Player 838854 — OGILVIE

Player 838854— DSL Mariners

Age — —/— ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION94 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .312 / .268

PA64

HR0

K%27

BB%11

BABIP308

ISO54

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	SEA	—	94	77	20	5	0	0	14	22	2	13	0	260	387	325	712	65	357	23	15	320	103	+0	+3	+0	-2	+3	0.4
YTD	—	ROK	SEA	—	94	69	23	6	0	0	22	15	2	13	0	333	505	420	926	87	418	16	23	425	183	+9	+3	+0	-2	+3	1.3
ROS	—	ROK	SEA	0%	64	56	12	3	0	0	7	17	1	3	0	214	312	268	580	54	303	27	11	283	75	-2	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		301	—	—	272	66	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	SEA	—	94	78	20	5	0	0	14	22	2	13	0	256	387	321	708	64	351	23	15	320	103	+0	+3	+0	-2	+3	0.4
TOT	—	ROK	SEA	—	158	133	32	8	0	0	21	39	3	16	0	241	357	301	657	60	337	25	13	305	92	-1	+3	+0	-3	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SEA	0%	160	140	31	6	1	1	17	41	2	5	0	221	314	300	614	79	301	26	11	287	78	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	SEA	0%	306	266	59	12	1	3	33	78	4	9	1	222	317	308	625	86	300	25	11	291	81	-7	+1	+0	-5	+9	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	SEA	0%	404	353	80	16	2	5	43	103	5	11	1	227	319	326	645	99	299	25	11	293	83	-8	+2	+0	-7	+11	-0.2
2030	25	MLB	SEA	0%	469	411	92	18	2	6	49	119	6	13	1	224	315	321	637	97	299	25	10	295	84	-9	+2	+0	-8	+13	-0.2
2031	25	MLB	SEA	0%	514	449	101	20	2	7	54	130	6	14	1	225	316	325	641	100	299	25	11	296	84	-9	+2	+0	-9	+15	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	280	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	284	75	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	284	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1917	1675	375	75	8	22	203	488	24	55	4	224	317	318	634	94	300	25	11	293	82	-38	+9	+0	-34	+54	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	127	25	3	7	69	165	8	19	1	224	316	315	631	92	301	25	11	293	82	-13	+3	+0	-12	+18	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,011	25	57	225	313	321	-23	+0	0.3	0.5
	/162	664	8	19	225	313	321	-7.5	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 838854 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	241/357/301	60	337	0	16	25%	13%	92	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→47	39→45	49→60	42	209/273/298	89	279	5	17	26%	6%	58	-1.2	219/305/336	117	296	11	28	28%	8%	82	+0.5	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
●Trei Cruz 2022 · A	24	36→46	39→45	52→50	52	171/280/262	92	279	6	14	37%	13%	54	-1.4	188/268/301	113	284	11	11	34%	10%	57	-1.2	223/300/348	125	306	12	10	29%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Cade Gotta 2016 · A	24	40→50	40→45	53→55	42	197/257/297	100	275	7	15	30%	7%	51	-1.7	229/274/327	98	294	7	27	23%	6%	65	-0.7	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	42→47	40→45	55	47	206/277/296	90	272	8	23	26%	8%	59	-1.1	239/290/343	104	296	9	23	21%	6%	76	+0.1	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Corey Julks 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40→55	48→55	44	206/273/302	95	290	7	12	30%	8%	59	-1.1	226/284/379	153	298	18	17	29%	7%	84	+0.6	227/289/390	162	290	20	21	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Vinny Capra 2021 · AA	25	41→50	39→45	50	43	200/253/282	83	259	6	13	25%	6%	45	-2.1	243/305/372	129	316	13	10	26%	7%	91	+1.1	251/319/372	120	320	12	9	24%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Tanner Kirwer 2021 · A	25	46	37→40	56→60	40	210/275/284	75	323	5	19	34%	7%	56	-1.3	211/292/319	108	304	12	33	32%	9%	72	-0.2	199/283/299	99	284	13	41	32%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Levi Jordan 2021 · A	25	41→51	37→45	47→50	41	197/247/269	72	268	5	8	28%	6%	39	-2.5	228/285/350	122	301	12	10	27%	6%	77	+0.1	247/311/375	128	308	12	15	23%	6%	90	+0.6
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3