Robinson Chacon — OGILVIE

Robinson ChaconOF DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 82 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .315 / .330

PA82

HR1

K%25

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED56

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.2M
Totals		$9M		$18M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	119	23	2	0	0	9	43	1	4	2	193	256	210	466	17	295	32	7	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	119	19	3	1	0	18	38	0	3	2	160	270	202	472	42	232	27	13	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	KC	—	124	98	21	6	2	0	21	29	2	13	6	214	364	316	680	102	296	23	17	306	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
YTD	19	ROK	KC	—	124	85	24	8	2	0	34	20	2	13	6	282	496	424	919	141	358	16	27	414	175	+11	+0	+0	-1	+4	1.4
ROS	19	ROK	KC	0%	82	72	16	3	1	1	9	21	1	3	1	220	315	330	645	110	284	25	11	279	72	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	269	64	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	KC	—	124	99	21	6	2	0	21	29	2	13	6	212	364	313	677	101	292	23	17	306	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
TOT	19	ROK	KC	—	206	170	37	9	3	1	30	50	3	16	7	217	344	322	666	105	296	24	15	295	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	KC	34%	243	211	46	9	2	3	27	60	3	6	2	218	315	322	638	104	284	25	11	288	79	-6	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
2028	21	MLB	KC	48%	366	319	70	14	3	5	40	89	4	9	3	219	314	329	643	110	286	24	11	296	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.3
2029	22	MLB	KC	54%	452	395	88	18	3	7	49	108	5	10	4	223	316	337	653	114	287	24	11	301	89	-6	+0	+0	-3	+13	0.5
2030	23	MLB	KC	57%	509	442	101	20	4	9	56	121	6	12	4	229	323	353	676	124	288	24	11	305	91	-5	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.7
2031	24	MLB	KC	57%	546	475	109	22	4	10	60	129	6	12	4	229	323	356	679	126	289	24	11	307	93	-4	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2032	25	MLB	KC	57%	567	493	113	22	4	11	62	134	7	13	4	229	324	357	681	128	289	24	11	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.0
2033	26	MLB	KC	56%	578	502	115	23	4	11	64	137	7	13	5	229	325	357	681	127	289	24	11	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.0
2034	27	MLB	KC	55%	580	504	115	23	4	11	64	137	7	13	5	228	323	355	679	127	289	24	11	308	94	-4	+1	+0	-3	+16	1.0
2035	28	MLB	KC	55%	577	500	114	23	4	11	65	137	7	13	4	228	325	356	681	128	288	24	11	307	93	-4	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.9
2036	29	MLB	KC	58%	568	493	111	22	4	10	64	136	6	12	4	225	321	347	668	122	287	24	11	305	92	-5	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.7
2037	30	MLB	KC	55%	558	484	108	21	4	10	63	135	6	11	4	223	320	345	665	122	286	24	11	303	90	-7	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.5
2038	31	MLB	KC	58%	544	472	104	20	4	9	61	134	6	11	4	220	317	337	654	117	284	25	11	298	87	-8	+1	-3	-3	+15	0.2
2039	32	MLB	KC	60%	526	456	98	19	3	8	59	131	6	10	3	215	313	322	635	107	280	25	11	293	82	-10	+1	-4	-3	+15	-0.1
2027	20	MLB	KC	34%	83	73	16	3	1	1	9	20	1	2	1	219	313	329	642	110	281	24	11	278	71	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	KC	48%	177	154	33	7	1	2	19	43	2	4	1	214	309	312	620	97	283	24	11	285	76	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	KC	54%	245	213	47	9	2	4	27	59	3	6	2	221	317	338	655	117	284	24	11	290	80	-6	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB	KC	57%	288	252	56	11	2	5	31	68	3	7	2	222	315	341	656	119	285	24	11	293	82	-6	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2031	24	MLB	KC	57%	309	268	61	12	2	6	34	73	4	7	2	228	324	354	678	127	286	24	11	295	84	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2032	25	MLB	KC	57%	320	278	62	12	2	6	35	76	4	7	3	223	319	345	664	122	286	24	11	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2033	26	MLB	KC	56%	327	284	64	13	2	6	36	77	4	7	3	225	321	349	670	123	286	24	11	296	85	-6	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2034	27	MLB	KC	55%	322	279	62	12	2	6	36	76	4	7	3	222	320	344	664	122	285	24	11	296	85	-5	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2035	28	MLB	KC	55%	317	274	62	12	2	6	36	76	4	7	2	226	325	350	675	124	285	24	11	295	84	-6	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.2
2036	29	MLB	KC	58%	330	286	63	12	2	6	37	79	4	7	2	220	318	339	657	119	284	24	11	294	83	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2037	30	MLB	KC	55%	309	268	58	11	2	5	35	75	3	6	2	216	314	328	642	112	283	24	11	291	81	-7	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2038	31	MLB	KC	58%	318	275	60	12	2	5	36	78	4	6	2	218	317	331	648	113	280	25	11	287	78	-8	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
2039	32	MLB	KC	60%	318	276	59	11	2	5	36	79	3	6	2	214	311	322	634	109	277	25	11	282	74	-9	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3663	3181	703	137	24	63	407	879	43	79	27	221	318	339	656	118	283	24	11	292	81	-77	+5	-6	-22	+104	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	564	124	24	4	11	72	156	8	14	5	220	317	335	652	115	282	24	11	292	81	-14	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	6970	6056	1350	264	49	116	770	1690	78	155	55	223	318	340	658	117	288	24	11	299	87	-100	+9	-10	-42	+198	5.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	127	25	5	11	72	158	7	14	5	225	320	345	666	120	290	24	11	299	87	-9	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	134	113	28	3	0	0	14	31	1	4	2	248	333	274	608	27	333	23	10	276	69	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	140	108	25	4	1	0	29	28	0	3	2	231	394	287	681	56	309	20	21	322	105	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,801	66	82	225	317	346	-23	+0	4.0	3.7
	/162	664	12	14	225	317	346	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robinson Chacon (OGILVIE)	19	39→44	28→33	51→56	68	217/344/322	105	296	1	16	24%	15%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Hendry Mendez 2023 · A	19	45→53	37→45	42→45	50	213/288/285	72	271	5	6	22%	9%	61	-1.0	229/295/318	89	286	7	5	21%	8%	72	-0.2	257/332/370	113	311	11	7	20%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Ramón Flores 2011 · A	19	44→54	37→45	48→50	47	207/271/283	76	268	4	7	23%	8%	53	-1.5	226/277/316	90	288	6	9	22%	6%	64	-0.8	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	43	35→40	46→50	50	199/283/256	57	281	2	10	28%	10%	52	-1.6	188/254/253	65	290	3	9	33%	8%	38	-2.6	169/235/227	58	265	2	10	34%	7%	21	-1.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Tirso Ornelas 2019 · A	19	43→53	40→50	50→45	45	206/273/299	93	288	7	5	30%	8%	59	-1.1	190/254/266	76	279	5	5	31%	8%	41	-2.3	249/309/383	134	307	16	7	23%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2013 · A	19	42	39→40	49→50	43	201/264/291	89	282	5	8	29%	7%	52	-1.6	183/238/255	72	271	4	6	32%	6%	32	-3.0	149/204/202	52	220	3	3	32%	5%	1	-1.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Ricardo Burgos 2006 · A	19	44	39→45	48→40	47	206/285/289	84	301	7	9	32%	10%	62	-0.9	213/297/328	115	300	10	5	30%	10%	76	+0.1	203/296/332	129	278	12	3	29%	11%	75	+0.0
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
●Drew Cumberland 2008 · A	19	48	36→45	52→55	46	224/280/288	65	272	3	11	18%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/338	87	297	5	18	16%	6%	80	+0.4	277/326/387	110	323	8	22	16%	6%	99	+0.8
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	50	184/257/252	69	229	3	16	21%	8%	40	-2.4	207/286/283	76	268	5	12	23%	9%	60	-1.0	217/293/324	107	277	12	10	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
●Roman Anthony 2023 · A	19	47→55	37→50	50	47	223/277/298	75	274	4	7	20%	7%	59	-1.1	234/313/380	146	327	15	12	30%	10%	97	+1.5	240/328/400	160	328	17	12	29%	11%	105	+1.8
✕Jose Reyes 2018 · A	19	45	36→45	55	44	211/255/282	71	259	2	13	19%	5%	45	-2.1	226/279/325	99	265	7	15	17%	6%	66	-0.6	248/303/371	123	270	10	25	12%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Ismael Munguia 2018 · A	19	49→56	36→45	48→55	50	229/279/306	77	262	2	10	13%	6%	61	-1.0	235/274/310	75	279	2	8	16%	4%	59	-1.1	262/318/369	107	287	11	20	13%	5%	92	+0.7
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→58	41→45	56→70	47	227/290/330	103	300	7	17	26%	8%	73	-0.1	221/273/317	96	291	7	16	25%	6%	62	-0.9	266/338/377	110	363	9	50	27%	9%	101	+1.1
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2