Bryce Fowler — OGILVIE

Bryce FowlerOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 24 L/L A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .273 / .269

PA94

HR1

K%34

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	63	17	2	0	0	13	26	4	6	5	270	425	302	727	32	459	32	16	352	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	67	13	1	0	0	9	35	4	6	5	194	325	209	534	15	409	44	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	67	13	1	0	0	9	35	4	6	5	194	325	209	534	15	406	44	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	63	17	2	0	0	13	26	4	6	5	270	425	302	727	32	459	32	16	352	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	67	13	1	0	0	9	35	4	6	5	194	325	209	534	15	409	44	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	80	67	13	1	0	0	9	35	4	6	5	194	325	209	534	15	409	44	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	200	177	34	5	1	2	17	69	4	6	1	191	275	272	546	80	291	34	8	253	58	-10	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	161	144	28	4	1	2	13	54	3	5	1	195	278	281	558	86	292	34	8	258	61	-8	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	48	43	8	1	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	195	278	281	559	86	292	33	8	258	61	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	48	43	8	1	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	186	271	279	550	93	269	33	8	258	60	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	109	14	0	14	54	217	14	14	0	187	272	284	556	96	271	33	8	258	60	-30	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	335	295	56	7	1	3	30	121	9	14	7	190	284	251	535	61	308	36	9	257	60	-12	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	109	14	2	6	58	235	17	27	14	191	284	253	537	63	309	36	9	257	60	-31	+2	+0	-4	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Fowler (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	190/273/269	80	291	1	3	34%	8%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	43→34	39→40	56→55	47	200/283/291	91	291	6	21	31%	9%	65	-1.2	186/272/268	82	283	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	166/256/236	71	255	5	20	33%	9%	42	-1.2
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	208/268/304	97	296	7	10	31%	8%	62	-1.4	191/262/306	115	264	10	17	30%	8%	61	-1.5	174/250/289	115	235	10	18	29%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	44	199/276/293	94	296	8	12	33%	9%	63	-1.3	209/278/327	118	271	12	8	26%	8%	72	-0.7	200/272/318	119	252	12	6	25%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A	24	41→37	39→40	50	34	192/243/277	85	314	6	11	39%	5%	46	-2.6	203/252/293	90	326	8	6	38%	5%	53	-2.1	221/273/313	92	334	8	3	34%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	41→33	40→45	46→50	40	185/271/279	95	324	7	9	41%	8%	59	-1.6	206/298/326	120	344	12	10	40%	9%	80	-0.1	195/302/317	122	330	12	11	39%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Julian Escobedo 2022 · A	24	40→38	41→40	47→50	37	194/252/293	99	300	8	13	36%	6%	54	-2.0	196/263/297	101	271	8	14	29%	6%	59	-1.6	184/256/283	99	244	8	16	27%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Jared Carr 2023 · A	24	40→35	37→40	47→55	39	189/258/258	69	293	5	14	35%	7%	49	-2.4	196/259/277	81	299	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	181/245/260	78	275	6	24	34%	7%	41	-1.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Izzy Wilson 2021 · A	23	41→35	41→45	52→55	39	187/258/286	99	327	9	15	42%	8%	55	-2.0	207/270/348	141	304	18	21	36%	8%	74	-0.5	194/259/341	147	272	20	25	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	39	42→50	46→55	38	193/254/300	107	288	9	11	35%	6%	57	-1.8	186/250/305	119	275	12	13	35%	6%	57	-1.8	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Brenden Webb 2014 · A	24	38→40	43→45	49→50	42	179/265/287	108	305	10	10	41%	9%	59	-1.7	183/240/290	107	295	11	11	39%	6%	49	-2.4	174/223/278	104	273	11	11	39%	5%	37	-2.1
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→32	43→40	54→55	50	183/286/289	106	286	11	20	36%	12%	68	-1.0	187/262/275	88	306	8	18	38%	9%	54	-2.0	160/223/221	61	269	5	22	40%	7%	25	-2.3
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	201/255/292	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/290	86	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	195/224/256	61	275	3	11	30%	4%	31	-0.9
✕Danny Payne 2011 · A	25	39→41	41→45	55→50	48	190/277/293	103	282	8	19	33%	10%	64	-1.3	198/279/320	122	314	11	14	37%	10%	71	-0.8	175/269/315	140	286	13	11	40%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	37	41→45	52→50	45	184/249/283	99	240	8	18	26%	7%	51	-2.3	207/271/303	96	292	7	14	29%	7%	63	-1.3	213/280/307	94	315	6	13	32%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A	23	38→32	40→50	49→50	36	184/237/276	92	297	8	13	39%	6%	45	-2.7	218/265/340	122	373	12	12	42%	5%	70	-0.9	212/253/348	137	372	14	14	45%	4%	63	-0.4