Evan Truitt

P Everett AquaSox

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 187 lbs A+ peak 0.4 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	A+SEA	22	19	98	4.58	5.15	16.6%	10.6%	—	K 12.8% · BB 12.2% · FIP 6.01
2026	23	A+SEA	23	23	109	5.12	4.91	20.0%	5.5%	—	K 15.4% · BB 6.3% · FIP 5.96
2027PROJ	24	MLBSEA	13	13	74	5.92	5.92	12.5%	10.4%	-0.8
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBSEA	7	7	43	5.68	5.63	14.7%	10.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBSEA	11	11	66	5.51	5.46	15.9%	9.8%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%

CompsJohn Maine (age 24) · Greg Reynolds (age 23) · Derek Casey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 129

ERA5.92

FIP5.92

K%12.5%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%2.2%

Proj IP74

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	6.75	—
2024	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	6.75	—
2024	21	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	10	0	10	44	6	8	2	0%	1.0	13.6%	18.2%	-4.5%	4.5%	7.45	7.03	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	12.8%	12.2%	0.6%	4.5%	4.58	6.01	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	12.8%	12.2%	0.6%	4.5%	4.58	6.01	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	22	19	98	433	72	46	16	86%	4.5	16.6%	10.6%	6.0%	3.7%	4.58	5.15	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	15.4%	6.3%	9.1%	6.1%	5.12	5.96	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	15.4%	6.3%	9.1%	6.1%	5.12	5.96	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	23	23	109	490	98	27	24	100%	4.7	20.0%	5.5%	14.5%	4.9%	5.12	4.91	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	SEA	13	13	74	312	39	32	12	100%	5.7	12.5%	10.4%	2.2%	4.0%	5.92	5.92	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	17	17	99	419	62	42	16	100%	5.8	14.7%	10.0%	4.7%	3.9%	5.68	5.63	-0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	SEA	17	17	99	419	67	41	16	100%	5.8	15.9%	9.8%	6.2%	3.8%	5.51	5.46	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	SEA	16	16	98	413	67	40	16	100%	6.1	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.8%	5.44	5.44	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	SEA	16	16	95	401	65	39	16	100%	5.9	16.2%	9.8%	6.4%	3.9%	5.46	5.49	-0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	SEA	15	15	91	383	61	39	15	100%	6.0	16.0%	10.1%	5.9%	4.0%	5.56	5.63	-0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	SEA	14	14	85	360	56	37	15	100%	6.1	15.6%	10.4%	5.3%	4.2%	5.71	5.80	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	7	7	43	182	27	18	7	100%	6.1	14.7%	10.0%	4.7%	3.9%	5.68	5.63	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	SEA	11	11	66	279	44	27	11	100%	6.0	15.9%	9.8%	6.2%	3.8%	5.51	5.46	-0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	SEA	13	13	76	321	52	31	12	100%	5.8	16.2%	9.7%	6.5%	3.8%	5.44	5.44	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	SEA	13	13	80	338	55	33	13	100%	6.2	16.2%	9.8%	6.4%	3.9%	5.46	5.49	-0.5
2032	29	MLB CTX	SEA	13	13	79	334	53	34	13	100%	6.1	16.0%	10.1%	5.9%	4.0%	5.56	5.63	-0.6
2033	30	MLB CTX	SEA	13	13	77	325	51	34	14	100%	5.9	15.6%	10.4%	5.3%	4.2%	5.71	5.80	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	70	420	1773	281	177	70	100%	6.0	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	4.0%	5.55	5.19	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	134	84	33	100%	6.0	15.9%	10.0%	5.9%	4.0%	5.55	5.19	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		55	42	217	967	137	92	51	76%	3.9	14.2%	9.5%	4.6%	5.3%	4.98	6.02	-4.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		51	39	200	891	126	85	47	76%	3.9	14.2%	9.5%	4.6%	5.3%	4.98	6.02	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Truitt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.92	12.5%	10.4%	4.0%	—	5.51	15.6%	5.8%	296	-0.41	—	—	—
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	84
Greg Reynolds R 2008 · 6.07 FIP	23	SP	6.07	7.5%	7.8%	4.8%	.294	4.78	12.5%	6.9%	32	-1.29	4.66	148	83
Derek Casey R 2019 · 5.30 FIP	23	SP	5.30	13.6%	8.5%	4.2%	.311	2.96	22.3%	13.2%	58	-2.34	2.96	180	82
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	82
Clayton Mortensen R 2009 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP	5.68	8.7%	8.7%	4.0%	.308	4.84	17.1%	7.7%	100	-0.84	4.31	383	82
Matt Wise R 2000 · 5.35 FIP	24	SP-	5.35	12.3%	7.4%	4.3%	.266	4.98	23.7%	15.6%	49	-0.37	3.33	302	82
Grahamm Wiest R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	23	SP-	5.13	11.1%	7.8%	3.6%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	5.13	120	81
Charlie Morton R 2008 · 4.79 FIP	24	SP	4.79	13.9%	11.3%	2.6%	.285	3.97	14.7%	6.0%	348	-0.82	2.52	2,281	81
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.22	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.02	3.57	306	81
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.31	21.9%	11.8%	274	-0.96	3.83	543	81
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	81
Lauro Ramirez R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	25	SP-	5.80	9.5%	10.1%	4.1%	.382	4.99	7.2%	-3.4%	90	-0.81	4.99	140	81
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	81
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	81
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	81
Drew Gagnon R 2015 · 5.56 FIP	25	SP-	5.56	11.6%	12.6%	3.4%	.313	4.02	20.4%	12.2%	311	-1.54	3.71	534	81
Matthew DeRosier R 2018 · 5.67 FIP	24	SP-	5.67	15.1%	9.1%	4.9%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	2.72	200	80
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	80
Jason Grilli R 2001 · 5.93 FIP	24	SP	5.93	14.8%	9.6%	5.2%	.296	6.24	12.8%	2.9%	45	+0.31	2.00	678	80
Mike Thompson R 2006 · 4.95 FIP	25	SP	4.95	8.6%	6.4%	3.2%	.272	4.85	6.7%	0.0%	16	-0.10	4.85	108	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	92	15.4%	10.0%	1.53	5.60
Brandon Backe ('09)	2.6	88	15.4%	10.2%	1.49	5.23
Dick Lange ('72-'75, -3 WAR*)	1.4	92	16.6%*	9.6%*	1.42*	5.49*
Hector Noesí ('19)	2.1	70	16.4%	8.7%	1.53	5.51
Matt Kinney ('05)	1.9	97	16.8%	9.9%	1.39	5.29
Dick Pole ('73-'78, -1 WAR*)	2.7	88	15.8%*	8.8%*	1.47*	5.40*
Mike Brown ('82-'87, -2 WAR*)	1.3	85	14.3%*	8.8%*	1.41*	5.73*