Derek Cerda

OF Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 24 R/R A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	23	A+CWS	108	.319/.415/.462	1	4	88	—	.253/.330/.368
2026	23	ACWS	133	.272/.364/.421	4	5	75	—	.227/.303/.336
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCWS	309	.222/.285/.333	5	6	75	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCWS	77	.224/.288/.341	1	1	77	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wRC+85

K%84

Speed83

wOBA82

Z-Con%63

Whiff%55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsHudson Haskin (age 24) · Kody Hoese (age 24) · Barrett Barnes (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 206 proj PA

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .283 / .330

PA206

HR4

K%26

BB%7

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE44

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	108	91	29	8	1	1	11	19	4	4	1	319	415	462	877	143	389	18	10	387	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	133	114	31	5	0	4	13	22	4	5	2	272	364	421	785	149	303	17	10	351	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	18	16	5	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	312	389	312	701		385	17	11	329	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	108	95	24	6	1	1	7	25	4	4	1	253	330	368	699	116	319	23	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	133	119	27	4	0	3	9	30	4	5	2	227	303	336	639	109	265	23	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	18	17	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	235	278	235	513		304	22	6	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	259	231	55	10	1	4	17	59	8	9	4	238	312	342	654	104	300	23	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	3 teams	—	259	221	65	13	1	5	26	44	8	9	4	294	387	430	817	136	345	17	10	364	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	259	232	55	10	1	4	17	59	8	9	4	237	312	341	653	103	290	23	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	3 teams	—	259	232	55	10	1	4	17	59	8	9	4	237	312	341	653	103	290	23	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	309	281	63	12	2	5	20	81	5	6	2	222	285	333	619	111	289	26	6	279	75	-9	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	255	232	52	10	1	5	17	66	4	5	1	223	288	339	626	115	289	26	7	282	77	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	77	71	15	3	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	224	288	341	629	117	290	26	6	283	77	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	71	15	3	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	211	273	296	569	85	280	26	6	283	77	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	126	25	0	8	42	169	8	8	0	210	271	292	563	82	280	26	6	283	77	-18	+2	+0	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	720	650	149	28	3	13	48	179	15	18	6	229	297	342	639	112	294	25	7	282	77	-13	+1	+0	-3	+10	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	135	25	3	12	43	162	14	16	5	230	299	344	643	114	295	25	7	282	77	-19	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Jimmy Stewart'63-'73 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	8	38	235*	309*	329*	-1	+2	-0.2	0.5
/162	664	3	16	-0.4	+0.7	-0.1	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	283	5	5	223	284	336	-2	+0	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	12	13	-4.0	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Derek Cerda (OGILVIE)	24	49	39	51	44	220/283/330	111	289	4	4	26%	7%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	47	44→45	49→50	42	228/307/351	122	306	11	11	27%	6%	89	+0.5	214/301/315	101	313	9	18	32%	7%	79	-0.2	192/288/268	76	302	6	24	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Kody Hoese 2021 · A	24	46→50	44→45	50→40	46	229/288/350	122	281	12	6	23%	7%	80	-0.1	196/238/275	79	262	7	4	27%	5%	44	-2.8	229/285/355	125	284	13	1	23%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Barrett Barnes 2015 · A	24	43→53	44→45	51→50	42	212/276/329	116	285	12	14	29%	7%	72	-0.7	229/295/349	120	299	10	12	26%	7%	83	+0.1	232/299/352	120	307	10	12	26%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Michael Guldberg 2023 · AA	24	47	39→45	50→55	45	222/287/310	88	285	6	13	24%	7%	71	-0.8	214/267/307	93	287	8	11	27%	6%	62	-1.4	181/219/261	80	243	7	10	28%	4%	30	-0.9
✕Juan Portes 2010 · AA	24	50→47	43→45	47→45	44	242/291/353	111	289	10	9	20%	6%	82	-0.0	214/268/320	106	265	9	5	22%	6%	66	-1.1	187/242/287	100	231	9	0	23%	6%	47	-2.1
✕Nelson Maldonado 2021 · A	24	47→48	40→45	51→40	42	226/265/322	96	283	7	7	23%	5%	64	-1.3	236/285/360	124	301	11	5	24%	6%	81	-0.1	227/280/353	127	286	11	4	24%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Ryan Galanie 2024 · A	24	47→49	43→50	51→50	41	230/283/342	112	299	10	9	26%	5%	77	-0.3	231/289/377	146	290	17	9	26%	6%	87	+0.4	229/287/379	150	284	18	10	25%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Trey Lipscomb 2024 · AA	24	48	43→45	48→50	38	236/266/348	112	296	11	11	24%	4%	71	-0.8	231/272/340	109	294	11	15	24%	5%	72	-0.7	229/272/349	120	291	13	16	25%	5%	70	-0.7
✕Preston Scott 2018 · A	24	44	44→45	49→50	41	216/283/339	124	293	11	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	200/254/299	99	304	8	9	35%	5%	56	-1.9	173/221/255	83	276	7	8	38%	4%	32	-2.2
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA	24	47→57	42→45	50→55	45	224/290/331	107	299	8	15	27%	8%	77	-0.3	220/294/351	131	323	14	13	34%	9%	84	+0.1	215/292/346	131	318	15	13	34%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Miguel Velazquez 2012 · A	24	46	45	49→50	41	229/279/351	122	283	13	10	24%	5%	78	-0.3	207/254/327	120	269	11	7	27%	5%	63	-1.4	156/191/284	128	190	12	0	26%	3%	30	-0.9
✕Mike McGee 2013 · A	24	45→43	45	48→45	45	225/280/349	124	272	12	8	22%	6%	77	-0.3	205/267/310	105	291	10	9	31%	7%	63	-1.3	102/183/147	45	177	7	7	44%	9%	-5	-1.2
✕Tanner O'Tremba 2024 · A	24	43	43→45	54→50	40	205/296/322	116	309	10	13	34%	7%	78	-0.3	193/277/297	104	309	9	14	38%	7%	65	-1.2	132/229/210	78	232	8	17	42%	7%	27	-1.5
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/274/317	106	277	8	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	213/301/309	96	285	6	10	25%	9%	77	-0.3	204/305/297	93	275	5	10	24%	10%	74	-0.3
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA	24	49→54	42→45	48→50	40	234/285/341	107	307	9	11	26%	5%	77	-0.3	218/273/332	114	282	10	9	25%	6%	71	-0.8	221/280/354	132	283	12	5	25%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	47→52	40	49→50	46	225/293/314	89	300	7	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	216/287/298	82	290	6	14	26%	8%	68	-1.0	212/288/284	72	281	5	16	24%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Jeff McVaney 2014 · A	24	44→52	41→45	47→50	42	214/269/315	101	270	7	8	23%	5%	65	-1.2	226/288/327	101	283	7	12	22%	6%	75	-0.5	231/299/333	102	285	6	14	20%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Nick Allen 2023 · MLB	24	47→57	40	47→50	46	226/282/319	93	278	8	13	21%	7%	71	-0.8	244/302/334	90	290	7	16	17%	7%	81	-0.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Javier Castillo 2008 · A	24	46→54	42→45	46→45	40	225/268/334	109	293	9	8	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/277/344	109	301	8	5	23%	5%	74	-0.5	239/280/349	110	304	7	2	23%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Ethan Skender 2021 · A	24	46	42→40	48→50	42	223/278/327	103	288	9	9	25%	6%	71	-0.8	214/279/299	85	310	5	10	30%	6%	65	-1.2	211/281/294	83	322	4	7	33%	6%	63	-0.7

Derek Cerda

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps