Jayden Voelker
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 23
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149140vR 131
ERA5.82
FIP5.82
K%12.2%
BB%13.6%
K-BB%-1.4%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 18 | 14 | 69 | 299 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 78% | 3.8 | 13.4% | 11.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.50 | 5.10 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 18 | 14 | 69 | 299 | 54 | 30 | 9 | 78% | 3.8 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 5.50 | 4.54 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 16 | 0 | 16 | 87 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.2% | 23.1% | -12.9% | 4.5% | 11.25 | 7.62 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 32 | 35 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.4% | 3.0% | 5.82 | 5.82 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.2% | 13.6% | -1.4% | 3.0% | 5.82 | 5.82 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 78 | 347 | 44 | 52 | 11 | — | — | 12.6% | 15.1% | -2.5% | 3.1% | 6.94 | 6.19 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 39 | 34 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.7% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.47 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TB | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 44 | 33 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.26 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 12.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.55 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TB | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.34 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 46 | 36 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 4.96 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 133 | 104 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.6% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.42 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 14 | 85 | 386 | 49 | 55 | 13 | 41% | 2.5 | 12.7% | 14.4% | -1.7% | 3.3% | 6.59 | 5.67 | -0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 33 | 200 | 912 | 115 | 131 | 30 | 41% | 2.5 | 12.7% | 14.4% | -1.7% | 3.3% | 6.59 | 5.67 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jayden Voelker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.82 | 12.2% | 13.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.36 | 15.5% | 3.1% | 127 | -0.46 | — | — | — |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2027 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 90 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 83 |
| Cooper Adams R 2027 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 83 |
| Chance Huff R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.78 | 11.8% | 11.4% | 4.1% | .312 | 5.14 | 15.7% | -0.0% | 151 | -0.64 | 4.35 | 235 | 83 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 83 |
| Zach Mort R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .240 | 5.35 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 176 | +0.21 | 5.14 | 237 | 81 |
| Daniel Concepcion R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.38 | 13.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 110 | 81 |
| Kyle Miller R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.76 | 12.1% | 12.0% | 2.1% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 164 | 80 |
| Juan Perez R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.63 | 10.8% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .230 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 113 | 80 |
| Raul Carrillo R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.57 | 11.1% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .364 | 4.54 | 10.8% | 1.4% | 169 | -1.03 | 4.33 | 348 | 80 |
| Tyler Brashears R 2026 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 3.3% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 156 | 79 |
| Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.80 | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .312 | 4.08 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 190 | -0.72 | 4.03 | 266 | 79 |
| Tom Reisinger R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.25 | 12.1% | 14.6% | 2.4% | .381 | 6.70 | 10.3% | -5.6% | 47 | +1.45 | 5.25 | 110 | 79 |
| Jordan Mikel R 2026 · 6.16 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.16 | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.9% | .229 | 3.94 | 20.1% | 11.3% | 115 | -2.22 | 3.09 | 195 | 79 |
| Rogelio Martinez R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.15 | 10.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% | .304 | 5.56 | 11.6% | 4.4% | 73 | +0.41 | 5.15 | 152 | 78 |
| Ted Stuka R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 78 |
| LJ Brewster R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.90 | 9.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 143 | 78 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2029 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 78 |
| Mauricio Veliz R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.10 | 13.4% | 12.5% | 2.8% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 282 | 78 |
| Ignacio Marrujo R 2026 · 5.74 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.74 | 8.0% | 10.1% | 3.7% | .284 | 6.72 | 9.5% | 0.3% | 40 | +0.98 | 4.42 | 150 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 14.4% | 12.8% | 1.15 | 5.57 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |