Player 837780 DSL LAD Mega
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION116 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+85
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .323 / .302
PA188
HR2
SB7
K%26
BB%11
BABIP301
ISO80
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -5.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-5POSREP: +8.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.2+$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $0.5M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKDSL LAD Mega 11693 25212 16245 95 269404376780 108333 2114 335 115 +2 -0 +0 -2 +3 0.3
YTD ROKDSL LAD Mega 11683 29312 26175 95 3495264821.008 133409 1522 450 203 +13 -0 +0 -2 +3 1.5
ROS ROK 0% 188162 36512 20484 72 222323302625 80300 2611 296 85 -3 +1 +0 -3 +5 -0.1
ROS MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 300 296 85 +0 -0
FULL ROK 11694 25212 16245 95 266404372776 106329 2114 335 115 +2 -0 +0 -2 +3 0.3
TOT ROK 304255 61724 36729 167 239353329683 90313 2412 311 96 -1 +0 +0 -5 +9 0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLB 0% 307266 60825 32776 82 226322327649 102297 2510 297 85 -5 +1 +0 -5 +9 -0.1
202825 MLB 0% 402351 801137 411007 103 228321336657 108297 2510 300 88 -6 +1 +0 -7 +11 -0.1
202925 MLB 0% 467407 931338 481169 123 229323334657 106296 2510 302 89 -6 +1 +0 -8 +13 0.0
203025 MLB 0% 511445 10315310 521279 134 231324346670 115296 2510 303 90 -6 +1 +0 -9 +14 0.1
203125 MLB 0% 541471 10715310 5513410 134 227321335656 108296 2510 304 91 -6 +1 +0 -10 +15 0.1
203225 MLB 0% 563490 11216311 5814010 144 229323341663 112296 2510 305 91 -6 +1 +0 -10 +16 0.2
202725 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 297 297 85 +0 -0
202825 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 297 300 88 +0 -0
202925 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 296 302 89 +0 -0
203025 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 296 303 90 +0 -0
203125 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 296 304 91 +0 -0
203225 MLB 0% 01 0000 000 00 296 305 91 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 29792592 591831853 30674255 7722 228322335658 107297 2510 302 89 -37 +7 +0 -53 +84 0.1
/ 162G 650566 12918412 6716212 175 228322337660 110296 2510 302 89 -8 +1 +0 -12 +18 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA
102,74339106241331351-11-25.36.2
/162664926-2.7-0.51.3pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,0955477229319336-35+01.92.1
/1626641216-7.6+0.00.4pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 837780 (OGILVIE) 25 239/353/329 90313 416 24% 12% 96 +0.2
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
Quincy Hamilton
2022 · A
24 46→44 40→50 51→50 46 220/295/307 87301 715 28% 8% 70 -0.3 219/300/362 143286 1614 28% 9% 87 +0.8 207/292/361154264181428%9%80+0.3
Daniel Lyons
2010 · A
25 44→48 40→45 51→50 50 209/293/306 97268 715 23% 9% 69 -0.4 198/286/274 76275 412 27% 9% 59 -1.1 173/276/2235024921128%10%41-1.4
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Max Schuemann
2021 · A
24 44→47 39→45 49→60 42 209/273/298 89279 517 26% 6% 58 -1.2 219/305/336 117296 1128 28% 8% 82 +0.5 220/317/335116299122228%10%86+0.6
Allen Córdoba
2021 · A
25 48→53 41→45 53→55 40 231/281/330 100302 720 26% 5% 69 -0.4 233/301/351 118292 1016 23% 6% 84 +0.6 231/305/357125285111822%6%86+0.3
Tucker Bradley
2022 · A
24 47→53 41→50 54→50 47 223/295/331 108303 811 27% 8% 76 +0.1 244/308/384 140316 1315 26% 8% 95 +1.4 252/316/405153320161725%8%100+1.2
Nate Eaton
2022 · A
25 40→49 40→50 55→60 44 195/262/286 91267 719 29% 7% 50 -1.7 218/272/351 133286 1528 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/357138284142727%5%70-0.2
Marty Gantt
2015 · A
25 46→45 40→45 51→50 42 218/282/319 100311 711 30% 7% 67 -0.5 220/289/331 111296 911 27% 8% 73 -0.1 208/283/321112268111225%8%66-0.3
Jeremy Rathjen
2014 · A
24 44→41 42→50 51→50 47 214/288/323 109274 917 24% 8% 72 -0.2 210/270/352 142276 1611 29% 7% 72 -0.2 199/257/35916125521731%6%64-0.4
Matt Rudick
2022 · A
24 45→44 39→45 56→50 49 215/284/308 92270 611 22% 8% 66 -0.6 212/297/327 115264 1014 22% 9% 77 +0.1 206/302/338132254151624%10%78+0.1
Jackson Brennan
2008 · A
25 44→42 42→45 47→50 47 211/303/316 105285 910 27% 8% 77 +0.1 211/299/300 89300 710 29% 9% 71 -0.3 171/289/188172730632%12%37-0.5
Corey Julks
2021 · AA
25 43→51 40→55 48→55 44 206/273/302 95290 712 30% 8% 59 -1.1 226/284/379 153298 1817 29% 7% 84 +0.6 227/289/390162290202128%7%86+0.6
Ben Harrison
2006 · A
24 45→50 41→50 50 41 217/268/312 96298 912 29% 6% 59 -1.1 229/289/375 146313 1811 31% 6% 85 +0.7 229/293/384155314201232%7%88+0.7
Eli White
2019 · AA
25 49 41→50 49→60 42 230/288/337 107320 712 29% 6% 74 -0.1 213/280/330 117302 1113 31% 7% 70 -0.3 238/302/384146318183130%7%89+0.5
Kyle Petty
2016 · A
25 46→49 42→50 53→50 39 221/266/325 104308 911 30% 5% 61 -1.0 230/288/343 113330 119 32% 6% 76 +0.1 233/295/34811533512832%7%78+0.1
Matt Thayer
2007 · A
25 49→46 38→40 50 46 232/292/315 82298 514 23% 7% 70 -0.3 229/297/301 72307 412 25% 8% 69 -0.4 236/315/2814532221224%9%68-0.3
Cade Gotta
2016 · A
24 40→50 40→45 53→55 42 197/257/297 100275 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/274/327 98294 727 23% 6% 65 -0.7 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Tyler Reichenborn
2023 · A
25 41→43 39→45 47→50 45 200/275/283 83276 713 29% 8% 56 -1.3 207/278/312 105288 1011 30% 8% 64 -0.8 165/242/29312822216833%8%42-0.6
Joey Rickard
2014 · A
23 45→55 40→45 52→55 46 214/290/315 100287 716 26% 8% 70 -0.3 239/313/330 91307 516 22% 8% 83 +0.6 256/331/3458832241720%9%92+0.7