Player 840332 — OGILVIE

Player 8403321B Lake Elsinore Storm

Age — —/— A HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .500

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO300

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	SD	—	71	66	17	2	0	6	4	19	1	0	2	258	310	561	870	303	268	27	6	362	131	+3	-1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	SD	—	71	65	21	3	0	7	5	14	1	0	2	323	380	692	1.073	369	318	20	7	459	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	SD	0%	11	10	2	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	200	273	500	773	300	287	27	9	315	100	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	SD	—	82	76	19	2	0	7	5	22	1	0	2	250	305	553	858	303	255	27	6	356	127	+3	-1	+0	-1	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	217	199	47	7	1	10	14	61	2	2	1	236	293	432	725	196	287	28	6	316	100	+0	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	343	314	74	12	1	15	22	95	4	3	2	236	294	424	718	188	287	28	6	317	101	+0	-0	+0	-6	+7	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	428	393	94	15	2	19	28	118	4	4	3	239	296	433	729	193	287	28	7	317	101	+0	-0	+0	-8	+9	0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	485	445	105	17	2	21	32	133	5	5	3	236	295	425	719	189	287	27	7	318	101	+1	-0	+0	-9	+11	0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	525	479	114	18	2	23	35	144	6	5	3	238	298	428	726	190	287	27	7	318	101	+1	-0	+0	-9	+11	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	552	504	119	19	2	24	37	151	6	5	3	236	296	425	721	188	286	27	7	318	101	+1	-0	+0	-10	+12	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	572	523	124	20	2	25	38	156	6	5	3	237	296	426	723	189	286	27	7	318	101	+1	-0	+0	-10	+12	0.3
2034	25	MLB MLE	SD	0%	587	537	127	20	2	26	39	160	6	6	3	236	296	426	722	190	286	27	7	318	101	+1	+0	+0	-10	+13	0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	309	100	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	284	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	283	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	283	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	SD	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	283	—	—	310	101	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3720	3404	806	128	14	164	246	1021	39	35	21	237	296	427	723	190	287	27	7	317	101	+4	-1	+0	-66	+81	1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	140	22	2	29	43	178	7	6	4	235	295	425	720	190	284	27	7	317	101	+1	-0	+0	-12	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Eddie Rosariolast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,347 PA	6.5	4,347	169	65	262	298	450	-47	-39	7.0	8.7
/162	664	26	10	-7.1	-6.0	1.1	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	5.9	3,924	170	38	238	293	428	-44	+0	7.1	6.8
/162	664	29	6	-7.4	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 6
#5Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#6Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	4.4	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
/162	664	26	4	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 840332 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	233/288/426	193	287	10	2	29%	6%	100	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mac Williamson 2015 · A	25	49→50	54→55	51→45	42	250/313/428	179	316	22	10	28%	6%	108	+1.9	233/292/378	145	304	17	6	28%	6%	88	+0.5	212/278/376	164	272	23	5	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jason Fransz 2006 · A	25	48	54→60	48→40	41	248/297/431	183	293	22	5	24%	5%	103	+1.6	224/279/392	168	279	22	4	28%	5%	88	+0.4	202/261/371	168	245	24	1	29%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Joe Davis 2022 · A	25	47	53→55	43→30	40	244/284/411	167	292	22	3	25%	5%	94	+0.9	222/265/382	160	268	23	4	26%	5%	80	-0.2	190/231/352	161	209	28	0	26%	4%	57	-0.9
✕David Cook 2006 · A	25	44→50	55	45→50	48	230/310/419	189	305	23	7	32%	10%	105	+1.7	219/298/387	168	282	19	10	28%	9%	93	+0.8	231/311/411	181	277	21	10	24%	10%	102	+1.3
✕Blaine Crim 2022 · AA	25	44→49	58→55	44→45	38	240/290/431	191	291	28	4	28%	5%	101	+1.4	240/301/401	161	285	20	4	23%	7%	98	+1.2	236/304/391	155	278	19	3	22%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Andy Wilson 2006 · A	25	45→43	56→60	46→45	48	238/298/430	192	274	25	7	24%	8%	103	+1.5	217/274/340	123	286	13	5	28%	7%	73	-0.6	193/248/278	85	268	8	0	30%	6%	47	-1.5
✕Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	44→49	54→55	47→40	46	231/301/411	180	284	22	6	27%	8%	100	+1.3	225/287/388	163	274	20	5	25%	7%	89	+0.5	235/306/419	184	277	23	3	24%	8%	101	+1.0
✕Tyler Moore 2012 · AA	25	40→48	56→65	48→40	36	221/259/413	192	280	24	2	31%	4%	85	+0.2	234/287/419	185	296	23	4	29%	6%	97	+1.1	232/297/401	170	292	21	3	28%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Adam Duvall 2013 · A	24	41→45	56→70	47→45	43	223/280/414	192	260	25	5	26%	6%	93	+0.8	217/266/398	181	254	24	4	25%	5%	84	+0.2	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
●Dennis Raben 2012 · A	25	46→42	56→60	45→40	38	238/289/428	189	318	24	3	32%	5%	99	+1.3	234/294/411	177	296	23	4	28%	6%	97	+1.1	232/294/432	200	276	29	3	28%	6%	101	+0.8
✕Michael Carlin 2006 · A	25	48→46	52→60	52→45	41	245/305/418	173	309	20	7	27%	6%	103	+1.5	230/290/371	141	289	14	8	24%	6%	86	+0.3	230/286/374	144	283	14	8	23%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Josh Jung 2023 · MLB	25	46→56	56→60	48→45	38	241/290/433	192	310	24	7	30%	5%	101	+1.4	250/294/419	169	322	22	6	28%	5%	99	+1.3	259/309/396	137	316	16	5	23%	6%	96	+0.7
✕Mike Bianucci 2010 · A	24	42→40	57→60	46→40	38	229/279/424	196	291	26	7	31%	5%	95	+1.0	212/255/367	155	274	20	4	30%	4%	73	-0.6	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Renato Núñez 2019 · MLB	25	42→51	51→60	47→30	42	221/276/380	158	279	20	3	28%	6%	83	+0.1	236/301/422	186	286	25	3	26%	7%	103	+1.5	229/300/429	200	270	28	1	26%	7%	102	+1.0
✕Kris Sanchez 2009 · A	25	47	55→50	49→30	43	243/302/430	186	319	23	5	31%	7%	104	+1.6	236/302/381	145	332	15	4	31%	8%	93	+0.8	239/311/392	153	336	15	0	31%	8%	99	+0.6
✕Ryan Ward 2022 · A	24	44→45	56→60	44→50	40	232/286/417	185	303	25	7	32%	6%	96	+1.0	211/265/380	169	277	22	8	32%	6%	80	-0.2	219/280/410	191	262	26	11	27%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Claudio Arias 2006 · A	24	44	58→65	48→40	34	236/273/435	199	304	27	6	32%	4%	95	+1.0	213/250/355	142	314	16	6	36%	4%	68	-1.0	185/216/310	125	283	13	4	39%	3%	40	-1.5
✕Wilin Rosario 2014 · MLB	25	48→54	57→60	43→45	40	258/290/445	187	299	26	6	24%	4%	104	+1.6	252/288/408	156	297	18	5	22%	5%	94	+0.9	246/279/390	145	286	17	3	21%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Andrew Brown 2010 · AA	25	46→47	50→60	47→40	44	236/299/393	157	300	19	3	27%	7%	95	+0.9	237/297/404	167	312	21	4	30%	7%	97	+1.1	231/296/414	183	303	22	4	30%	8%	99	+0.9
✕Alex Frazier 2006 · A	25	42→39	52→55	44→45	44	220/295/384	164	279	20	6	28%	8%	92	+0.7	209/262/332	123	281	14	5	30%	5%	67	-1.1	188/226/290	102	254	12	1	30%	3%	42	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps