Player 838013 DSL Nationals
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION92 act + 66 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .303 / .333
PA66
HR1
K%23
BB%8
BABIP295
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +0.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+1BATRUN: +1.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.10.1-$0M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKWSH 9282 25701 6164 91 305380427807 122369 177 339 118 +2 +1 +0 -2 +3 0.4
YTD ROKWSH 9278 31901 10114 91 3974895511.040 154455 1211 463 212 +12 +1 +0 -2 +3 1.4
ROS ROKWSH 0% 6660 14301 5151 20 233303333636 100306 238 294 83 -1 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.0
ROS MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 306 278 71 +0 -0
FULL ROKWSH 9283 25701 6164 91 301380422802 120364 177 339 118 +2 +1 +0 -2 +3 0.4
TOT ROKWSH 158142 391002 11315 111 275348387735 113339 207 320 103 +1 +2 +0 -3 +4 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBWSH 0% 160144 34712 12373 30 236308340648 104302 238 294 83 -3 +1 +0 -3 +5 -0.1
202825 MLBWSH 0% 306274 651414 23706 51 237310339650 102302 238 297 86 -5 +1 +0 -5 +9 -0.1
202925 MLBWSH 0% 404363 871926 31927 71 240312353664 113301 238 299 87 -6 +1 +0 -7 +11 -0.1
203025 MLBWSH 0% 469422 1022228 361078 81 242313360673 118301 238 301 88 -6 +1 +0 -8 +13 -0.0
203125 MLBWSH 0% 514460 1112429 401179 81 241314361675 120300 238 301 89 -6 +1 +0 -9 +15 0.0
203225 MLBWSH 0% 545488 1172529 4212410 91 240313355667 115300 238 302 89 -7 +1 +0 -10 +15 0.1
203325 MLBWSH 0% 567508 12226210 4412910 91 240313358671 118300 238 303 90 -6 +1 +0 -10 +16 0.1
202725 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 302 280 73 +0 -0
202825 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 302 284 75 +0 -0
202925 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 301 286 77 +0 -0
203025 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 301 288 78 +0 -0
203125 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 288 79 +0 -0
203225 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 289 79 +0 -0
203325 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 289 80 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 30312719 6521401249 23369154 516 240312354667 114302 238 300 88 -41 +8 +0 -54 +86 -0.1
/ 162G 650583 14130311 5014812 111 242315360675 118304 238 300 88 -9 +2 +0 -12 +18 -0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA
82,2755230253302405-24-62.02.8
/162664159-7.1-1.80.6pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,1235053240309353-35+01.81.9
/1626641111-7.4+0.00.4pk7: 2
#5Travis Sniderlast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA
81,9715422244311399-21-171.41.8
/162664187-7.1-5.80.5pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 838013 (OGILVIE) 25 275/348/387 113339 211 20% 7% 103 +0.4
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
Devlin Granberg
2021 · A
25 45→44 40→45 46→45 42 215/280/307 92291 76 27% 6% 64 -0.8 239/298/388 149291 168 23% 5% 92 +1.2 243/303/40215929018822%5%94+0.8
Max Schuemann
2021 · A
24 44→47 39→45 49→60 42 209/273/298 89279 517 26% 6% 58 -1.2 219/305/336 117296 1128 28% 8% 82 +0.5 220/317/335116299122228%10%86+0.6
Matt Rudick
2022 · A
24 45→44 39→45 56→50 49 215/284/308 92270 611 22% 8% 66 -0.6 212/297/327 115264 1014 22% 9% 77 +0.1 206/302/338132254151624%10%78+0.1
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Marty Gantt
2015 · A
25 46→45 40→45 51→50 42 218/282/319 100311 711 30% 7% 67 -0.5 220/289/331 111296 911 27% 8% 73 -0.1 208/283/321112268111225%8%66-0.3
Matt Thayer
2007 · A
25 49→46 38→40 50 46 232/292/315 82298 514 23% 7% 70 -0.3 229/297/301 72307 412 25% 8% 69 -0.4 236/315/2814532221224%9%68-0.3
Chris Emanuele
2009 · A
25 45 41→45 49→50 43 214/281/315 100289 79 27% 7% 66 -0.6 216/277/320 104301 913 30% 6% 66 -0.6 212/269/314102298101731%5%56-0.9
Daniel Lyons
2010 · A
25 44→48 40→45 51→50 50 209/293/306 97268 715 23% 9% 69 -0.4 198/286/274 76275 412 27% 9% 59 -1.1 173/276/2235024921128%10%41-1.4
Jeff McVaney
2015 · A
25 45→50 42→45 48→50 43 220/277/330 111275 810 23% 5% 68 -0.5 221/286/316 95277 613 21% 6% 69 -0.4 217/286/3058827151320%6%62-0.6
Elliott Blair
2013 · A
25 43→53 39→45 53→50 40 207/272/298 91284 512 28% 5% 59 -1.1 225/286/329 104316 89 29% 6% 72 -0.2 235/295/3421073338930%6%76+0.0
Quincy Hamilton
2022 · A
24 46→44 40→50 51→50 46 220/295/307 87301 715 28% 8% 70 -0.3 219/300/362 143286 1614 28% 9% 87 +0.8 207/292/361154264181428%9%80+0.3
Eli White
2019 · AA
25 49 41→50 49→60 42 230/288/337 107320 712 29% 6% 74 -0.1 213/280/330 117302 1113 31% 7% 70 -0.3 238/302/384146318183130%7%89+0.5
Efrain Contreras
2010 · A
23 46 40→45 52→55 43 221/283/315 94287 811 25% 6% 67 -0.5 195/245/270 75294 67 34% 5% 39 -2.5 161/204/217562446535%4%5-2.3
Ben Harrison
2006 · A
24 45→50 41→50 50 41 217/268/312 96298 912 29% 6% 59 -1.1 229/289/375 146313 1811 31% 6% 85 +0.7 229/293/384155314201232%7%88+0.7
Allen Córdoba
2021 · A
25 48→53 41→45 53→55 40 231/281/330 100302 720 26% 5% 69 -0.4 233/301/351 118292 1016 23% 6% 84 +0.6 231/305/357125285111822%6%86+0.3
Huascar Fuentes
2017 · A
25 42 41→50 49→45 39 203/271/309 106277 87 28% 5% 61 -1.0 201/257/280 79289 46 30% 5% 47 -1.9 174/223/233602520229%3%17-1.0
Jonathan Davis
2016 · A
24 43→52 40→45 46→55 41 209/267/309 100279 713 27% 6% 59 -1.1 211/292/331 120286 1120 28% 8% 76 +0.0 221/302/335114287102025%8%78+0.2
Justin Maffei
2016 · A
24 50 37→40 50 46 233/299/306 74305 311 23% 7% 70 -0.3 228/299/300 72302 411 24% 8% 69 -0.4 224/300/2714730111123%8%60-0.2
Vinny Capra
2021 · AA
25 41→50 39→45 50 43 200/253/282 83259 613 25% 6% 45 -2.1 243/305/372 129316 1310 26% 7% 91 +1.1 251/319/37212032012924%8%93+0.5