Player 837649 DSL Pirates Black
Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION87 act + 71 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†71
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .310 / .254
PA71
HR0
K%23
BB%10
BABIP298
ISO32
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +2.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.12628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD ROKPIT 8774 20200 11142 110 270379297677 27333 1613 300 88 -1 +2 +0 -2 +2 0.2
YTD ROKPIT 8768 22200 17102 110 324471353824 29379 1120 391 157 +6 +2 +0 -2 +2 0.9
ROS ROKPIT 0% 7163 14200 7161 30 222310254564 32299 2310 278 71 -2 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
ROS MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 297 267 62 +0 -0
FULL ROKPIT 8775 20200 11142 110 267379293673 27328 1613 300 88 -1 +2 +0 -2 +2 0.2
TOT ROKPIT 158137 34400 18303 140 248348277625 29318 1911 290 80 -4 +3 +0 -3 +4 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBPIT 0% 160142 32411 15372 40 225308289597 63297 239 282 74 -5 +1 +0 -3 +5 -0.2
202825 MLBPIT 0% 306270 61813 29714 81 226310296607 70297 239 286 77 -8 +1 +0 -5 +9 -0.4
202725 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 296 271 66 +0 -0
202825 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 295 275 69 +0 -0
▸ Career Totals
Career 537475 1071424 511247 151 225310288598 63294 239 283 75 -15 +3 +0 -10 +15 -0.7
/ 162G 650575 1291725 621508 181 224309287595 63292 2310 283 75 -18 +3 +0 -12 +18 -0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3
#4Einar Díazlast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA
61,7631610248297342+5+122.42.4
/16266464+1.9+4.70.9pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
3624616228307299-8+0-0.5-0.2
/162664617-8.3+0.0-0.5pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Player 837649 (OGILVIE) 25 248/348/277 29318 014 19% 11% 80 +0.1
Jimmy Herron
2021 · A
25 39→45 40→45 48→55 48 189/266/279 90247 814 26% 8% 51 -1.7 208/286/327 119270 1218 26% 9% 72 -0.2 212/289/340128261152424%8%74-0.1
Nate Eaton
2022 · A
25 40→49 40→50 55→60 44 195/262/286 91267 719 29% 7% 50 -1.7 218/272/351 133286 1528 28% 6% 72 -0.2 219/272/357138284142727%5%70-0.2
Tyler Reichenborn
2023 · A
25 41→43 39→45 47→50 45 200/275/283 83276 713 29% 8% 56 -1.3 207/278/312 105288 1011 30% 8% 64 -0.8 165/242/29312822216833%8%42-0.6
Stephen Wickens
2014 · A
25 47→44 37→40 51→55 51 221/300/301 80269 414 18% 8% 71 -0.3 219/280/293 74278 416 21% 7% 59 -1.1 224/278/2815728522021%6%53-0.7
Tyler Stubblefield
2013 · A
25 42 38→45 51→50 47 200/279/278 78260 512 24% 8% 56 -1.3 214/270/318 104261 99 21% 6% 62 -0.9 211/252/3271172439517%5%52-0.7
Cade Gotta
2016 · A
24 40→50 40→45 53→55 42 197/257/297 100275 715 30% 7% 51 -1.7 229/274/327 98294 727 23% 6% 65 -0.7 241/300/34310230763622%8%78+0.1
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Matt Thayer
2007 · A
25 49→46 38→40 50 46 232/292/315 82298 514 23% 7% 70 -0.3 229/297/301 72307 412 25% 8% 69 -0.4 236/315/2814532221224%9%68-0.3
Nick Podkul
2021 · A
24 43 38→50 52→50 48 205/281/287 81278 514 26% 8% 59 -1.1 205/289/343 138278 168 30% 9% 78 +0.2 208/303/36715928421332%10%85+0.3
Michael Guldberg
2023 · AA
24 45 39→45 50→55 45 217/283/304 87281 713 24% 7% 64 -0.8 210/263/305 95287 811 28% 6% 56 -1.3 176/213/2608324181030%4%17-0.9
Tanner Kirwer
2021 · A
25 46 37→40 56→60 40 210/275/284 75323 519 34% 7% 56 -1.3 211/292/319 108304 1233 32% 9% 72 -0.2 199/283/29999284134132%9%60-0.5
Elliott Blair
2013 · A
25 43→53 39→45 53→50 40 207/272/298 91284 512 28% 5% 59 -1.1 225/286/329 104316 89 29% 6% 72 -0.2 235/295/3421073338930%6%76+0.0
Will Piwnica-Worms
2014 · A
24 43 38→40 50 50 205/285/287 82263 69 23% 9% 61 -1.0 207/276/302 95284 88 28% 8% 60 -1.0 181/247/265842529530%7%39-0.9
Cutter Dykstra
2014 · A
25 48→53 38→40 52→55 47 224/295/304 81307 516 27% 8% 69 -0.4 225/290/308 83316 711 29% 8% 67 -0.5 221/282/297763097929%7%60-0.8
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Jack Dunn
2022 · A
25 50→47 39→40 54→55 47 236/300/319 83304 615 23% 8% 74 -0.1 220/304/299 79290 618 24% 10% 72 -0.2 210/305/2877727272123%11%68-0.4
Daniel Amaral
2021 · A
24 48 37→40 53→55 43 223/287/300 77306 416 27% 6% 65 -0.7 212/277/328 116292 1120 30% 7% 68 -0.5 208/280/321113279113128%8%64-0.3
Adam Law
2015 · A
25 50→48 34→40 52→55 46 231/287/286 55287 120 19% 6% 60 -1.0 244/297/310 66314 316 22% 6% 70 -0.3 250/300/3247432231522%5%73-0.1
Marty Gantt
2015 · A
25 46→45 40→45 51→50 42 218/282/319 100311 711 30% 7% 67 -0.5 220/289/331 111296 911 27% 8% 73 -0.1 208/283/321112268111225%8%66-0.3
Mike Ahmed
2016 · A
24 45 37→50 50 45 213/278/292 79292 413 27% 8% 58 -1.2 210/274/331 121308 139 34% 7% 67 -0.5 197/263/32713029715737%7%60-0.5