Dash Albus
P
Columbia Fireflies
Age 24
LHP
5'11" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116125vR 135
ERA5.13
FIP5.13
K%15.9%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%4.5%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 40 | 2 | 61 | 260 | 59 | 23 | 4 | 5% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 3.54 | 3.94 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Columbia Fireflies | 40 | 2 | 61 | 260 | 59 | 23 | 4 | 5% | 1.5 | 22.7% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 1.5% | 3.54 | 3.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Quad Cities River Bandits | 25 | 0 | 33 | 142 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 6.2% | 14.8% | 4.1% | 5.51 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 45 | 32 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.9% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.13 | 5.13 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | KC | — | — | 100 | 426 | 81 | 43 | 13 | — | — | 19.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 5.25 | 4.88 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 52 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | KC | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.99 | 4.95 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | KC | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.90 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 71 | 0 | 74 | 313 | 55 | 33 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.52 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 148 | 89 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 4.94 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 65 | 2 | 94 | 402 | 74 | 36 | 10 | 3% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.09 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 4 | 200 | 858 | 157 | 77 | 22 | 3% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 4.23 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dash Albus (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 15.9% | 11.3% | 2.8% | — | 4.91 | 17.6% | 6.9% | 136 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Kelly Secrest L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.46 | 18.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.30 | 20.8% | 10.4% | 38 | -1.16 | 3.11 | 151 | 87 |
| Yoely Bello L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.02 | 13.8% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .254 | 5.24 | 10.8% | -1.6% | 35 | +1.22 | 4.02 | 103 | 86 |
| Gerardo Concepción L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.75 | 16.9% | 10.4% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 104 | 86 |
| Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.92 | 19.3% | 13.1% | 3.3% | .294 | 3.70 | 21.4% | 10.0% | 63 | -1.22 | 2.65 | 160 | 86 |
| Andre Wheeler L 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.32 | 17.5% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .347 | 4.73 | 14.4% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.59 | 3.77 | 150 | 86 |
| Chris Reed L 2027 · 4.92 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.92 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .284 | 4.84 | 16.4% | 6.6% | 81 | -0.08 | 4.84 | 137 | 86 |
| Cam Alldred L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.60 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .323 | 4.25 | 18.5% | 7.9% | 132 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 332 | 86 |
| Daniel Gibson L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 14.7% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.13 | 15.6% | 4.3% | 63 | -0.08 | 2.96 | 159 | 85 |
| Bryan Harper L 2027 · 4.93 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.93 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .236 | 4.35 | 17.1% | 5.3% | 92 | -0.58 | 3.97 | 133 | 85 |
| Ivan Salas L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.22 | 14.7% | 12.1% | 1.5% | .269 | 3.54 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 67 | -0.68 | 3.14 | 112 | 84 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.93 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.15 | 16.3% | 0.5% | 152 | +0.22 | 3.88 | 244 | 84 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 84 |
| Winston Lavendier L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.05 | 17.8% | 12.9% | 3.3% | .344 | 4.95 | 14.2% | 4.7% | 21 | -0.10 | 2.98 | 179 | 84 |
| Shane McCain L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 18.3% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .261 | 4.93 | 14.2% | 10.7% | 51 | +0.70 | 4.19 | 201 | 84 |
| Brennan Bernardino L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.07 | 17.7% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .326 | 3.65 | 21.8% | 13.0% | 94 | -0.42 | 2.46 | 445 | 83 |
| Jordan Mills L 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.31 | 13.9% | 12.7% | 1.4% | .323 | 2.70 | 18.6% | 10.0% | 114 | -1.61 | 2.64 | 210 | 83 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2026 · 5.53 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.53 | 17.6% | 11.7% | 4.4% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 128 | 83 |
| José Manuel Fernández L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.05 | 18.1% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .345 | 4.96 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 121 | +0.91 | 3.35 | 263 | 83 |
| Joey DeNato L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.17 | 17.7% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.73 | 12.3% | -2.8% | 51 | +0.56 | 2.95 | 167 | 83 |
| Luis Rico L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.43 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 2.6% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 199 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 17.0% | 10.9% | 1.10 | 5.01 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |