Dash Albus — OGILVIE

Dash Albus P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 24 LHP 5'11" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 131

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%15.9%

BB%11.4%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	1.8%	3.54	4.02	—
2025	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	16.8%	10.4%	6.4%	1.8%	3.54	4.02	—
2025	23	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	40	2	61	260	59	23	4	5%	1.5	22.7%	8.8%	13.8%	1.5%	3.54	3.15	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	39	0	57	229	62	13	6	0%	1.5	20.5%	6.6%	13.9%	3.3%	3.65	4.04	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	39	0	57	229	62	13	6	0%	1.5	20.5%	6.6%	13.9%	3.3%	3.65	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A RAW	KC	20	0	27	111	30	5	3	0%	1.4	27.0%	4.5%	22.5%	2.7%	3.29	2.87	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	KC	19	0	29	118	32	8	3	0%	1.5	27.1%	6.8%	20.3%	2.5%	3.99	3.06	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	KC	5	0	6	24	4	3	1	0%	1.1	15.9%	11.4%	4.4%	2.9%	5.15	5.15	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	KC	—	—	62	253	66	16	7	—	—	26.0%	6.2%	19.8%	2.6%	3.79	4.14	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	KC	65	0	68	287	50	31	8	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.9%	6.4%	2.9%	5.01	4.96	-0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	KC	65	0	68	287	52	31	8	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.7%	7.3%	2.9%	4.92	4.89	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	KC	64	0	67	283	52	30	8	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.7%	7.5%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	KC	62	0	65	274	50	30	8	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.97	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	KC	28	0	29	122	21	13	3	0%	1.0	17.2%	10.9%	6.4%	2.9%	5.01	4.96	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	KC	43	0	45	190	34	20	5	0%	1.0	18.0%	10.7%	7.3%	2.9%	4.92	4.89	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	KC	50	0	52	220	40	23	6	0%	1.0	18.2%	10.7%	7.5%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	KC	52	0	55	232	42	25	7	0%	1.1	18.2%	10.8%	7.4%	3.0%	4.93	4.97	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		172	0	181	764	137	82	22	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.9%	4.93	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	91	24	0%	1.1	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.9%	4.93	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		79	2	118	489	90	42	12	3%	1.5	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	2.5%	3.59	4.03	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	3	200	831	154	72	21	3%	1.5	18.5%	8.6%	9.9%	2.5%	3.59	4.03	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dash Albus (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	15.9%	11.4%	2.9%	—	4.92	17.8%	7.1%	203	-0.23	—	—	—
Yoely Bello L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	13.8%	9.1%	1.9%	.254	5.03	10.8%	-1.6%	35	+0.87	4.16	103	87
Andre Wheeler L 2016 · 5.25 FIP	24	SU	5.25	17.5%	12.1%	3.8%	.347	5.01	14.4%	2.4%	29	-0.24	3.82	150	87
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	87
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	86
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	86
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	86
Cam Alldred L 2019 · 4.61 FIP	23	SU	4.61	18.1%	11.0%	3.0%	.323	4.24	18.5%	7.9%	132	-0.37	3.70	332	86
Will Mabrey L 2023 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	18.5%	12.6%	2.1%	.256	4.27	19.2%	6.6%	62	+0.00	4.14	128	86
Daniel Gibson L 2016 · 4.30 FIP	24	SU	4.30	14.7%	10.3%	2.1%	.309	4.12	15.6%	4.3%	63	-0.18	2.95	159	86
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	85
Haylen Green L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	16.9%	8.1%	2.4%	.291	4.09	18.6%	7.8%	49	+0.07	4.02	104	85
Jordan Harrison L 2015 · 4.04 FIP	24	SU	4.04	15.6%	9.0%	2.0%	.263	4.14	16.3%	0.5%	152	+0.10	3.80	244	85
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	85
Ivan Salas L 2015 · 4.28 FIP	24	SU	4.28	14.7%	12.1%	1.6%	.269	3.62	13.7%	6.1%	67	-0.66	3.18	112	85
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	84
Winston Lavendier L 2017 · 5.06 FIP	24	SU	5.06	17.8%	12.9%	3.4%	.344	4.94	14.2%	4.7%	21	-0.12	2.98	179	84
José Manuel Fernández L 2017 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	18.1%	12.3%	1.9%	.345	4.91	17.5%	6.6%	121	+0.73	3.35	263	84
Brennan Bernardino L 2016 · 4.14 FIP	24	SU	4.14	17.7%	10.4%	2.2%	.326	3.74	21.8%	13.0%	94	-0.40	2.51	465	83
Shane McCain L 2016 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	18.3%	8.7%	3.3%	.261	5.14	14.2%	10.7%	51	+0.66	4.34	201	83
Jordan Mills L 2015 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	13.9%	12.7%	1.4%	.323	2.72	18.6%	10.0%	114	-1.56	2.64	210	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	67	17.5%	10.9%	1.12	4.98
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77