Robinson Chacon — OGILVIE

Robinson ChaconOF DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION128 act + 12 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+69

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .250 / .182

PA12

HR0

K%25

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	73	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	104	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	119	23	2	0	0	9	44	1	4	2	193	256	210	466	17	279	33	7	209	28	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	119	20	3	1	0	18	39	0	3	2	168	277	210	487	42	232	28	13	225	38	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	119	23	2	0	0	9	44	1	4	2	193	256	210	466	17	299	33	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	119	20	3	1	0	18	39	0	3	2	168	277	210	487	42	247	28	13	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	123	23	2	0	0	9	44	1	4	2	187	256	203	459	16	279	33	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	121	20	3	1	0	18	39	0	3	2	165	277	207	484	41	232	28	13	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	123	23	2	0	0	9	44	1	4	2	187	256	203	459	16	279	33	7	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	121	20	3	1	0	18	39	0	3	2	165	277	207	484	41	232	28	13	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	106	24	5	1	1	15	39	4	12	4	226	344	321	665	94	338	30	12	289	82	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	128	96	29	7	1	1	25	27	4	12	4	302	464	427	891	125	400	21	20	400	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	—	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		289	25	8	270	69	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	—	—	140	117	26	5	1	1	16	42	4	12	4	222	336	308	643	85	329	30	11	287	81	-3	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	204	179	38	7	1	2	20	54	3	5	1	212	302	296	598	84	288	26	10	279	75	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	336	296	65	12	2	5	32	87	5	8	2	220	306	324	631	105	290	26	10	288	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	431	380	84	16	2	7	42	110	6	10	3	221	308	329	637	108	291	26	10	293	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	495	437	98	18	3	9	48	125	7	11	3	224	311	341	652	117	291	25	10	297	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+11	0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	537	473	107	20	3	10	52	136	7	12	4	226	312	345	657	118	292	25	10	299	88	-8	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	561	493	111	20	3	11	55	141	8	13	4	225	313	345	658	120	292	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	574	505	114	21	3	11	56	145	8	13	4	226	313	345	657	119	292	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	577	507	114	21	3	11	57	146	8	13	4	225	313	343	656	118	292	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	575	505	114	21	3	11	57	146	8	13	4	226	314	345	659	119	291	25	10	299	88	-8	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	567	497	111	20	3	11	57	145	8	12	4	223	313	342	655	119	290	26	10	297	87	-9	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	557	488	109	20	3	10	56	144	8	11	3	223	313	338	652	115	289	26	10	294	85	-10	+1	-2	-3	+12	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	70	62	13	2	0	1	7	19	1	2	0	210	300	290	590	81	288	27	10	279	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	163	144	31	6	1	2	16	42	2	4	1	215	302	312	615	97	290	26	10	288	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	234	206	45	8	1	4	23	60	3	5	2	218	306	325	631	107	291	26	10	293	85	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	280	247	56	10	2	5	27	71	4	6	2	227	313	344	657	117	291	25	10	297	87	-4	+0	+0	-2	+6	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	304	267	61	11	2	6	30	77	4	7	2	228	316	352	668	124	292	25	10	299	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	317	279	64	12	2	6	31	80	4	7	2	229	315	351	667	122	292	25	10	300	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	324	285	65	12	2	6	32	82	4	7	2	228	315	347	662	119	292	25	10	300	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	320	281	64	12	2	6	32	81	4	7	2	228	315	349	664	121	292	25	10	300	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	316	277	62	11	2	6	32	80	4	7	2	224	313	343	656	119	291	25	10	299	88	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	303	266	60	11	2	6	30	78	4	6	2	226	313	350	663	124	290	26	10	297	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	318	279	62	11	2	6	32	82	4	6	2	222	311	341	652	118	289	26	10	294	85	-6	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2949	2593	583	106	18	54	292	752	38	64	19	225	312	342	654	117	293	26	10	297	84	-46	+5	-2	-18	+64	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	128	23	4	12	64	166	8	14	4	224	311	341	651	117	291	26	10	297	84	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5700	5009	1110	201	30	98	560	1465	77	128	40	222	309	332	642	111	291	26	10	293	84	-86	+10	-4	-33	+118	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	126	23	3	11	64	167	9	15	5	221	309	329	639	109	290	26	10	293	84	-10	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.6	3,065	55	68	225	308	340	-18	+0	2.1	2.1
/162	664	12	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robinson Chacon (OGILVIE)	19	34→39	29→34	51→56	62	206/294/286	79	289	1	4	27%	10%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	57	-1.8	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	40	-3.1	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	57	-1.8	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	68	-1.0	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	63	-1.3	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	51	-2.2	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	70	-0.8	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	49	185/257/254	70	230	4	16	21%	8%	47	-2.5	208/287/287	79	268	6	12	23%	9%	66	-1.1	221/302/302	81	281	7	12	22%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→50	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	42	-2.9	199/255/296	97	301	6	9	33%	7%	55	-2.0	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	72	-0.7	189/267/301	112	298	10	8	37%	8%	62	-1.4	154/246/261	107	253	10	8	40%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	44	39→45	48→40	47	206/285/289	84	301	7	9	32%	10%	66	-1.1	213/297/328	115	300	10	5	30%	10%	79	-0.2	203/296/332	129	278	12	3	29%	11%	78	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	44	37→55	49→50	47	210/269/289	79	269	4	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	208/258/305	97	283	7	9	27%	6%	58	-1.7	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	44→54	37→45	48→50	47	207/271/282	75	268	4	7	23%	7%	58	-1.7	229/284/321	92	291	6	9	22%	7%	72	-0.7	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	44	37→40	49→55	42	207/263/283	75	275	4	12	25%	6%	55	-1.9	229/295/302	73	307	3	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	262/328/337	75	341	2	29	22%	6%	88	+0.2
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	35→45	40→45	49→50	44	177/241/269	92	232	7	7	27%	7%	45	-2.7	205/249/284	79	288	4	8	29%	5%	50	-2.3	247/292/355	108	317	4	17	23%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	62	-1.4	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	72	-0.7	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A	19	43	36→40	50→60	45	203/252/272	69	247	3	12	19%	6%	49	-2.4	229/271/302	73	269	3	22	15%	5%	61	-1.5	223/260/286	62	276	2	30	19%	4%	54	-0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps