Player 822238 — OGILVIE

Player 822238— DSL Padres Gold

Age — —/— ROK HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .279 / .323

PA68

HR1

K%25

BB%9

BABIP273

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	SD	—	90	79	15	1	1	2	9	17	0	2	0	190	273	304	577	114	210	19	10	268	64	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
YTD	—	ROK	SD	—	90	73	19	2	2	2	15	12	0	2	0	260	386	425	811	164	279	13	17	358	132	+3	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.5
ROS	—	ROK	SD	0%	68	62	13	2	1	1	6	17	0	1	0	210	279	323	602	113	274	25	9	270	64	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
ROS	—	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		271	—	—	263	60	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	SD	—	90	80	15	1	1	2	9	17	0	2	0	188	273	300	573	112	206	19	10	268	64	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
TOT	—	ROK	SD	—	158	141	28	3	2	3	15	34	0	3	0	199	276	312	588	113	236	22	9	269	64	-6	+1	+0	-3	+4	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	0%	160	144	31	4	2	3	14	41	1	2	0	215	289	333	623	118	279	26	9	278	71	-5	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	SD	0%	306	275	60	9	4	5	26	77	2	4	1	218	290	335	625	116	280	25	8	282	74	-9	+0	+0	-5	+9	-0.5
2027	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	271	66	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	SD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	275	68	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	534	481	104	15	7	9	46	135	3	7	1	216	289	333	621	116	279	25	9	279	72	-17	+1	+0	-10	+15	-1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	127	18	9	11	56	164	4	9	1	217	290	335	625	118	280	25	9	279	72	-21	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	624	10	7	218	286	330	-8	+0	-0.8	-0.4
	/162	664	11	8	218	286	330	-8.3	+0.0	-0.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822238 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	199/276/312	113	236	3	3	22%	9%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Dwanya Williams-Sutton 2021 · A	24	41	41→45	50	45	190/309/282	92	303	8	10	35%	10%	72	-0.2	207/308/334	127	335	14	13	39%	9%	85	+0.7	165/295/298	133	275	17	18	41%	11%	70	-0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Wagner Lagrange 2021 · A	25	44→43	41→45	49→40	40	214/257/316	102	281	7	5	26%	5%	55	-1.4	222/265/338	116	285	12	7	26%	5%	65	-0.7	218/256/333	115	272	14	5	25%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	66	-0.6	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	76	+0.1	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Devlin Granberg 2021 · A	25	45→44	40→45	46→45	42	215/280/307	92	291	7	6	27%	6%	64	-0.8	239/298/388	149	291	16	8	23%	5%	92	+1.2	243/303/402	159	290	18	8	22%	5%	94	+0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→50	48→30	43	190/254/280	90	264	9	6	30%	7%	46	-2.0	212/278/349	137	295	17	3	32%	8%	74	-0.1	203/274/342	139	279	18	1	32%	9%	67	-0.3
✕Huascar Fuentes 2017 · A	25	42	41→50	49→45	39	203/271/309	106	277	8	7	28%	5%	61	-1.0	201/257/280	79	289	4	6	30%	5%	47	-1.9	174/223/233	60	252	0	2	29%	3%	17	-1.0
✕Sean Jamieson 2014 · A	25	42→43	43→45	50	42	207/270/323	116	273	10	12	27%	6%	63	-0.8	226/283/329	103	310	8	9	28%	6%	70	-0.3	228/286/321	93	317	7	7	29%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕J.E. Cruz 2006 · A	25	38→48	42→45	52→45	43	192/260/290	98	265	10	12	30%	7%	51	-1.7	209/280/310	101	283	7	8	27%	8%	64	-0.8	206/280/308	102	277	6	6	26%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	41→44	42→45	49→50	45	202/264/307	105	253	9	11	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/319	108	281	9	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	214/284/342	128	275	11	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Chris Emanuele 2009 · A	25	45	41→45	49→50	43	214/281/315	100	289	7	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	216/277/320	104	301	9	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	212/269/314	102	298	10	17	31%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Zander Wiel 2018 · A	25	38→46	45→50	51→45	40	195/251/319	123	267	12	6	31%	6%	54	-1.4	212/260/363	151	288	16	6	31%	5%	70	-0.3	211/257/374	164	282	19	5	32%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Ronnie Richardson 2014 · A	24	43	41→40	47→50	45	211/275/316	105	277	8	8	26%	7%	63	-0.8	210/302/302	92	286	5	10	26%	9%	72	-0.2	196/303/283	87	270	4	10	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Ryan McCarthy 2008 · A	25	43	39→45	48→45	43	206/269/289	83	286	6	6	29%	7%	54	-1.4	220/275/329	109	291	10	7	26%	6%	67	-0.5	214/263/335	121	269	12	4	25%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Jeremy Cruz 2012 · A	25	44→42	41→45	45	39	215/258/314	99	290	8	7	28%	5%	56	-1.3	222/267/342	120	305	12	7	30%	5%	67	-0.5	232/263/401	169	316	20	0	33%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Kevin Heller 2015 · AA	25	42→45	41→45	49→50	41	199/277/296	97	295	8	11	33%	7%	60	-1.0	215/292/327	112	323	10	11	34%	7%	75	-0.0	213/294/326	113	325	12	12	35%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Jason Leblebijian 2016 · A	25	38→46	41→45	47→45	41	192/248/291	99	260	9	9	29%	6%	46	-2.0	207/261/317	110	313	11	8	35%	6%	58	-1.2	204/261/313	109	314	12	7	37%	6%	54	-1.0