Elian Adames — OGILVIE

Elian AdamesOF DSL Phillies

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 155 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .251 / .270

PA155

HR1

K%27

BB%6

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	188	170	45	7	3	0	14	52	2	7	4	265	328	341	669	76	375	28	7	302	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	185	166	49	10	0	5	15	32	2	5	2	295	361	446	806	151	336	17	8	356	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	188	175	28	4	1	0	9	67	2	7	4	160	210	194	404	34	256	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	185	171	31	6	0	2	10	39	2	5	2	181	235	251	486	70	221	21	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	188	175	28	4	1	0	9	67	2	7	4	160	210	194	404	34	255	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	188	170	45	7	3	0	14	52	2	7	4	265	328	341	669	76	375	28	7	302	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	185	171	31	6	0	2	10	39	2	5	2	181	235	251	486	70	220	21	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	185	166	49	10	0	5	15	32	2	5	2	295	361	446	806	151	336	17	8	356	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	188	175	28	4	1	0	9	67	2	7	4	160	210	194	404	34	256	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	185	171	31	6	0	2	10	39	2	5	2	181	235	251	486	70	221	21	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	188	175	28	4	1	0	9	67	2	7	4	160	210	194	404	34	256	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	185	171	31	6	0	2	10	39	2	5	2	181	235	251	486	70	221	21	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	295	273	54	9	2	2	17	80	3	4	1	200	253	273	526	73	271	27	6	239	48	-18	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	238	220	46	8	2	3	14	64	2	4	1	205	261	288	549	84	273	27	6	249	55	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	82	76	17	3	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	205	261	291	552	85	273	27	6	251	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	82	76	17	3	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	224	280	329	609	105	302	27	6	251	40	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	602	135	24	8	8	40	174	8	8	0	224	282	331	612	106	302	27	6	251	40	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	766	710	134	23	4	6	42	212	7	18	8	189	241	258	499	69	257	28	5	227	40	-22	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	114	20	3	5	36	180	6	15	7	189	242	257	500	68	258	28	6	227	40	-37	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	237	2	4	202	254	279	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	6	10	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elian Adames (OGILVIE)	19	35	20	45	25	198/251/270	73	271	1	2	27%	6%	48	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joshua Magee 2011 · A	19	40	36→30	47→55	40	192/237/254	62	259	3	9	27%	5%	38	-3.2	208/255/277	69	277	4	14	25%	5%	51	-2.3	214/263/271	57	281	4	20	24%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Kenny Hart 2009 · A	19	38	35→40	45→50	38	180/233/235	54	250	2	6	28%	5%	33	-3.6	189/274/262	73	251	4	9	25%	8%	57	-1.8	170/275/246	76	218	5	12	22%	9%	53	-0.7
✕Maicol Sosa 2018 · A	19	40	36→30	44→50	40	194/239/257	64	266	3	7	28%	5%	40	-3.1	198/261/272	74	271	6	12	27%	7%	53	-2.1	175/248/236	61	234	6	18	26%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Jandel Paulino 2019 · A	18	37	35→30	41→45	43	177/257/230	54	251	3	8	28%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/270	72	273	5	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	187/282/246	59	249	4	4	24%	8%	54	-1.0
✕Dennys Riera 2024 · A	19	31	36→40	48→50	42	157/222/222	65	212	4	6	27%	6%	27	-4.0	171/249/237	66	229	3	7	25%	6%	41	-3.0	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	36	36→40	48→40	38	174/232/240	66	253	3	8	31%	5%	34	-3.5	184/249/254	70	260	3	5	28%	6%	44	-2.8	164/227/230	66	246	3	2	33%	6%	29	-1.3
✕Andres Martinez 2014 · A	19	41	36→30	47→45	45	193/264/262	68	274	3	8	29%	8%	51	-2.2	198/268/259	61	263	2	9	24%	7%	53	-2.1	183/260/230	47	240	1	10	22%	7%	40	-0.9
✕Rafael Mejia 2017 · A	19	36	38→30	47→50	40	176/233/252	76	246	6	6	30%	6%	37	-3.3	196/235/315	119	275	14	7	33%	4%	53	-2.1	203/230/369	166	271	24	10	35%	2%	59	-0.4
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Eduardo Urbina 2007 · A	19	35	34→30	42→50	41	170/227/221	50	227	3	7	25%	5%	28	-3.9	185/258/245	60	245	3	8	24%	7%	46	-2.6	172/256/223	51	223	3	9	22%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	34	35→30	41→50	41	167/230/223	56	230	3	6	27%	6%	30	-3.8	205/263/280	75	265	4	8	23%	5%	55	-1.9	220/279/292	72	278	4	10	21%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	40	36→30	53→50	41	189/245/254	65	270	3	9	30%	6%	42	-2.9	201/270/270	69	272	3	10	25%	8%	55	-1.9	192/273/252	60	253	1	12	22%	9%	53	-0.9
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	38	35→40	47→45	43	183/246/244	60	251	3	7	27%	7%	40	-3.0	192/251/269	77	251	4	7	24%	7%	48	-2.5	179/238/256	77	224	5	6	22%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Jhohan Acevedo 2012 · A	19	38	33→30	43→50	43	178/241/218	40	256	1	8	29%	7%	32	-3.6	211/263/266	55	285	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.3	203/252/237	34	274	2	9	25%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Jose Bellorin 2010 · A	19	40	36→30	48→50	41	191/245/261	69	254	4	10	25%	5%	44	-2.8	194/254/263	69	234	4	10	18%	6%	47	-2.5	181/246/235	55	207	4	10	14%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Daniel Vazquez 2023 · A	19	35→45	34→30	47→55	38	168/221/216	48	271	2	10	37%	6%	24	-4.2	192/259/244	52	292	2	16	32%	8%	45	-2.7	211/270/270	58	307	2	17	30%	7%	52	-1.6
✕Miguel Alfonzo 2007 · A	19	35	35→40	46→50	44	169/241/227	58	243	3	9	30%	8%	35	-3.4	198/272/274	76	309	6	10	35%	7%	58	-1.7	196/275/270	74	322	7	9	38%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Gabriel Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40→42	39→40	49→40	40	194/260/282	89	272	6	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	211/265/294	83	314	6	4	33%	6%	59	-1.7	207/268/289	82	307	7	3	33%	7%	57	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps