Eddy Mota

P DSL Astros Blue

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 210 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKDSL Astros Or…	5	0	8	0.00	3.23	13.8%	10.3%	—	K 13.8% · BB 10.3% · FIP 3.25
2025	21	ROKDSL Astros Bl…	13	3	42	2.79	2.79	20.2%	8.3%	—	K 13.8% · BB 10.4% · FIP 3.74
2027PROJ	23	MLBHOU	50	0	52	5.32	5.32	15.6%	12.1%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBHOU	22	0	23	5.13	5.08	17.2%	11.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBHOU	34	0	36	5.00	4.95	18.1%	11.0%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command35

CompsKelvis Valerio (age 23) · Victor Santos (age 24) · Blake Quinn (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%15.6%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%3.5%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	5	0	8	29	4	3	0	0%	1.5	13.8%	10.3%	3.4%	0.0%	0.00	3.25	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	5	0	8	29	4	3	0	0%	1.5	13.8%	10.3%	3.4%	0.0%	0.00	3.25	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	5	0	8	29	4	3	0	0%	1.5	13.8%	10.3%	3.4%	0.0%	0.00	3.23	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	3	42	168	34	14	1	23%	3.2	13.8%	10.4%	3.3%	0.9%	2.79	3.74	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	13	3	42	168	34	14	1	23%	3.2	13.8%	10.4%	3.3%	0.9%	2.79	3.74	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	13	3	42	168	34	14	1	23%	3.2	20.2%	8.3%	11.9%	0.6%	2.79	2.79	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	HOU	50	0	52	220	34	27	6	0%	1.0	15.6%	12.1%	3.5%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	51	0	54	227	39	26	7	0%	1.1	17.2%	11.4%	5.8%	2.9%	5.13	5.08	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52	0	54	230	42	25	7	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.95	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	22	0	23	97	17	11	3	0%	1.0	17.2%	11.4%	5.8%	2.9%	5.13	5.08	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	34	0	36	152	28	17	4	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.0%	7.1%	2.9%	5.00	4.95	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	249	44	28	7	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	149	95	24	0%	1.1	17.7%	11.2%	6.6%	2.9%	5.05	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		18	3	50	197	27	20	1	17%	2.8	13.8%	10.4%	3.4%	0.8%	2.36	3.67	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	12	200	793	109	83	6	17%	2.8	13.8%	10.4%	3.4%	0.8%	2.36	3.67	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eddy Mota (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	15.6%	12.1%	3.0%	—	5.01	17.7%	6.4%	108	-0.31	—	—	—
Kelvis Valerio R 2015 · 4.53 FIP	23	SU	4.53	12.9%	10.3%	2.2%	.312	4.18	11.4%	4.0%	190	-0.35	4.14	266	86
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	85
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	85
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	85
Tayler Scott R 2015 · 4.48 FIP	23	SU	4.48	16.7%	12.7%	2.1%	.309	4.09	17.9%	6.2%	162	-0.39	3.17	528	85
Nate Adcock R 2011 · 4.17 FIP	23	SU	4.17	13.6%	8.7%	2.0%	.289	4.39	14.9%	7.5%	35	+0.22	3.84	137	85
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	85
Jake McCasland R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	23	SU	4.78	14.2%	9.8%	3.0%	.348	3.80	15.8%	8.2%	317	-0.98	3.07	367	85
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	85
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	84
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	84
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.34	19.4%	10.8%	193	+0.10	3.88	257	84
Simon Mercedes R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	23	SU	4.86	14.3%	11.7%	2.7%	.309	4.94	16.4%	3.9%	60	+0.08	4.86	139	84
Michael Wagner R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	23	SW	4.14	13.1%	11.3%	1.3%	.287	4.29	16.4%	4.1%	84	+0.15	4.14	149	83
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	83
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	83
Taylor Grover R 2015 · 5.03 FIP	24	SU	5.03	15.1%	12.9%	2.9%	.229	4.30	18.7%	9.1%	150	-0.73	3.68	239	83
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	17.0%	11.5%	1.13	5.15
Mike Matthews ('05)	1.2	61	16.3%	11.3%	1.07	4.54
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*