Jordan Henriquez

Jordan Henriquez P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 22 RHP 6'4" / 245 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2029

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%20.7%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%8.1%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	3.0%	1.82	5.12	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	3.0%	1.82	5.12	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	20.6%	9.8%	10.8%	2.0%	1.82	3.67	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	1.9%	4.50	4.59	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	1.9%	4.50	4.59	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	24.7%	11.8%	12.9%	1.2%	4.50	3.16	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	16.4%	9.0%	7.4%	3.4%	5.00	4.74	—
YTD	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	16.4%	9.0%	7.4%	3.4%	5.00	4.74	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	CHC	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	22.1%	7.6%	14.5%	2.6%	5.00	3.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	66	0	69	293	64	33	9	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.3%	10.4%	2.9%	4.77	4.68	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	68	0	71	300	67	31	9	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.4%	12.0%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	69	0	72	304	69	30	9	0%	1.0	22.8%	9.9%	12.9%	2.9%	4.47	4.40	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	69	0	72	304	70	30	9	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.8%	13.2%	2.9%	4.41	4.37	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	68	0	71	299	69	30	9	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	66	0	69	290	66	29	9	0%	1.0	22.9%	10.1%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.49	+0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	63	0	66	277	63	29	9	0%	1.0	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.2%	4.56	4.63	-0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	261	58	28	9	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.4%	4.71	4.80	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	32	0	34	144	31	16	4	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.3%	10.4%	2.9%	4.77	4.68	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	48	0	50	211	47	22	6	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.4%	12.0%	2.9%	4.60	4.51	+0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55	0	58	245	56	24	7	0%	1.1	22.8%	9.9%	12.9%	2.9%	4.47	4.40	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	60	0	63	266	61	26	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.8%	13.2%	2.9%	4.41	4.37	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	61	0	64	270	62	27	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.41	4.41	+0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	60	0	63	266	61	27	8	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.1%	12.8%	3.0%	4.46	4.49	+0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	58	0	61	258	58	26	8	0%	1.1	22.6%	10.3%	12.4%	3.2%	4.56	4.63	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	55	0	58	245	55	26	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.6%	11.7%	3.4%	4.71	4.80	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		430	0	451	1906	432	195	58	0%	1.0	22.7%	10.2%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.15	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	86	26	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.2%	12.4%	3.0%	4.53	4.15	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		61	2	111	490	78	52	15	3%	1.8	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.79	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	4	200	883	141	94	27	3%	1.8	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.79	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	20.7%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.53	22.3%	11.8%	212	-0.43	—	—	—
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	90
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	89
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	89
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	89
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	88
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	86
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	86
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	86
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	85
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	85
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	85
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	85
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	85
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	84
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	63	22.6%	10.3%	1.17	4.55
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41