Player 822275 — OGILVIE

Player 8222751B DSL Cardinals

Age — —/— ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 101 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .256 / .265

PA101

HR1

K%33

BB%7

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	156	137	37	11	0	1	16	43	3	1	0	270	359	372	731	102	387	28	10	335	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	142	22	6	0	0	11	52	3	1	0	155	231	197	428	42	253	33	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	142	22	6	0	0	11	52	3	1	0	155	231	197	428	42	244	33	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	156	137	37	11	0	1	16	43	3	1	0	270	359	372	731	102	387	28	10	335	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	141	22	6	0	0	11	52	3	1	0	156	231	199	429	43	253	33	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	156	141	22	6	0	0	11	52	3	1	0	156	231	199	429	43	253	33	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	0%	206	188	36	7	1	1	14	67	2	2	1	194	258	267	526	73	289	33	7	241	49	-12	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	STL	0%	168	152	31	6	1	2	12	54	2	2	1	197	262	278	540	81	289	32	7	247	53	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	STL	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	198	263	279	542	80	291	—	—	248	53	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	425	386	72	16	2	3	30	139	6	4	1	187	256	262	518	75	280	33	7	231	43	-15	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	110	24	3	5	46	213	9	6	2	186	256	263	519	76	280	33	7	231	43	-37	+0	+0	-12	+14	-3.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	269	2	3	197	259	275	-4	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	6	8	-8.9	+0.0	-2.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822275 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	192/256/265	73	289	1	1	33%	7%	49	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	39	39→45	49→45	40	188/257/278	90	253	6	7	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/250/270	75	280	3	6	30%	5%	48	-2.5	165/211/221	56	238	0	2	29%	3%	19	-1.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Matt Pita 2021 · A	24	38	37→50	49→55	36	183/235/261	77	267	3	10	31%	4%	40	-3.1	200/260/334	134	278	14	16	32%	5%	68	-1.0	183/246/324	141	255	15	27	33%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2016 · A	25	38	39→45	46→30	45	183/253/268	85	261	6	3	31%	8%	49	-2.4	205/267/329	124	289	15	4	32%	7%	68	-1.0	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→42	42→45	48→50	40	194/255/300	106	273	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	193/261/277	84	281	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	167/243/236	69	251	2	13	31%	7%	36	-2.6
✕Ben Verlander 2017 · A	25	39→34	38→40	47→40	39	191/235/271	80	262	6	5	29%	5%	42	-2.9	205/256/286	81	285	5	6	28%	6%	53	-2.1	188/237/235	47	264	2	0	28%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→28	40→45	46→40	35	174/219/264	90	270	7	4	37%	5%	34	-3.5	192/239/303	111	289	12	4	36%	5%	51	-2.2	184/231/297	113	272	14	3	37%	5%	46	-1.6
✕Cooper Johnson 2023 · AA	25	36	38→45	45→40	43	171/258/251	80	290	5	5	39%	9%	48	-2.5	183/264/299	116	287	12	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	172/257/295	123	249	14	4	35%	9%	55	-0.9
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	202/254/301	99	322	8	8	38%	6%	56	-1.9	183/241/291	108	277	11	8	36%	5%	50	-2.3	169/229/274	105	250	11	8	35%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Jon Townsend 2010 · A	25	40	41→40	47→50	38	199/251/289	90	277	9	9	31%	5%	53	-2.1	213/267/308	95	317	9	9	34%	6%	63	-1.4	212/268/300	88	320	9	9	35%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Jake Oester 2011 · A	25	36	38→40	46→30	34	179/225/263	84	273	5	4	35%	4%	36	-3.3	191/245/265	74	301	4	4	35%	5%	45	-2.7	182/241/244	61	292	2	3	36%	6%	36	-1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps