	257/343/330	73	335	2	29	22%	10%	96	+1.0	233/309/313	80	314	4	32	25%	8%	80	-0.2	252/336/323	71	328	4	49	22%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Luis Durango 2015 · AAA	29	52→62	36→30	55→60	45	245/291/309	63	308	3	31	21%	6%	71	-0.8	253/291/328	75	309	4	29	19%	5%	75	-0.5	277/311/340	62	337	2	38	18%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Eury Pérez 2019 · AAA	29	54→64	39→40	60→65	42	257/293/347	90	310	5	35	19%	4%	80	-0.1	255/302/362	107	310	8	16	19%	5%	88	+0.4	308/348/404	96	372	4	7	17%	5%	109	+0.5
✕Yordanys Linares 2019 · AAA	30	54	40→45	53→60	43	257/296/359	102	301	6	27	17%	4%	84	+0.2	265/308/372	107	310	9	18	17%	5%	93	+0.8	298/335/390	93	345	7	19	15%	4%	103	+0.8
✕Rich Thompson 2009 · AAA	30	52→60	39→40	60→65	46	247/302/344	98	303	5	25	20%	6%	84	+0.1	248/298/342	94	303	5	31	19%	5%	81	-0.1	263/313/360	96	321	4	44	18%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	49	242/298/329	88	293	4	28	18%	7%	78	-0.3	232/297/305	73	281	4	17	17%	8%	73	-0.6	224/294/281	57	267	2	15	15%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Trevor Crowe 2014 · MLB	30	51→55	39→45	53→55	48	241/297/326	85	295	6	24	20%	7%	78	-0.3	229/274/327	98	274	8	17	19%	6%	70	-0.9	214/245/299	85	249	7	15	17%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Eric Young Jr. 2015 · MLB	30	52→60	39→45	65	50	245/308/339	94	295	4	43	18%	8%	85	+0.2	229/292/314	85	282	6	36	20%	7%	74	-0.6	243/300/354	111	304	9	24	22%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	48→54	39→40	60→65	45	226/292/312	86	288	6	33	23%	6%	73	-0.6	232/279/308	76	287	6	28	21%	5%	67	-1.1	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4
✕Alexi Casilla 2014 · MLB	30	49→59	39→40	60	49	232/287/327	95	268	5	30	16%	7%	74	-0.5	239/281/320	81	283	5	18	17%	5%	70	-0.9	243/279/309	66	290	3	14	17%	5%	62	-0.7
●Corey Wimberly 2013 · AAA	29	54→64	37→40	57→65	48	251/308/326	75	285	4	31	13%	6%	82	-0.0	250/301/331	81	289	3	22	14%	5%	80	-0.2	292/352/381	89	332	2	33	12%	5%	108	+1.0
✕Julio Borbon 2015 · MLB	29	53→62	38→40	56→60	46	252/295/327	75	297	6	27	17%	6%	76	-0.4	259/294/328	69	306	5	27	16%	5%	76	-0.4	276/309/341	66	321	4	28	15%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Jason Bourgeois 2011 · MLB	29	55→58	39→45	59→65	47	262/303/346	84	295	6	34	14%	5%	84	+0.1	256/297/335	79	287	5	35	12%	5%	79	-0.2	257/296/324	67	286	3	37	11%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Roman Quinn 2022 · MLB	29	47→55	45	61→65	44	224/301/353	129	315	11	31	31%	8%	86	+0.3	208/302/330	122	342	11	25	38%	10%	82	+0.0	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4
✕Billy Hamilton 2020 · MLB	29	49→59	38→40	62→70	49	231/294/313	83	301	4	37	23%	8%	74	-0.6	208/263/307	99	293	7	34	29%	7%	61	-1.5	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Craig Gentry 2013 · MLB	29	55→57	39→40	57→60	47	258/323/344	86	309	5	29	18%	6%	92	+0.7	253/321/333	80	308	5	33	18%	7%	88	+0.5	221/287/294	73	284	4	29	22%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Alfredo Amezaga 2007 · MLB	29	54→56	39→40	52→55	52	257/319/344	87	293	6	27	14%	8%	90	+0.6	254/313/350	96	290	5	17	14%	7%	88	+0.5	269/319/347	78	317	5	6	16%	6%	89	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps