Player 837978 — OGILVIE

Player 837978— DSL Tigers 1

Age — —/— ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 89 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .281 / .296

PA89

HR1

K%25

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DET	—	69	61	11	3	0	1	6	12	1	2	1	180	265	279	543	98	204	17	9	232	36	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
YTD	—	ROK	DET	—	69	58	14	4	0	1	9	8	1	2	1	241	353	362	715	121	260	12	13	324	106	+0	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	—	ROK	DET	0%	89	81	17	4	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	210	281	296	577	86	276	25	8	266	62	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
ROS	—	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	254	53	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	DET	—	69	62	11	3	0	1	6	12	1	2	1	177	265	274	539	97	200	17	9	232	36	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
TOT	—	ROK	DET	—	158	142	28	7	0	2	13	34	2	3	1	197	274	289	563	92	243	22	8	251	50	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	DET	0%	160	145	31	6	1	2	12	39	2	2	1	214	283	310	593	97	277	24	8	271	65	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	249	226	48	10	1	3	19	61	3	3	1	212	282	305	588	93	276	24	8	269	64	-10	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	126	26	3	8	50	159	8	8	3	214	284	308	593	95	277	24	8	269	64	-26	+0	+0	-12	+18	-2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	318	4	4	217	281	313	-5	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	8	9	217	281	313	-9.5	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837978 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	197/274/289	92	243	2	3	22%	8%	50	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	44→43	41→45	49→40	40	214/257/316	102	281	7	5	26%	5%	55	-1.4	222/265/338	116	285	12	7	26%	5%	65	-0.7	218/256/333	115	272	14	5	25%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Jeremy Cruz 2012 · A	25	44→42	41→45	45	39	215/258/314	99	290	8	7	28%	5%	56	-1.3	222/267/342	120	305	12	7	30%	5%	67	-0.5	232/263/401	169	316	20	0	33%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→34	40→55	46→45	45	207/265/301	95	267	8	8	25%	7%	55	-1.4	204/253/336	132	284	15	6	33%	5%	59	-1.1	198/248/340	142	268	17	5	32%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	42→36	39→40	47→45	44	205/260/294	89	264	6	8	24%	6%	51	-1.7	196/249/271	75	276	4	7	28%	6%	40	-2.4	175/225/238	62	250	2	5	29%	6%	17	-2.4
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	206/269/289	83	286	6	6	29%	7%	54	-1.4	220/275/329	109	291	10	7	26%	6%	67	-0.5	214/263/335	121	269	12	4	25%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	39	44→45	49→40	42	198/262/310	112	269	11	6	30%	7%	57	-1.2	190/247/298	108	260	12	4	31%	6%	47	-1.9	181/237/285	104	244	12	2	30%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Daniel Arribas 2017 · A	24	41→39	42→40	48→45	43	204/271/302	98	273	10	7	28%	7%	59	-1.1	198/273/287	89	286	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	127/235/159	33	213	0	15	36%	11%	7	-1.0
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	42	41→50	49→45	39	203/271/309	106	277	8	7	28%	5%	61	-1.0	201/257/280	79	289	4	6	30%	5%	47	-1.9	174/223/233	60	252	0	2	29%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→37	41→45	49→50	42	208/269/307	99	296	7	15	31%	7%	59	-1.1	207/260/315	108	303	8	15	32%	6%	56	-1.3	194/236/310	116	288	7	19	34%	4%	40	-0.9
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	45	41→45	49→50	43	214/281/315	100	289	7	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	216/277/320	104	301	9	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	212/269/314	102	298	10	17	31%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1