Dash Albus

P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 25 LHP 5'11" / 185 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	AKC	40	2	61	3.54	3.15	22.7%	8.8%	—	K 16.8% · BB 10.4% · FIP 4.02
2026	24	MIX2 levels	39	0	57	3.65	2.98	27.1%	5.7%	—	K 20.5% · BB 6.6% · FIP 4.04
2027PROJ	25	MLBKC	67	0	70	4.77	4.77	17.8%	9.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBKC	29	0	30	4.72	4.71	18.6%	9.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBKC	41	0	43	4.70	4.72	18.9%	9.3%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control45Command40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsLuis Perez (age 26) · Aaron Fultz (age 26) · Williams Jerez (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108116vR 124

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%17.8%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%8.6%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	1.8%	3.54	4.02	—
2025	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	1.8%	3.54	4.02	—
2025	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	1.5%	3.54	3.15	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	57	229	62	13	6	0%	1.5	20.5%	6.6%	13.9%	3.3%	3.65	4.04	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	57	229	62	13	6	0%	1.5	20.5%	6.6%	13.9%	3.3%	3.65	4.04	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	57	229	62	13	6	0%	1.5	27.1%	5.7%	21.4%	2.6%	3.65	2.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	KC	67	0	70	296	53	27	9	0%	1.0	17.8%	9.2%	8.6%	3.0%	4.77	4.77	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	67	0	70	296	55	27	9	0%	1.0	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	3.0%	4.72	4.71	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	66	0	69	291	55	27	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.72	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	64	0	67	282	54	27	9	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.4%	9.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.78	-0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	KC	61	0	64	270	51	26	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.7%	9.3%	3.3%	4.83	4.90	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	29	0	30	127	24	12	4	0%	1.0	18.6%	9.2%	9.4%	3.0%	4.72	4.71	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	41	0	43	182	34	17	5	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.3%	9.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.72	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	48	0	50	211	40	20	7	0%	1.0	19.1%	9.4%	9.6%	3.1%	4.74	4.78	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	KC	50	0	52	220	42	21	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.7%	9.3%	3.3%	4.83	4.90	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	140	70	23	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.4%	9.5%	3.1%	4.75	4.41	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	159	80	26	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.4%	9.5%	3.1%	4.75	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		79	2	118	489	90	42	12	3%	1.5	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	2.5%	3.59	4.03	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	3	200	831	154	72	21	3%	1.5	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	2.5%	3.59	4.03	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dash Albus (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	17.8%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.74	18.9%	9.6%	206	-0.03	—	—	—
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	90
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	90
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	90
Diego Barrera L 2024 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	17.9%	9.2%	1.7%	.310	4.55	17.9%	7.4%	89	+0.86	3.66	155	89
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	88
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	87
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	87
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	87
Michael Johnson L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	18.2%	10.4%	3.3%	.352	4.72	17.4%	7.6%	129	+0.05	3.92	256	85
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	85
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	85
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	84
Sam Moll L 2017 · 3.85 FIP	25	SU	3.85	17.0%	8.2%	2.1%	.329	2.83	19.9%	10.4%	57	-1.02	2.38	507	84
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	84
Mac Lardner L 2023 · 3.66 FIP	25	SU	3.66	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	186	84
Hunter Schryver L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	24	SU	3.76	19.2%	11.2%	1.6%	.335	4.47	19.5%	6.0%	80	+0.71	3.58	206	83
Ryan Sherriff L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	25	SU	4.27	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.317	3.28	18.8%	11.9%	135	-0.99	2.96	245	83
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	83
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	83
Tom Windle L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	16.7%	10.3%	1.8%	.228	4.13	19.3%	7.0%	105	+0.12	3.68	330	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.7%	9.4%	1.19	4.75
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*