Eliezer Alfonzo — OGILVIE

Eliezer AlfonzoSS DSL Red Sox Red

Age 18 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION47 act + 97 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .258 / .186

PA97

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP246

ISO23

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	148	26	1	1	0	21	62	1	25	2	176	282	196	478	20	295	36	12	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	138	28	1	1	0	31	43	1	25	2	203	353	225	578	22	289	25	18	284	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	BOS	—	47	39	6	1	0	0	7	17	0	2	1	154	283	179	462	26	261	36	15	235	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	BOS	—	47	35	8	2	0	0	11	12	0	2	1	229	413	286	699	57	333	26	23	333	113	+1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.3
ROS	18	ROK	BOS	0%	97	86	14	2	0	0	10	29	1	3	1	163	258	186	444	23	264	30	10	238	40	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
ROS	18	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		269	—	—	236	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	BOS	—	47	40	6	1	0	0	7	17	0	2	1	150	283	175	458	25	250	36	15	235	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	BOS	—	144	125	20	3	0	0	17	46	1	5	2	160	266	184	450	24	250	32	12	237	40	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	BOS	34%	230	203	39	6	1	2	23	67	2	6	1	192	281	261	542	69	271	29	10	253	52	-13	+1	+0	+2	+7	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	BOS	48%	361	319	63	10	2	4	35	102	4	9	1	197	285	279	564	82	274	28	10	263	60	-17	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	BOS	54%	459	406	82	13	2	6	45	128	5	11	2	202	289	288	578	86	276	28	10	270	65	-18	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.1
2030	22	MLB	BOS	57%	528	465	96	15	3	8	52	146	6	13	2	206	294	303	598	97	278	28	10	274	68	-19	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.3
2031	23	MLB	BOS	58%	575	507	105	17	3	9	57	158	6	14	2	207	295	306	600	99	278	27	10	276	69	-20	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.5
2032	24	MLB	BOS	57%	605	533	111	17	3	10	60	166	7	15	2	208	297	308	604	99	279	27	10	278	71	-20	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2033	25	MLB	BOS	57%	623	549	115	18	3	11	62	170	7	15	3	209	298	313	611	104	279	27	10	279	72	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.6
2034	26	MLB	BOS	60%	631	556	116	18	3	11	63	173	7	16	3	209	297	311	608	103	279	27	10	280	72	-20	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2027	19	MLB	BOS	34%	79	70	13	2	0	1	8	23	1	2	0	186	278	257	536	71	276	29	10	250	49	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	BOS	48%	175	154	31	5	1	2	17	50	2	4	1	201	289	286	575	84	280	29	10	259	56	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	BOS	54%	249	220	45	7	1	4	24	69	3	6	1	205	291	300	591	95	282	28	10	265	61	-11	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2030	22	MLB	BOS	57%	299	265	55	9	1	5	29	82	3	7	1	208	293	306	599	98	283	27	10	269	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB	BOS	58%	331	291	62	10	2	5	33	91	4	8	1	213	302	313	615	100	284	27	10	272	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2032	24	MLB	BOS	57%	345	304	66	11	2	6	34	95	4	9	1	217	304	326	630	109	285	28	10	273	67	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2033	25	MLB	BOS	57%	353	311	67	11	2	6	35	97	4	9	1	215	303	322	624	106	285	27	10	274	68	-13	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB	BOS	60%	381	336	72	12	2	7	38	104	4	9	2	214	302	324	626	110	285	27	10	275	68	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2212	1952	411	67	11	36	218	611	25	54	8	211	298	311	610	101	285	28	10	270	65	-88	+8	+0	+24	+63	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	121	20	3	11	64	180	7	16	2	211	298	314	611	103	285	28	10	270	65	-26	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	4281	3772	767	117	21	61	428	1201	46	127	19	203	292	294	586	91	279	28	10	271	66	-167	+18	+0	+46	+121	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	116	18	3	9	65	182	7	19	3	202	291	291	583	89	278	28	10	271	66	-25	+3	+0	+7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	138	28	1	1	0	31	43	1	25	2	203	353	225	578	22	289	25	18	284	75	-5	+4	—	—	+5	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,356	35	58	206	290	301	+25	+15	1.1	1.4
	/162	664	10	16	206	290	301	+7.1	+4.2	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eliezer Alfonzo (OGILVIE)	18	25	20	60	60	160/266/184	24	250	0	5	32%	12%	40	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Emmanuel Morel 2015 · A	18	42	36→30	51→55	41	199/261/262	63	278	3	9	28%	6%	43	-2.2	192/267/250	58	298	2	16	33%	9%	43	-2.2	173/256/219	46	280	0	22	34%	9%	29	-0.9
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	43→37	37→30	50→55	50	200/288/273	73	290	4	15	30%	10%	59	-1.1	204/274/273	69	318	3	13	33%	8%	52	-1.6	181/264/239	58	298	2	15	36%	10%	36	-1.2
✕Fernando Peguero 2023 · A	18	40	35→30	51→60	44	187/246/244	57	245	2	13	24%	6%	32	-3.0	206/266/279	73	274	4	25	25%	7%	50	-1.8	200/262/265	65	273	4	35	27%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2017 · A	18	37	35→40	51→60	40	176/238/231	55	271	2	17	34%	7%	25	-3.5	204/268/282	78	293	5	21	30%	8%	52	-1.6	192/263/269	77	285	7	32	32%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Wondy De Los Santos 2008 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	192/257/251	59	262	3	8	27%	6%	39	-2.5	207/256/275	68	267	3	9	22%	5%	44	-2.1	208/250/275	67	259	1	11	19%	4%	40	-0.7
✕Herard Gonzalez 2019 · A	18	40	35→40	52→50	43	191/255/247	56	277	3	20	31%	7%	37	-2.6	205/282/277	72	315	6	11	33%	9%	57	-1.2	191/270/275	83	302	7	10	36%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	50	-1.8	213/265/278	65	272	2	17	21%	6%	48	-1.9	212/263/268	56	267	2	18	20%	5%	42	-0.8
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Alex Gonzalez 2009 · A	18	40	34→30	52→60	46	186/266/232	45	269	2	22	29%	8%	39	-2.5	202/266/250	48	293	1	18	29%	7%	42	-2.3	216/290/265	49	291	1	14	24%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Chris Garia 2011 · A	18	39→49	35→40	52→60	43	185/248/243	58	253	3	19	27%	6%	33	-2.9	207/267/261	54	286	2	20	26%	7%	46	-2.0	231/270/343	112	308	8	32	27%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Deivi Estrada 2019 · A	18	40	36→30	45→50	43	190/259/260	71	280	2	10	31%	7%	43	-2.2	210/287/274	64	290	3	9	26%	9%	58	-1.2	195/270/241	46	289	2	8	30%	8%	41	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2011 · A	18	43	35→40	47→65	48	203/275/262	59	265	2	16	23%	8%	50	-1.8	204/271/273	69	256	3	20	20%	7%	50	-1.7	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5