Jayden Voelker — OGILVIE

Jayden Voelker P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 24 RHP 6'4" / 215 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 57 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 157149vR 141

ERA6.52

FIP6.52

K%11.7%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%-6.5%

ROS IP57

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	18	14	69	299	54	30	9	78%	3.8	13.4%	11.8%	1.5%	3.4%	5.50	5.32	—
2025	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	18	14	69	299	54	30	9	78%	3.8	13.4%	11.8%	1.5%	3.4%	5.50	5.32	—
2025	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	18	14	69	299	54	30	9	78%	3.8	18.1%	10.0%	8.0%	3.0%	5.50	4.54	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	18	0	17	95	14	20	4	0%	1.0	10.9%	24.8%	-13.9%	5.5%	11.42	8.33	—
2026	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	18	0	17	95	14	20	4	0%	1.0	10.9%	24.8%	-13.9%	5.5%	11.42	8.33	—
2026	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	18	0	17	95	14	20	4	0%	1.0	14.7%	21.1%	-6.3%	4.2%	11.42	7.95	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TB	54	0	57	241	28	44	8	0%	1.1	11.7%	18.1%	-6.5%	3.1%	6.52	6.52	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TB	60	0	63	264	37	42	8	0%	1.0	14.1%	16.1%	-1.9%	3.1%	6.14	6.03	-1.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	TB	60	0	63	264	41	41	8	0%	1.0	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	3.1%	5.91	5.83	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	TB	26	0	27	114	16	18	4	0%	1.0	14.1%	16.1%	-1.9%	3.1%	6.14	6.03	-0.4
2029	26	MLB CTX	TB	39	0	41	173	27	27	5	0%	1.1	15.6%	15.5%	0.1%	3.1%	5.91	5.83	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	288	43	45	9	0%	1.0	15.0%	15.7%	-0.7%	3.1%	6.00	5.53	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	126	132	26	0%	1.1	15.0%	15.7%	-0.7%	3.1%	6.00	5.53	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		36	14	86	394	50	59	15	39%	2.4	12.8%	15.0%	-2.2%	3.9%	6.70	6.05	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	33	200	916	117	137	36	39%	2.4	12.8%	15.0%	-2.2%	3.9%	6.70	6.05	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jayden Voelker (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.52	11.7%	18.1%	3.1%	—	5.93	14.9%	-0.9%	125	-0.59	—	—	—
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	81
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	81
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	81
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	80
Frankie De La Cruz R 2008 · 7.16 FIP	24	SW	7.16	7.5%	20.8%	3.8%	.361	2.87	16.4%	7.3%	13	-4.29	2.87	262	79
Johendí Jiminian R 2017 · 5.70 FIP	24	SU	5.70	11.5%	14.0%	3.3%	.300	4.77	13.9%	3.6%	164	-0.93	4.01	419	78
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	78
Kane Davis R 2000 · 7.22 FIP	25	SW	7.22	4.7%	15.3%	4.7%	.359	4.70	18.8%	8.9%	82	-2.52	3.40	125	77
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	76
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	76
Noah Takacs R 2024 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	12.5%	16.4%	3.0%	.301	5.68	13.4%	-2.3%	91	-0.09	5.25	130	75
Robbie Peto R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	24	SU	5.39	15.6%	19.4%	2.1%	.242	5.75	15.3%	1.9%	80	+0.36	5.39	232	75
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	75
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	74
Chris Anderson R 2016 · 5.36 FIP	24	SW	5.36	12.9%	16.3%	2.3%	.243	5.88	9.5%	-1.1%	10	+0.52	4.68	204	74
Jason Bonilla R 2023 · 7.04 FIP	24	SW	7.04	12.5%	30.0%	2.2%	.171	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	123	74
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	74
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	74
Pedro Garcia R 2018 · 6.06 FIP	23	SW	6.06	12.6%	24.0%	1.8%	.242	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	144	73
Taylor Hawkins R 2017 · 5.98 FIP	23	SU	5.98	7.4%	19.5%	1.9%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	5.38	112	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	13.9%	16.5%	1.21	6.18
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99