Jayden Voelker
P
Charleston RiverDogs
+0.0
WAR
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
A
peak 0.5 · 2028
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.5%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%10.5%
IP69
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2028
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3030
K†4550
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 18 | 14 | 69 | 299 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 5.50 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 69 | 290 | 53 | 35 | 9 | 18.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 57 | 34 | 9 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.97 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 60 | 34 | 9 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.86 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.84 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 61 | 33 | 9 | 20.4% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.82 | 4.81 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | TB | 13 | 13 | 70 | 294 | 60 | 33 | 9 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.83 | 4.84 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 58 | 32 | 9 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 66 | 279 | 56 | 32 | 9 | 20.0% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.91 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | TB | 12 | 12 | 64 | 269 | 53 | 31 | 9 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 3.2% | 4.98 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | TB | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 50 | 30 | 9 | 19.5% | 11.6% | 3.3% | 5.06 | 5.11 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | TB | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 47 | 29 | 8 | 19.2% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 5.15 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | TB | 56 | — | 56 | 234 | 44 | 28 | 8 | 18.8% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.25 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | TB | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 41 | 27 | 8 | 18.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 5.36 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 36 | MLB | TB | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 18.0% | 12.4% | 3.7% | 5.49 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 14 | 69 | 299 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 5.50 | 5.28 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 41 | 200 | 871 | 117 | 102 | 29 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% | 5.50 | 5.28 | +0.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jayden Voelker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 18.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.88 | 19.8% | 8.5% | 213 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.63 | 17.1% | 12.2% | 2.6% | .292 | 2.66 | 24.2% | 15.6% | 68 | -1.97 | 2.66 | 145 | 95 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.56 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .306 | 4.78 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.22 | 3.98 | 371 | 95 |
| Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.37 | 17.9% | 12.0% | 2.3% | .299 | 3.94 | 18.5% | 7.4% | 135 | -0.43 | 3.84 | 213 | 94 |
| Colby Blueberg R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.44 | 17.7% | 11.0% | 2.6% | .310 | 3.81 | 21.6% | 10.6% | 110 | -0.63 | 2.36 | 229 | 93 |
| Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.00 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 3.3% | .273 | 4.48 | 19.3% | 4.5% | 76 | -0.52 | 3.80 | 215 | 92 |
| Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.74 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 2.6% | .283 | 4.09 | 21.3% | 5.7% | 48 | -0.65 | 4.09 | 116 | 92 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.42 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.49 | 24.9% | 14.5% | 98 | -0.93 | 2.46 | 228 | 92 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.24 | 18.5% | 13.5% | 3.6% | .266 | 5.73 | 17.1% | -4.2% | 51 | +0.49 | 5.24 | 107 | 92 |
| Joan Gregorio R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.32 | 18.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .269 | 4.21 | 21.1% | 11.1% | 208 | -0.11 | 3.71 | 301 | 91 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.14 | 4.44 | 100 | 91 |
| Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.94 | 18.8% | 13.8% | 3.1% | .301 | 3.44 | 18.6% | 10.2% | 76 | -1.50 | 3.36 | 178 | 91 |
| Max Alba R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.50 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.91 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 162 | +0.41 | 4.50 | 217 | 91 |
| Tyler Skulina R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 18.3% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .242 | 5.36 | 13.0% | -1.0% | 147 | +1.07 | 4.29 | 222 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.56 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.7% | .237 | 5.00 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.44 | 4.56 | 120 | 90 |
| Ralston Cash R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.86 | 19.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | .240 | 3.89 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 185 | -0.97 | 3.02 | 242 | 90 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.43 | 16.0% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.19 | 4.24 | 225 | 90 |
| David Griffin R 2028 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 90 |
| Brett Standlee R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.11 | 19.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | .322 | 4.48 | 17.0% | 8.9% | 75 | +0.37 | 4.11 | 128 | 90 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.1% | .275 | 4.24 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.26 | 3.32 | 181 | 89 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.51 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.8% | .289 | 4.17 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.34 | 3.86 | 242 | 89 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.