Sebastian PenaOF
DSL Padres Brown
Age 18
L/L
6'1" / 180 lbs
ROK
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.9 · 2034
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .263 / .296
PA136
HR2
K%30
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
20→20
SPD
45→45
EYE
35→35
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.9peak
2034
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.6 | $25M | +$24M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.8 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.9 | $29M | +$28M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.9 | $30M | +$24M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.8 | $30M | +$21M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $13M | +2.6 | $29M | +$16M |
| Totals | $31M | $171M | +$140M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 163 | 154 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 0 | 4 | 5 | .156 | .202 | .221 | .423 | .065 | .220 | 28 | 6 | .188 | 2 | -18 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | MLB | SD | 136 | 125 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .208 | .267 | .312 | .579 | .104 | .281 | 29 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB 11% | SD | 223 | 200 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .225 | .299 | .345 | .644 | .120 | .295 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 20 | MLB 28% | SD | 355 | 315 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 94 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .232 | .312 | .362 | .674 | .130 | .301 | 26 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 21 | MLB 48% | SD | 455 | 403 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 115 | 6 | 9 | 2 | .238 | .321 | .385 | .705 | .146 | .302 | 25 | 9 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 22 | MLB 65% | SD | 526 | 461 | 111 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 129 | 7 | 10 | 2 | .241 | .328 | .393 | .721 | .152 | .302 | 25 | 10 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 23 | MLB 86% | SD | 573 | 501 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 138 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .246 | .335 | .405 | .740 | .160 | .302 | 24 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +8 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2032 | 24 | MLB | SD | 605 | 528 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 64 | 143 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .248 | .338 | .413 | .751 | .165 | .303 | 24 | 11 | .336 | 115 | +10 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.6 |
| 2033 | 25 | MLB | SD | 622 | 541 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 67 | 146 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .250 | .342 | .418 | .760 | .168 | .303 | 23 | 11 | .339 | 118 | +12 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 26 | MLB | SD | 631 | 548 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 69 | 149 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .250 | .343 | .422 | .765 | .172 | .304 | 24 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 2.9 |
| 2035 | 27 | MLB | SD | 632 | 548 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 21 | 70 | 149 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .250 | .344 | .422 | .766 | .172 | .304 | 24 | 11 | .341 | 119 | +13 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +18 | 2.9 |
| 2036 | 28 | MLB | SD | 627 | 543 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 70 | 149 | 9 | 10 | 1 | .249 | .344 | .416 | .760 | .168 | .304 | 24 | 11 | .340 | 118 | +13 | +2 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 2.8 |
| 2037 | 29 | MLB | SD | 618 | 536 | 132 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 69 | 149 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .246 | .341 | .414 | .755 | .168 | .303 | 24 | 11 | .337 | 116 | +11 | +1 | -1 | -4 | +18 | 2.6 |
| 2038 | 30 | MLB | SD | 607 | 526 | 129 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 68 | 148 | 8 | 9 | 1 | .245 | .341 | .411 | .751 | .165 | .302 | 24 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +10 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +17 | 2.3 |
| 2039 | 31 | MLB | SD | 593 | 513 | 124 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 67 | 147 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .242 | .338 | .400 | .738 | .158 | .300 | 25 | 11 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +1 | -3 | -4 | +17 | 2.0 |
| 2040 | 32 | MLB | SD | 575 | 498 | 118 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 146 | 8 | 7 | 0 | .237 | .333 | .392 | .725 | .155 | .299 | 25 | 11 | .326 | 108 | +5 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +16 | 1.6 |
| 2041 | 33 | MLB | SD | 545 | 472 | 110 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 142 | 7 | 6 | 0 | .233 | .330 | .379 | .709 | .146 | .297 | 26 | 11 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2042 | 34 | MLB | SD | 498 | 434 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 55 | 134 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .228 | .323 | .369 | .692 | .141 | .295 | 27 | 11 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2043 | 35 | MLB | SD | 442 | 385 | 85 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 123 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .221 | .317 | .353 | .670 | .132 | .293 | 28 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -6 | -3 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2044 | 36 | MLB | SD | 381 | 332 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .214 | .310 | .340 | .650 | .127 | .290 | 29 | 11 | .297 | 85 | -6 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9807 | 8563 | 2041 | 347 | 61 | 281 | 1037 | 2458 | 129 | 151 | 26 | .238 | .330 | .392 | .721 | .153 | .300 | 25 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +66 | +20 | -31 | -59 | +278 | 27.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 136 | 23 | 4 | 19 | 69 | 163 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .239 | .332 | .394 | .726 | .155 | .301 | 25 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | 163 | 148 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 33 | 0 | 4 | 5 | .216 | .288 | .297 | .586 | .081 | .278 | 20 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -7 | -1 | — | — | +5 | -0.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Sebastian Pena (OGILVIE) | 18 | 30 | 20 | 45 | 35 | .201/.263/.296 | .095 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 30% | 7% | 54 | -0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A |
18 | 44→46 | 38→45 | 46→50 | 44 | .204/.277/.282 | .078 | .314 | 6 | 9 | 34% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.295/.306 | .097 | .329 | 7 | 14 | 35% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.297/.335 | .116 | .314 | 10 | 18 | 31% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A |
18 | 42→36 | 37→40 | 43→50 | 40 | .199/.260/.273 | .074 | .298 | 4 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.286/.269 | .081 | .350 | 5 | 9 | 43% | 10% | 58 | -1.2 | .161/.273/.241 | .079 | .336 | 5 | 7 | 47% | 10% | 45 | -0.9 |
|
✕Felix G. Santana 2013 · A |
18 | 39 | 37→40 | 43→50 | 36 | .183/.243/.251 | .068 | .295 | 4 | 7 | 38% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .203/.262/.275 | .072 | .284 | 4 | 8 | 28% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .215/.272/.289 | .074 | .281 | 4 | 8 | 24% | 4% | 52 | -0.5 |
|
✕Carlos Soler 2018 · A |
18 | 40 | 37→45 | 46→45 | 40 | .189/.251/.270 | .080 | .278 | 3 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 41 | -2.3 | .214/.270/.303 | .089 | .316 | 3 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .238/.290/.344 | .106 | .352 | 2 | 8 | 31% | 5% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jose Paez 2012 · A |
18 | 36 | 36→45 | 50 | 41 | .175/.242/.240 | .065 | .268 | 3 | 16 | 34% | 7% | 30 | -3.1 | .220/.268/.310 | .090 | .309 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .226/.270/.319 | .093 | .319 | 4 | 12 | 29% | 5% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A |
18 | 42 | 43→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .205/.276/.323 | .118 | .282 | 9 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .226/.287/.334 | .108 | .294 | 8 | 5 | 24% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .246/.302/.354 | .108 | .308 | 8 | 2 | 22% | 7% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A |
18 | 40 | 37→30 | 44→55 | 44 | .188/.267/.260 | .072 | .282 | 4 | 8 | 32% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .196/.307/.250 | .054 | .269 | 1 | 18 | 24% | 12% | 63 | -0.9 | .186/.321/.224 | .038 | .254 | 0 | 27 | 22% | 14% | 60 | -0.3 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .209/.268/.279 | .070 | .271 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.289/.327 | .103 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .253/.306/.321 | .068 | .288 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Adonis Figuereo 2019 · A |
18 | 38 | 38→30 | 46→45 | 44 | .186/.250/.266 | .080 | .256 | 5 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .193/.263/.271 | .078 | .267 | 6 | 6 | 28% | 8% | 47 | -1.9 | .194/.266/.259 | .066 | .250 | 6 | 5 | 24% | 8% | 43 | -0.8 |
|
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A |
19 | 41→38 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 43 | .188/.266/.261 | .074 | .308 | 4 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.277/.276 | .085 | .308 | 5 | 14 | 36% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.286/.266 | .080 | .296 | 4 | 18 | 34% | 11% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Quero 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 40 | 44→30 | 44 | .212/.272/.297 | .086 | .272 | 8 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .195/.254/.291 | .096 | .250 | 9 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A |
19 | 42→40 | 41→50 | 46→40 | 44 | .207/.262/.297 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.256/.301 | .096 | .278 | 8 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .210/.263/.325 | .115 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Henry Pena 2009 · A |
18 | 34 | 36→45 | 41→45 | 40 | .164/.235/.233 | .069 | .280 | 3 | 4 | 40% | 8% | 26 | -3.4 | .197/.272/.295 | .098 | .323 | 7 | 6 | 37% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .212/.293/.333 | .121 | .324 | 9 | 6 | 34% | 10% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Randel Alcantara 2015 · A |
18 | 41 | 43→45 | 42→45 | 42 | .202/.270/.308 | .106 | .277 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .201/.267/.310 | .109 | .267 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.252/.305 | .119 | .241 | 8 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A |
18 | 43 | 38→45 | 48→60 | 37 | .201/.274/.283 | .082 | .302 | 4 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .218/.294/.318 | .100 | .311 | 8 | 15 | 31% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .220/.298/.329 | .109 | .312 | 11 | 20 | 30% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A |
18 | 38 | 38→45 | 46→40 | 37 | .185/.245/.266 | .081 | .256 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .207/.266/.291 | .084 | .273 | 8 | 5 | 26% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .203/.259/.274 | .071 | .266 | 8 | 3 | 26% | 4% | 44 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nahum Hernandez 2009 · A |
19 | 42 | 39→45 | 42→50 | 44 | .204/.265/.287 | .083 | .263 | 6 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .222/.290/.319 | .097 | .299 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .241/.316/.348 | .107 | .325 | 9 | 10 | 26% | 7% | 84 | +0.2 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2008 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→40 | 45→55 | 39 | .193/.266/.266 | .074 | .302 | 5 | 8 | 35% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .202/.282/.278 | .076 | .297 | 7 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .190/.269/.258 | .068 | .288 | 7 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 45 | -0.7 |