Player 837955 — OGILVIE

Player 8379551B DSL Padres Gold

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 108 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .278 / .278

PA108

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	140	38	7	0	0	21	21	2	0	0	271	374	321	696	50	317	13	13	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	146	28	5	0	0	15	26	2	0	0	192	276	226	502	34	221	16	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	146	28	5	0	0	15	26	2	0	0	192	276	226	502	34	231	16	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	140	38	7	0	0	21	21	2	0	0	271	374	321	696	50	317	13	13	322	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	147	28	5	0	0	15	26	2	0	0	190	276	224	501	34	221	16	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	165	147	28	5	0	0	15	26	2	0	0	190	276	224	501	34	221	16	9	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	215	195	42	7	1	1	16	55	2	1	1	214	280	280	560	66	287	26	7	257	60	-10	-0	+0	-4	+5	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	174	157	34	6	1	1	13	44	2	1	0	216	283	291	573	74	287	25	7	262	64	-8	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	216	283	291	573	74	287	—	—	262	64	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	447	401	83	14	2	2	36	98	5	2	0	207	281	267	547	60	266	22	8	248	54	-13	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	121	20	3	3	52	143	7	3	0	208	280	268	548	60	268	22	8	248	54	-29	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	282	2	2	216	279	288	-4	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	5	4	-8.9	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837955 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	212/278/278	66	287	1	1	25%	7%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Cam Balego 2019 · A	24	43→40	37→45	42→30	41	206/261/282	76	275	3	5	25%	5%	55	-2.0	210/287/319	109	274	11	4	26%	7%	74	-0.6	201/287/314	113	257	14	1	26%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Brendt Citta 2021 · A	25	44	39→45	45→30	44	210/282/299	89	286	6	6	27%	7%	67	-1.1	218/272/315	97	311	7	3	31%	6%	66	-1.1	210/268/310	100	303	8	1	32%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Chris Paul 2018 · A	25	45→37	39→40	42→40	37	218/263/306	89	301	6	5	29%	4%	60	-1.6	218/259/319	101	291	8	5	27%	4%	62	-1.4	208/242/310	102	271	8	2	26%	3%	51	-1.4
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	179/238/262	82	236	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	200/266/314	114	276	12	3	30%	7%	64	-1.3	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Duke Sardinha 2006 · A	25	42→33	40→50	46→45	45	206/264/301	94	266	8	8	25%	7%	60	-1.6	199/246/325	126	276	14	6	32%	5%	59	-1.6	191/239/324	133	257	16	5	32%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	204/266/287	83	283	6	6	29%	7%	57	-1.8	217/271/324	107	287	10	7	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/256/325	118	260	11	4	25%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Tanner Allen 2023 · A	25	37	39→45	48→45	43	183/236/269	86	224	6	5	22%	5%	42	-2.9	214/269/316	102	264	9	8	22%	6%	65	-1.2	219/276/322	104	265	11	9	21%	6%	65	-0.6
✕Stephen McGee 2015 · A	24	41	36→40	44→30	48	193/277/258	65	267	4	4	27%	9%	56	-1.9	201/280/286	85	286	7	4	29%	9%	63	-1.3	194/281/287	93	275	8	1	30%	10%	62	-0.5
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	40	36→30	37→45	42	192/243/253	62	256	3	5	26%	6%	40	-3.0	209/278/264	55	292	2	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Logan Wyatt 2023 · A	25	43→38	35→45	42→40	52	198/285/257	58	273	3	4	26%	10%	59	-1.7	206/274/326	120	277	14	4	29%	8%	70	-0.8	201/275/332	131	257	17	1	28%	9%	70	-0.7
✕Donny Sands 2021 · A	25	41	38→45	45→40	40	197/249/279	82	279	5	5	30%	6%	49	-2.4	230/288/350	120	280	13	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	226/288/339	113	276	12	2	22%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Trey Vavra 2017 · A	25	43→38	41→40	43→45	42	213/277/308	96	273	9	5	25%	6%	67	-1.1	193/266/279	86	272	8	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	93/190/126	33	148	4	0	37%	6%	-5	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps