Player 822257 — OGILVIE

Player 8222571B DSL Arizona Black

Age — —/— ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .242 / .245

PA91

HR1

K%38

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	114	17	2	1	2	13	52	5	7	3	149	265	237	502	88	250	39	10	242	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	119	10	1	1	1	8	63	5	7	3	84	174	134	309	50	155	48	6	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	119	10	1	1	1	8	63	5	7	3	84	174	134	309	50	164	48	6	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	114	17	2	1	2	13	52	5	7	3	149	265	237	502	88	250	39	10	242	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	118	10	1	1	1	8	63	5	7	3	85	174	136	310	51	155	48	6	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	132	118	10	1	1	1	8	63	5	7	3	85	174	136	310	51	155	48	6	140	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	200	182	33	5	2	2	13	76	3	6	1	176	244	247	492	71	288	38	6	227	40	-14	+1	+0	-4	+4	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	157	143	26	4	1	2	11	59	2	5	1	180	249	258	507	78	288	38	7	233	44	-10	+1	+0	-3	+3	-0.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	186	254	269	523	83	298	—	—	240	44	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	380	346	51	7	3	4	25	157	8	15	5	147	222	220	441	72	253	41	7	200	21	-17	+1	+0	-4	+5	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	87	12	5	7	43	269	14	26	9	147	222	220	442	73	252	41	7	200	21	-44	+2	+0	-12	+14	-4.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.4	248	2	7	180	245	255	-3	+0	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	6	20	-8.9	+0.0	-3.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822257 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	175/242/245	70	288	1	3	38%	7%	40	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	37→27	40	54→55	41	171/260/263	92	306	7	18	42%	9%	51	-2.2	178/258/261	83	372	6	20	48%	9%	50	-2.3	92/196/136	44	239	2	38	56%	10%	-2	-1.7
✕Maddux Houghton 2024 · A	25	40	40	58→55	40	183/258/275	92	312	6	20	40%	8%	53	-2.1	187/253/288	101	310	9	22	40%	7%	53	-2.1	172/236/273	102	283	10	28	40%	6%	41	-1.3
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36	40	52→50	37	174/253/267	93	285	8	17	39%	6%	50	-2.3	180/259/292	112	314	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/216/249	125	228	14	10	49%	8%	32	-1.4
✕Justin Lavey 2023 · A	25	39	40	58→55	35	183/237/272	89	318	7	18	42%	6%	43	-2.8	200/249/288	88	326	7	16	38%	6%	51	-2.2	182/209/240	58	291	5	20	38%	3%	20	-0.8
✕Armond Upshaw 2021 · A	25	40→42	36→40	52→55	37	183/249/246	63	314	4	19	40%	7%	42	-2.9	204/272/322	118	338	11	21	40%	7%	68	-1.0	189/261/315	126	317	11	28	41%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Bubba Alleyne 2024 · A	25	35→29	41→40	54→55	38	177/232/272	95	256	8	20	33%	6%	41	-3.0	192/250/282	90	284	8	18	33%	6%	51	-2.3	189/252/277	88	283	8	21	34%	7%	47	-1.4
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Casio Grider 2013 · A	25	40→39	38→40	56→55	37	192/248/279	87	281	4	18	32%	5%	49	-2.4	198/253/282	84	300	6	23	34%	5%	51	-2.2	188/244/265	77	288	5	30	34%	5%	41	-1.5
✕Tanner Murphy 2023 · A	25	38	42→45	53→50	36	183/253/287	104	309	10	12	41%	7%	54	-2.0	197/260/292	95	358	8	14	44%	7%	57	-1.8	166/230/234	68	350	5	22	50%	7%	30	-1.2
✕Ashton Creal 2023 · A	24	38	41→40	54→55	39	183/258/280	97	290	8	22	37%	7%	54	-2.0	192/267/282	90	334	8	15	41%	7%	58	-1.7	135/227/179	45	293	7	12	51%	7%	18	-1.0
✕Jackson Glenn 2023 · A	25	41	38→40	52→45	40	197/254/282	85	291	5	11	32%	6%	52	-2.2	203/250/304	101	279	10	8	30%	5%	55	-1.9	197/242/299	102	261	11	6	28%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Spencer Griffin 2021 · A	24	40→37	39→40	51→50	38	183/252/267	84	319	6	10	42%	8%	48	-2.5	186/240/280	94	386	8	13	50%	6%	47	-2.6	114/161/183	68	292	7	20	60%	4%	-9	-1.8
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Brandon Thomas 2015 · A	24	37	40	54→55	39	181/254/271	90	285	8	17	37%	7%	51	-2.3	191/258/279	88	333	7	15	41%	7%	53	-2.1	145/219/197	52	305	3	18	49%	8%	17	-1.1
✕Wyatt Hoffman 2024 · A	25	34	35→30	56→55	39	160/241/214	53	277	3	21	40%	8%	33	-3.6	165/246/228	63	297	4	16	42%	7%	38	-3.2	141/227/194	53	265	3	14	43%	7%	22	-1.7
✕Tra Holmes 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→30	49→50	36	186/249/254	69	291	4	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	197/254/282	85	409	7	17	49%	6%	52	-2.2	126/185/161	34	415	3	38	66%	6%	-4	-1.1
✕Lucas Tancas 2019 · A	25	39→43	39→40	47→45	36	187/244/272	84	294	6	8	36%	5%	46	-2.6	199/254/295	96	355	8	6	43%	5%	55	-2.0	188/241/284	96	358	8	3	47%	5%	45	-1.9
✕Zach Cone 2015 · A	25	35→37	40→45	46→45	35	176/233/265	89	282	8	7	39%	6%	40	-3.0	196/240/323	127	291	15	7	37%	4%	57	-1.8	189/227/330	141	266	18	5	36%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Demi Orimoloye 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	52→55	34	190/241/291	102	298	10	16	38%	5%	49	-2.4	208/244/310	102	331	9	15	38%	4%	54	-2.0	199/223/299	101	316	9	18	39%	3%	39	-1.5
✕Ryan Metzler 2017 · A	24	37	37→40	53→50	31	159/225/234	75	334	4	13	50%	7%	30	-3.8	191/245/269	78	300	6	13	36%	6%	45	-2.7	190/242/258	68	277	6	14	32%	6%	40	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps