Eliezer Alfonzo — OGILVIE

Eliezer AlfonzoSS DSL Red Sox Red

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .264 / .238

PA74

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO58

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	138	28	1	1	0	31	43	1	25	2	203	353	225	578	22	289	25	18	284	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	61	12	4	0	0	17	25	1	2	1	197	380	262	642	66	316	31	21	308	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	146	22	1	1	0	23	53	1	25	2	151	271	171	442	21	219	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	66	9	3	0	0	12	31	1	2	1	136	278	182	460	45	206	38	15	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	146	22	1	1	0	23	53	1	25	2	151	271	171	442	21	232	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	138	28	1	1	0	31	43	1	25	2	203	353	225	578	22	289	25	18	284	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	66	9	3	0	0	12	31	1	2	1	136	278	182	460	45	243	38	15	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	61	12	4	0	0	17	25	1	2	1	197	380	262	642	66	316	31	21	308	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	146	22	1	1	0	23	53	1	25	2	151	271	171	442	21	219	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	68	9	3	0	0	12	31	1	2	1	132	278	176	455	44	206	38	15	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	172	146	22	1	1	0	23	53	1	25	2	151	271	171	442	21	219	31	13	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	81	68	9	3	0	0	12	31	1	2	1	132	278	176	455	44	206	38	15	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	191	170	31	5	1	1	18	57	1	5	1	182	266	240	506	58	263	30	9	238	47	-12	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	165	146	27	4	1	1	16	48	2	4	1	188	273	257	529	69	266	29	10	247	53	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	57	51	9	2	0	0	5	17	1	1	0	193	277	263	540	70	273	30	9	251	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	57	51	9	2	0	0	5	17	1	1	0	176	263	216	479	39	265	30	9	251	40	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	103	23	0	0	57	194	11	11	0	177	263	216	480	40	265	30	9	251	40	-36	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	492	424	69	10	2	1	58	154	5	33	4	163	271	203	474	40	248	31	12	227	40	-14	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	560	91	13	3	1	77	203	7	44	5	163	272	202	474	39	248	31	12	227	40	-38	+2	+0	+7	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eliezer Alfonzo (OGILVIE)	19	25	20	60	60	180/264/238	58	263	0	2	30%	9%	47	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Tamares 2024 · A	19	36	38→30	55→60	50	174/273/249	75	261	5	21	32%	11%	53	-2.1	185/271/249	64	310	3	15	37%	9%	52	-2.2	130/243/157	27	238	0	24	39%	11%	21	-1.2
✕Raimundo De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	40	34→40	53→55	46	186/261/233	47	268	2	14	29%	8%	44	-2.8	194/271/245	51	308	2	22	34%	9%	51	-2.3	191/274/238	46	312	3	30	36%	10%	47	-0.9
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	34	36→40	51→50	57	164/274/231	68	221	3	16	25%	13%	50	-2.3	203/277/283	80	300	5	15	31%	9%	61	-1.5	188/248/298	111	323	11	11	43%	7%	50	-0.9
✕Franyerber Montilla 2024 · A	19	36	39→40	49→55	49	177/264/261	84	248	6	14	29%	10%	52	-2.2	194/278/289	95	284	8	22	31%	10%	64	-1.3	184/275/279	96	271	9	29	32%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	41	37→40	57→50	48	193/271/269	77	266	4	15	27%	9%	56	-1.9	215/282/308	93	313	5	14	30%	8%	68	-1.0	219/262/306	86	319	4	11	31%	5%	58	-0.7
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Jonathan Mejía 2024 · A	19	35	39→45	52→50	47	168/269/256	88	264	6	9	35%	10%	53	-2.1	183/267/281	98	305	9	15	39%	9%	58	-1.7	169/262/280	111	278	11	16	40%	10%	54	-0.9
✕Abiezel Ramirez 2019 · A	19	39	36→40	53→55	51	183/260/249	66	229	2	17	20%	8%	47	-2.5	200/262/288	88	304	6	15	33%	7%	56	-1.9	175/239/281	106	302	10	15	43%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	38	35→30	52→50	46	178/236/238	61	231	1	13	23%	7%	34	-3.5	202/262/262	60	266	2	12	23%	7%	50	-2.3	200/264/242	42	256	0	17	20%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Julio Garcia 2016 · A	19	37	34→40	53→40	34	178/213/224	46	265	2	14	33%	4%	22	-4.4	189/226/254	65	287	3	8	33%	4%	34	-3.5	173/205/234	61	278	3	2	38%	3%	19	-2.3
✕Cristhian Vaquero 2024 · A	19	41→38	37→40	53→55	49	194/277/266	71	267	4	19	27%	9%	57	-1.8	179/251/264	85	292	6	20	38%	7%	47	-2.5	164/236/250	85	274	7	22	40%	7%	37	-1.9
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	38	35→30	50→55	55	177/275/236	58	228	2	16	22%	11%	51	-2.3	196/265/251	55	276	2	12	27%	8%	49	-2.4	192/256/235	44	275	1	11	28%	7%	39	-1.2
✕Odalys Peguero 2022 · A	19	42	35→30	54→55	51	195/281/256	61	259	3	18	24%	10%	57	-1.8	186/269/254	68	275	3	16	30%	10%	52	-2.2	160/250/220	60	242	2	20	31%	10%	36	-1.4
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	37	36→45	53→55	50	177/255/242	65	229	3	14	23%	9%	44	-2.8	224/287/320	96	315	6	19	28%	7%	73	-0.6	208/269/327	119	312	11	21	35%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Kendy Moya 2018 · A	19	37	34→30	47→50	55	171/281/228	57	242	2	11	27%	12%	52	-2.2	186/290/249	63	255	2	10	24%	12%	59	-1.6	153/294/218	65	208	0	11	22%	15%	55	-0.7
✕Willmer De La Cruz 2022 · A	19	42	37→30	50→55	54	196/299/271	75	285	4	19	29%	12%	68	-1.0	193/279/256	63	306	3	16	34%	10%	56	-1.9	169/258/209	40	284	1	19	37%	10%	35	-0.7
✕Chris Torres 2016 · A	18	41→38	36→30	50→55	55	190/288/255	65	260	3	15	26%	12%	60	-1.6	201/276/269	68	307	2	13	32%	9%	57	-1.8	184/266/243	59	303	3	15	36%	10%	45	-1.2