Yassel Garcia

SS DSL Braves

Age 19 S/R 5'11" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1508ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKATL	166	.202/.404/.282	0	9	44	—	.127/.295/.172
2026	18	ROKATL	144	.245/.424/.336	1	13	46	—	.144/.299/.178
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBATL	254	.196/.288/.269	2	5	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBATL	44	.202/.294/.286	0	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBATL	110	.206/.298/.299	1	2	72	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%68

wRC+67

wOBA65

K%63

Whiff%51

Z-Con%46

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsJuan Kelly (age 19) · Mario Gonzalez (age 19) · Gabriel Moncada (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 74 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .286 / .267

PA74

HR0

K%25

BB%10

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	166	124	25	6	2	0	38	30	4	9	7	202	404	282	686	81	266	18	23	336	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	144	110	27	7	0	1	26	27	8	13	4	245	424	336	760	91	317	19	18	363	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	166	134	17	4	1	0	28	36	4	9	7	127	295	172	467	45	171	22	17	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	144	118	17	4	0	0	18	33	8	13	4	144	299	178	477	34	196	23	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	166	134	17	4	1	0	28	36	4	9	7	127	295	172	467	45	173	22	17	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	166	124	25	6	2	0	38	30	4	9	7	202	404	282	686	81	266	18	23	336	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	144	118	17	4	0	0	18	33	8	13	4	144	299	178	477	34	200	23	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	144	110	27	7	0	1	26	27	8	13	4	245	424	336	760	91	317	19	18	363	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	166	133	17	4	1	0	28	36	4	9	7	128	295	173	468	45	171	22	17	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	144	117	17	4	0	0	18	33	8	13	4	145	299	179	478	34	196	23	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	166	133	17	4	1	0	28	36	4	9	7	128	295	173	468	45	171	22	17	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	144	117	17	4	0	0	18	33	8	13	4	145	299	179	478	34	196	23	12	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	254	223	44	8	2	2	25	64	4	5	1	196	288	269	557	73	266	25	10	260	62	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	128	113	22	4	1	1	12	32	2	3	1	202	294	286	579	84	268	25	9	268	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	227	199	42	8	2	3	22	56	4	4	1	206	298	299	597	93	271	25	10	275	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	340	298	63	12	2	5	33	83	6	7	2	210	301	311	612	100	273	24	10	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	417	367	78	14	3	6	40	101	7	8	2	214	303	320	623	106	275	24	10	285	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	466	411	89	16	3	8	45	113	7	9	2	217	305	328	633	111	276	24	10	289	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	494	435	93	17	3	8	48	119	8	9	2	217	306	330	635	113	277	24	10	290	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	510	448	97	18	3	9	49	123	8	9	3	217	306	330	636	113	276	24	10	290	82	-11	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	515	452	98	18	3	9	50	125	8	9	3	216	305	328	633	112	276	24	10	289	81	-11	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	511	449	96	18	3	8	49	125	8	9	3	214	303	323	626	109	275	24	10	286	80	-12	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.4
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	64%	501	440	94	17	3	8	48	124	8	8	3	212	300	317	618	105	274	25	10	283	77	-13	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	44	39	7	1	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	202	294	286	579	84	268	25	9	268	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	110	96	20	4	1	1	11	27	2	2	1	206	298	299	597	93	271	25	10	275	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	184	161	33	6	1	2	18	45	3	4	1	210	301	311	612	100	273	24	10	281	76	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	236	207	45	8	2	4	23	57	4	5	1	214	303	320	623	106	275	24	10	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	263	232	50	9	2	4	25	64	4	5	1	217	305	328	633	111	276	24	10	289	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	279	246	54	10	2	5	27	67	4	5	1	217	306	330	635	113	277	24	10	290	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	308	270	59	11	2	5	30	74	5	6	2	217	306	330	636	113	276	24	10	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	320	281	60	11	2	5	31	78	5	6	2	216	305	328	633	112	276	24	10	289	81	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	323	284	60	11	2	5	31	79	5	5	2	214	303	323	626	109	275	24	10	286	80	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	64%	320	281	60	11	2	5	31	79	5	5	2	212	300	317	618	105	274	25	10	283	77	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2387	2097	448	82	16	36	231	581	38	44	13	214	303	320	623	106	276	24	10	286	77	-58	+4	-1	+26	+52	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	122	22	4	10	63	158	10	12	4	214	303	319	622	105	275	24	10	286	77	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4493	3930	818	152	28	65	449	1089	79	98	33	208	302	311	613	103	269	24	10	282	77	-104	+6	-2	+45	+91	3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	118	22	4	9	65	158	11	14	5	207	301	308	608	100	269	24	10	282	77	-16	+1	-0	+7	+14	0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Braves · 144 PAwOBA .355 → .236 (−119)K% 18.8% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.06%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.58%
HBP% /PA	5.56%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	3.87%
Singles /BIP	22.89%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	14.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.43%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	4.78%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.20%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.56%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .355 → .236; ISO .091 → .051; BABIP .317 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 166 PAwOBA .329 → .233 (−97)K% 18.1% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.07%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	21.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	22.89%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×1.008	17.06%
HBP% /PA	2.41%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	1.70%
Singles /BIP	18.09%	÷0.978	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	12.03%
Doubles /BIP	6.38%	÷0.932	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	3.93%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷1.045	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	1.17%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.878	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .329 → .233; ISO .081 → .050; BABIP .266 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,461	38	45	215	300	322	+26	+21	3.9	3.7
/162	664	10	12	+7.1	+5.7	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yassel Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	30	20	50	60	195/286/267	72	266	0	1	25%	10%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Kelly 2013 · A	19	37→47	35→45	47→45	48	176/243/232	56	227	2	6	23%	8%	36	-3.3	191/269/255	64	241	3	8	20%	9%	52	-2.2	215/276/341	126	296	11	3	30%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	39	33→30	43→40	48	181/245/225	44	228	1	5	20%	7%	36	-3.4	194/288/262	68	235	4	5	17%	10%	62	-1.4	163/296/228	64	185	4	3	13%	14%	61	-0.6
✕Gabriel Moncada 2021 · A	19	40→41	35→45	45→40	43	190/242/250	60	255	2	6	25%	6%	40	-3.1	206/288/306	100	297	8	4	31%	9%	72	-0.7	196/281/311	115	285	11	2	33%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Danny Contreras 2017 · A	19	35	35→40	49→50	48	167/241/230	63	226	2	8	26%	8%	36	-3.4	184/252/258	74	252	6	6	27%	8%	47	-2.6	192/231/274	82	255	14	2	30%	5%	39	-0.7
✕Alexander Simon 2012 · A	19	40→50	34→40	49→50	45	186/244/244	58	249	1	12	24%	7%	39	-3.1	210/261/283	73	294	3	11	28%	6%	54	-2.0	224/267/299	74	321	3	10	30%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A	19	35	37→40	44→40	43	169/242/238	68	258	4	4	34%	8%	38	-3.2	181/235/248	67	324	3	6	42%	6%	36	-3.3	128/165/165	37	265	0	3	49%	4%	-12	-1.2
✕Griffin Benson 2017 · A	19	39→25	36→45	47→30	38	189/238/247	58	274	3	4	31%	5%	37	-3.3	181/243/261	80	296	7	4	38%	6%	43	-2.8	153/228/256	102	262	11	2	43%	7%	35	-1.4
✕Carlos Sanchez 2010 · A	19	36	40→45	50→45	44	174/224/273	98	211	6	6	21%	6%	38	-3.2	202/255/301	99	238	6	7	17%	6%	56	-1.9	206/255/322	116	240	8	6	17%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Roberto Perez 2008 · A	19	34	37→40	48→30	42	168/240/236	68	248	5	4	32%	7%	37	-3.3	168/239/242	74	220	6	3	25%	7%	38	-3.2	140/217/207	68	172	7	1	23%	8%	22	-1.6
✕Michael Soto 2010 · A	18	37	36→40	48→45	45	180/242/245	64	244	4	7	27%	7%	39	-3.1	178/244/266	88	252	8	5	31%	8%	45	-2.7	186/246/296	110	248	11	4	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Daniel Arribas 2012 · A	19	38→40	35→40	39→45	43	179/241/234	55	243	2	5	26%	6%	36	-3.4	206/268/265	59	271	3	7	23%	7%	53	-2.1	210/274/266	56	281	3	7	25%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Jorge Parra 2015 · A	20	38	34→30	47→40	44	177/243/231	54	245	1	6	26%	7%	36	-3.3	183/235/242	59	248	2	6	25%	6%	35	-3.4	166/212/215	50	221	1	5	24%	5%	20	-1.5
✕Derlin Figueroa 2022 · A	18	34→38	34→45	42→50	47	165/247/220	55	243	2	6	31%	9%	36	-3.4	190/262/294	104	257	10	9	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/248/292	114	235	13	11	29%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Freddvil Chevez 2018 · A	18	36	36→30	47→30	45	176/243/244	68	235	4	5	26%	7%	40	-3.1	185/239/256	71	231	6	3	22%	5%	40	-3.0	195/241/265	70	247	7	0	23%	4%	41	-0.9
✕Jhoan Herrera 2014 · A	19	38	35→40	43→30	45	181/246/240	60	232	3	4	23%	6%	40	-3.1	192/248/262	70	269	3	3	28%	6%	45	-2.7	187/238/263	76	269	4	0	30%	6%	39	-0.9
✕Yonathan Mejia 2012 · A	19	41	35→40	48→45	36	196/229/254	58	260	2	5	25%	3%	35	-3.4	207/239/272	65	267	4	6	23%	4%	42	-2.9	201/232/266	65	254	5	5	23%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Joseph Miranda 2015 · A	20	36	38→40	45→40	44	176/228/255	80	225	4	3	24%	6%	36	-3.4	188/234/264	76	242	4	6	23%	5%	39	-3.1	149/182/205	56	182	2	6	19%	4%	7	-1.3
✕Jose Paniagua 2015 · A	21	35	38→45	50→55	46	171/238/253	82	230	5	12	27%	8%	40	-3.1	191/242/280	89	274	7	8	31%	6%	47	-2.6	177/211/272	96	252	10	2	33%	3%	30	-1.1
✕Steven Mateo 2011 · A	18	40	35→30	41→50	39	190/241/249	59	283	2	5	32%	6%	39	-3.1	185/271/249	64	267	3	7	29%	9%	52	-2.2	190/285/259	69	264	3	8	26%	11%	58	-0.6
✕Jose Vicente 2015 · A	19	40→39	35→50	46→30	43	188/234/251	63	233	2	6	20%	5%	37	-3.3	197/250/284	87	251	6	4	23%	6%	51	-2.3	209/240/342	133	275	15	1	29%	4%	57	-0.7

Yassel Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps