Player 836585 — OGILVIE

Player 836585— DSL Rojos

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 189 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+80

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .305 / .337

PA189

HR3

SB9

K%25

BB%10

BABIP284

ISO120

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	122	105	22	5	1	2	15	27	2	13	3	210	320	333	653	124	263	22	12	308	94	-1	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.2
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	122	94	29	7	2	3	25	19	2	13	3	309	459	521	980	213	361	16	20	432	189	+12	+1	+0	-2	+3	1.5
ROS	—	ROK	—	0%	189	166	36	7	2	3	19	48	2	9	2	217	305	337	642	120	284	25	10	289	80	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	289	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	—	—	122	106	22	5	1	2	15	27	2	13	3	208	320	330	650	123	260	22	12	308	94	-1	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.2
TOT	—	ROK	—	—	311	271	58	12	3	5	34	75	4	22	5	214	311	336	646	122	276	24	11	297	85	-5	+2	+0	-6	+9	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	314	276	61	12	3	5	32	79	3	11	2	221	309	341	649	120	286	25	10	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	407	359	81	16	4	8	41	102	4	15	2	226	312	359	671	134	287	25	10	299	87	-6	+2	+0	-7	+12	0.0
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	470	415	92	18	4	9	47	117	5	17	3	222	308	349	658	128	287	25	10	301	88	-6	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.1
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	513	451	102	20	4	11	51	127	6	19	3	226	313	361	674	135	287	25	10	302	89	-6	+3	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	543	478	108	21	5	11	54	135	6	20	3	226	312	360	672	134	286	25	10	303	90	-6	+3	+0	-10	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	564	497	112	22	5	12	56	140	6	21	3	225	311	362	673	137	286	25	10	304	90	-6	+3	+0	-10	+16	0.3
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	301	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		287	—	—	302	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		286	—	—	304	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3000	2642	592	116	27	59	300	748	32	112	18	224	311	355	666	131	288	25	10	300	88	-40	+15	+0	-54	+85	0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	128	25	6	13	65	162	7	24	4	224	310	357	667	133	287	25	10	300	88	-9	+3	+0	-12	+18	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,122	61	113	225	308	355	-36	+0	2.8	2.8
	/162	664	13	24	225	308	355	-7.6	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836585 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	214/311/336	122	276	5	22	24%	11%	85	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Taylor Motter 2014 · A	24	48→50	41→55	53→55	50	230/297/334	104	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	233/281/356	123	273	13	18	19%	6%	76	+0.1	214/291/395	181	261	23	5	27%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Jared Oliva 2019 · A	23	46→45	42→50	56→65	43	219/288/328	109	304	8	24	29%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/322	104	307	8	25	30%	6%	66	-0.6	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Phillip Ervin 2016 · AA	24	43→50	43→50	54→55	47	210/282/326	116	268	10	20	25%	8%	69	-0.4	217/288/344	127	270	13	25	24%	7%	77	+0.1	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Michael Gigliotti 2022 · A	26	45	43→40	54→55	45	217/293/331	114	301	9	20	29%	8%	76	+0.0	209/307/325	116	287	11	20	28%	10%	81	+0.4	198/306/304	106	267	10	24	27%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Adalberto Santos 2012 · A	24	49→53	42→45	60→55	48	238/296/355	118	285	8	21	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/310/347	98	316	7	20	22%	7%	85	+0.7	253/316/343	90	328	6	21	23%	8%	84	+0.3
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	47→53	40→45	54→50	50	222/301/315	92	294	6	18	25%	10%	74	-0.1	232/313/341	109	298	10	12	24%	10%	86	+0.8	230/312/334	104	293	10	11	23%	9%	81	+0.3