Johanse Gomez

OF DSL Orioles Black

Age 19 L/L 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles O…	176	.137/.347/.221	0	4	17	—	.085/.249/.127
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	213	.302/.437/.442	2	20	59	—	.180/.296/.251
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBAL	323	.183/.269/.257	2	6	52	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	56	.193/.278/.281	1	1	59	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed88

wOBA81

wRC+79

Chase%72

ISO61

BB%60

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsYohairo Cuevas (age 19) · Nicoll Parra (age 18) · Henry Pena (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 113 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .267 / .255

PA113

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	131	18	7	2	0	37	52	5	4	3	137	347	221	568	84	222	30	21	283	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	172	52	10	4	2	36	45	5	20	5	302	437	442	878	140	400	21	17	398	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	142	12	4	1	0	26	63	5	4	3	85	249	127	375	42	141	36	15	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	183	33	6	2	1	25	55	5	20	5	180	296	251	547	71	255	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	142	12	4	1	0	26	63	5	4	3	85	249	127	375	42	148	36	15	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	131	18	7	2	0	37	52	5	4	3	137	347	221	568	84	222	30	21	283	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	183	33	6	2	1	25	55	5	20	5	180	296	251	547	71	252	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	172	52	10	4	2	36	45	5	20	5	302	437	442	878	140	400	21	17	398	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	143	12	4	1	0	26	63	5	4	3	84	249	126	374	42	141	36	15	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	181	33	6	2	1	25	55	5	20	5	182	296	254	550	72	255	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	176	143	12	4	1	0	26	63	5	4	3	84	249	126	374	42	141	36	15	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	213	181	33	6	2	1	25	55	5	20	5	182	296	254	550	72	255	26	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	323	286	53	10	3	2	30	90	4	6	1	183	269	257	527	74	257	28	9	245	52	-18	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	162	144	27	5	1	2	15	45	2	3	1	190	276	275	551	86	260	28	9	255	59	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.5
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	193	278	281	559	88	264	27	9	258	59	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	56	50	10	2	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	200	286	300	586	100	265	27	9	258	46	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	116	23	0	12	58	174	12	12	0	200	286	302	588	102	264	27	9	258	46	-32	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	664	570	90	18	5	4	76	195	13	29	9	158	272	228	500	70	229	29	11	237	46	-14	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	89	18	5	4	74	191	13	28	9	159	273	231	504	72	232	29	11	237	46	-34	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 213 PAwOBA .389 → .255 (−134)K% 21.1% → 25.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.13%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.90%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.77%
HBP% /PA	2.35%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.63%
Singles /BIP	28.35%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.982	×0.995	18.82%
Doubles /BIP	7.87%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.982	×0.995	4.61%
Triples /BIP	3.15%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.982	×0.995	1.85%
Home runs /BIP	1.57%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.74%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .389 → .255; ISO .140 → .079; BABIP .400 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 176 PAwOBA .281 → .193 (−88)K% 29.5% → 35.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	35.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.02%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.81%
HBP% /PA	2.84%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.00%
Singles /BIP	11.39%	÷0.989	×0.680	×0.997	×1.008	7.87%
Doubles /BIP	8.86%	÷1.010	×0.600	×0.997	×1.008	5.29%
Triples /BIP	2.53%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.997	×1.008	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.913	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .281 → .193; ISO .084 → .051; BABIP .222 → .141. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johanse Gomez (OGILVIE)	19	20	20	45	60	182/267/255	73	257	1	2	28%	9%	52	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	38	36→40	49→50	48	179/264/246	67	265	3	9	31%	10%	49	-2.4	191/274/274	83	295	5	14	33%	9%	59	-1.7	189/281/265	77	291	4	18	33%	10%	58	-1.0
✕Nicoll Parra 2012 · A	18	38	36→30	44→55	47	182/267/249	68	261	3	8	29%	9%	51	-2.3	186/307/237	51	243	1	18	21%	13%	64	-1.3	162/315/195	34	211	0	27	19%	16%	59	-0.6
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A	19	37	37→40	45	49	177/263/255	78	261	4	5	31%	10%	51	-2.3	198/271/294	96	333	7	6	39%	9%	61	-1.5	204/277/339	135	307	13	8	35%	8%	70	-0.1
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	36	35→40	41→50	47	172/248/230	58	235	3	7	27%	8%	39	-3.1	188/262/273	85	246	6	10	25%	7%	54	-2.0	179/258/266	87	227	7	12	23%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Ronier Lascarro 2019 · A	18	41	35→30	47→50	51	190/274/249	59	262	1	7	26%	10%	53	-2.1	189/284/257	68	258	3	9	25%	11%	59	-1.7	172/299/237	64	208	2	10	16%	14%	58	-0.7
✕Narciso Polanco 2024 · A	19	38→42	36→40	47→55	46	182/256/247	65	259	3	8	29%	8%	45	-2.7	193/266/277	84	267	6	17	27%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/281	89	260	6	21	27%	8%	54	-1.6
✕Ayendy Perez 2013 · A	19	42	34→30	48→60	51	196/282/251	55	252	1	12	21%	9%	57	-1.8	214/281/270	56	267	1	24	18%	8%	59	-1.7	224/286/275	51	279	0	33	18%	7%	59	-0.6
✕Manolfi Jimenez 2024 · A	19	37	36→45	45	45	176/228/243	67	217	3	9	20%	6%	32	-3.6	192/239/282	90	254	8	7	27%	5%	46	-2.6	180/223/276	95	245	10	5	30%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Jose Pirela 2024 · A	18	39→35	38→45	48→50	47	185/272/266	81	257	4	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	168/242/269	101	276	9	9	40%	6%	46	-2.6	157/231/267	110	255	11	11	41%	6%	39	-1.7
✕Willian Berti 2024 · A	18	39	36→40	45→40	51	184/277/252	68	253	4	5	27%	10%	55	-1.9	174/276/249	75	247	5	5	28%	11%	55	-2.0	136/272/212	76	189	5	4	28%	14%	45	-0.7
✕Sandy Acevedo 2012 · A	19	37	36→40	50	41	179/245/245	67	256	3	12	30%	6%	40	-3.0	179/255/273	94	247	6	10	28%	8%	51	-2.2	147/236/256	109	194	8	10	27%	8%	39	-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2016 · A	19	34	36→30	51→50	44	167/239/232	64	246	4	10	32%	8%	35	-3.4	178/236/251	73	240	5	9	26%	6%	38	-3.2	162/218/231	69	210	4	8	24%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2015 · A	19	37→40	35→40	47→45	42	177/239/240	64	244	2	9	27%	6%	37	-3.3	199/249/272	73	277	4	10	28%	5%	47	-2.5	198/248/269	71	276	4	9	28%	5%	44	-1.2
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Miguel Arrendell 2007 · A	19	39	36→30	45→50	41	184/254/252	67	277	4	6	32%	7%	46	-2.6	184/282/240	56	229	3	9	19%	11%	55	-2.0	201/272/282	81	263	7	9	25%	8%	56	-0.7
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	38	35→30	48→50	47	182/254/242	60	245	3	12	26%	8%	43	-2.8	189/250/229	40	228	1	14	16%	7%	38	-3.2	191/256/205	14	227	0	12	15%	8%	33	-1.1
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A	19	35	37→40	44→40	43	169/242/238	68	258	4	4	34%	8%	38	-3.2	181/235/248	67	324	3	6	42%	6%	36	-3.3	128/165/165	37	265	0	3	49%	4%	-12	-1.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	40	38→40	49→50	45	192/259/276	85	264	5	8	28%	8%	53	-2.1	181/236/251	70	267	4	6	32%	6%	38	-3.2	148/203/199	52	218	3	3	32%	5%	12	-1.4
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	40	35→30	46→50	47	189/255/250	61	251	3	12	25%	8%	45	-2.7	198/260/264	66	294	3	8	31%	7%	50	-2.3	180/248/237	57	271	2	9	32%	8%	36	-1.1