Player 837796 — OGILVIE

Player 8377961B DSL Astros Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .293 / .377

PA64

HR1

K%31

BB%11

ISO174

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	21	7	4	1	2	7	7	0	1	0	333	500	905	1.405	571	385	24	24	545	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	23	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	217	357	565	922	348	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	23	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	217	357	565	922	348	286	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	21	7	4	1	2	7	7	0	1	0	333	500	905	1.405	571	385	24	24	545	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	24	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	208	357	542	899	333	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	29	24	5	3	1	1	5	9	0	1	0	208	357	542	899	333	215	31	17	351	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	200	176	36	12	3	4	21	63	1	3	1	206	295	380	675	174	291	32	10	300	89	-3	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	110	96	20	7	2	2	12	34	1	1	0	208	296	381	678	174	290	31	11	301	90	-1	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	222	196	41	13	3	5	23	67	1	3	1	209	297	383	680	173	290	30	10	302	91	-2	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	308	271	57	18	4	7	32	92	2	4	1	211	298	384	682	173	289	30	10	303	91	-3	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	370	327	70	22	5	8	38	109	2	4	1	213	299	385	684	172	289	29	10	304	92	-4	+0	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	415	367	79	24	6	9	42	121	3	5	1	214	300	386	686	172	289	29	10	305	92	-4	+1	+0	-7	+9	-0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	447	395	85	26	6	10	46	131	3	5	1	214	299	386	685	172	288	29	10	305	92	-4	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	471	417	89	27	6	11	48	138	3	5	1	214	299	386	685	172	288	29	10	304	92	-4	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.2
2035	25	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	488	432	91	28	6	11	50	143	3	4	1	213	299	385	684	172	287	29	10	304	92	-5	+0	+0	-9	+11	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	212	300	388	688	176	298	—	—	305	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	214	301	389	690	176	297	—	—	306	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	215	302	390	692	175	296	—	—	307	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	302	391	694	175	296	—	—	308	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	218	303	392	695	174	295	—	—	309	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	218	303	392	695	174	295	—	—	308	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	303	392	694	174	294	—	—	308	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2035	25	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	302	391	694	174	294	—	—	308	92	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2924	2581	548	172	40	65	303	864	18	33	7	212	299	386	685	173	290	30	10	304	92	-28	+4	+0	-52	+63	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	121	38	9	14	67	192	4	7	2	211	298	382	679	171	288	30	10	304	92	-6	+1	+0	-12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	4.4	2,895	64	32	213	296	387	-31	+0	2.5	2.5
/162	664	15	7	-7.2	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837796 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	204/293/377	172	291	1	1	31%	11%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Amaya 2024 · MLB	25	47→43	50	49→40	47	230/327/387	157	309	17	5	29%	9%	105	+1.7	233/302/374	141	280	15	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	231/300/364	133	275	15	0	21%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Andrew Cossetti 2024 · A	24	47→25	50	50→40	52	231/332/393	162	302	16	4	27%	11%	107	+1.9	183/280/321	138	267	15	5	35%	10%	73	-0.6	152/260/285	132	220	16	4	36%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Gerald Laird 2004 · MLB	24	51→47	49→50	51→50	51	251/329/407	156	303	16	9	22%	9%	109	+2.0	244/303/386	142	295	15	9	22%	7%	95	+0.9	254/306/408	154	305	16	10	22%	6%	99	+0.6
✕Dalton Rushing 2024 · A	23	45→42	52→55	48→30	54	226/343/400	175	303	19	4	30%	12%	114	+2.3	233/320/402	169	303	21	3	28%	9%	105	+1.7	235/318/410	176	300	23	1	28%	9%	106	+1.0
●Derek Norris 2014 · MLB	25	44→54	52→55	51→50	51	228/310/398	170	278	20	11	26%	10%	100	+1.3	246/316/396	150	304	16	7	23%	9%	101	+1.4	237/304/382	145	296	16	6	24%	8%	95	+0.8
✕Addison Russell 2018 · MLB	24	46→52	52→55	47→50	46	238/302/409	171	285	20	5	24%	7%	99	+1.3	240/308/381	141	293	16	6	23%	8%	95	+1.0	238/309/362	124	293	15	5	23%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Jon Still 2008 · A	23	47→46	53→55	45→30	55	241/334/419	179	294	21	3	25%	12%	114	+2.3	213/282/372	159	277	18	2	29%	8%	84	+0.1	198/262/353	156	258	18	1	30%	7%	71	-0.8
●Travis d'Arnaud 2014 · MLB	25	51→57	50→60	45	47	254/313/413	160	311	16	4	24%	8%	105	+1.7	257/316/425	168	289	19	3	18%	7%	108	+1.9	260/318/455	195	291	26	1	20%	7%	117	+1.4
✕Adam Moore 2009 · AA	25	54→61	51→50	44→40	44	271/326/436	165	322	17	2	22%	6%	115	+2.4	248/293/369	121	304	13	3	22%	5%	86	+0.3	236/280/344	109	287	12	2	22%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Roberto Pérez 2016 · MLB	27	48→42	47→55	46→30	52	234/321/377	143	314	15	4	28%	11%	99	+1.3	209/296/348	139	277	15	4	28%	11%	84	+0.1	207/291/375	168	263	23	1	30%	10%	89	+0.3
●Tyler Stephenson 2022 · MLB	25	54→58	47→55	46→30	53	265/343/403	138	315	14	3	20%	9%	113	+2.3	262/332/409	147	332	16	3	24%	8%	111	+2.1	255/327/406	151	324	17	1	25%	8%	108	+1.3
✕Vinny DiFazio 2010 · A	24	47	54→45	50→40	48	242/315/430	188	282	21	7	22%	8%	109	+2.0	205/287/349	144	270	16	4	29%	8%	81	-0.1	176/264/292	116	238	12	2	30%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Ronny Paulino 2006 · AAA	25	54→63	51→50	52→40	45	274/316/434	160	315	19	8	20%	6%	110	+2.1	272/319/393	121	321	12	4	18%	6%	101	+1.4	270/319/382	112	318	11	1	18%	6%	99	+0.9
✕Bobby Crosby 2006 · MLB	26	50	52→50	47→50	53	254/328/434	180	289	18	5	19%	9%	115	+2.4	239/301/369	130	275	13	10	18%	8%	90	+0.6	229/289/345	116	261	10	9	16%	7%	80	-0.1
✕J.R. Towles 2008 · MLB	24	52→53	47→50	45→50	46	258/327/402	143	295	14	13	18%	6%	107	+1.9	223/300/359	136	266	14	9	21%	7%	88	+0.4	205/292/332	127	235	14	6	19%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Taylor Teagarden 2008 · AA	24	49	57→55	45→30	48	242/329/437	196	343	25	4	34%	11%	116	+2.5	214/288/375	161	318	19	3	36%	9%	87	+0.4	220/283/369	149	331	20	0	38%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Danny Jansen 2020 · MLB	25	47→57	50→65	45	51	238/314/393	154	265	18	4	18%	8%	101	+1.4	226/308/418	192	248	25	4	20%	9%	105	+1.7	233/312/473	241	239	33	1	20%	8%	120	+1.2
✕Austin Hedges 2019 · MLB	26	43→41	56→60	48→45	40	234/276/423	189	282	25	6	27%	5%	93	+0.8	200/257/353	153	252	21	5	29%	6%	70	-0.8	188/265/294	106	230	14	4	24%	9%	60	-0.5
●Tyler Flowers 2010 · MLB	24	53→57	50→55	44→40	50	254/339/419	165	341	16	5	28%	10%	116	+2.5	224/315/396	172	316	20	5	33%	10%	102	+1.5	258/358/408	149	333	17	0	25%	9%	121	+1.6
✕Corky Miller 2002 · MLB	26	45	56→50	51→40	47	237/313/426	189	285	24	11	26%	8%	108	+1.9	233/315/374	141	272	15	7	19%	8%	97	+1.1	213/296/397	184	225	24	0	19%	7%	95	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps