Player 822205 — OGILVIE

Player 822205— DSL Blue Jays Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 188 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+82

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .312 / .299

PA188

HR2

SB6

K%23

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	118	97	24	2	1	2	15	20	3	7	2	247	365	351	716	103	282	17	13	319	102	+0	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.2
YTD	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	118	86	26	3	1	2	25	14	3	7	2	302	470	430	900	128	329	12	21	401	165	+9	+1	+0	-2	+3	1.1
ROS	—	ROK	—	0%	188	164	36	5	1	2	19	43	3	6	1	220	312	299	611	79	288	23	10	292	82	-4	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	—	—	118	98	24	2	1	2	15	20	3	7	2	245	365	347	712	102	278	17	13	319	102	+0	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.2
TOT	—	ROK	—	—	306	261	60	7	2	4	34	63	6	13	3	230	332	318	650	88	283	21	11	303	90	-4	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	309	271	62	9	2	5	31	71	4	8	2	229	317	332	649	103	289	23	10	296	85	-5	+1	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	404	355	82	12	3	7	41	92	5	11	2	231	319	341	660	110	289	23	10	299	87	-6	+1	+0	-7	+11	-0.0
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	468	412	94	14	3	8	47	107	6	13	3	228	316	335	651	107	289	23	10	301	88	-6	+1	+0	-8	+13	0.0
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	511	448	104	15	3	10	51	116	7	14	3	232	320	346	666	114	289	23	10	302	90	-6	+2	+0	-9	+14	0.1
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	542	476	110	16	4	10	54	123	7	15	3	231	318	345	663	113	289	23	10	303	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.1
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	563	494	115	17	4	11	56	128	8	16	3	233	321	350	671	117	289	23	10	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2027	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	296	85	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	301	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	302	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	303	90	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	304	91	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2985	2620	603	88	20	53	299	680	40	83	17	230	318	340	658	110	289	23	10	301	88	-39	+10	+0	-53	+85	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	131	19	4	12	65	148	9	18	4	229	318	340	658	110	287	23	10	301	88	-9	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,103	55	86	232	315	342	-35	+0	2.1	2.2
	/162	664	12	18	232	315	342	-7.6	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822205 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	230/332/318	88	283	4	13	21%	11%	90	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Lyons 2010 · A	25	44→48	40→45	51→50	50	209/293/306	97	268	7	15	23%	9%	69	-0.4	198/286/274	76	275	4	12	27%	9%	59	-1.1	173/276/223	50	249	2	11	28%	10%	41	-1.4
✕Nick Podkul 2021 · A	24	43	38→50	52→50	48	205/281/287	81	278	5	14	26%	8%	59	-1.1	205/289/343	138	278	16	8	30%	9%	78	+0.2	208/303/367	159	284	21	3	32%	10%	85	+0.3
✕Quincy Hamilton 2022 · A	24	46→44	40→50	51→50	46	220/295/307	87	301	7	15	28%	8%	70	-0.3	219/300/362	143	286	16	14	28%	9%	87	+0.8	207/292/361	154	264	18	14	28%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Jimmy Herron 2021 · A	25	39→45	40→45	48→55	48	189/266/279	90	247	8	14	26%	8%	51	-1.7	208/286/327	119	270	12	18	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/289/340	128	261	15	24	24%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jeremy Rathjen 2014 · A	24	44→41	42→50	51→50	47	214/288/323	109	274	9	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	210/270/352	142	276	16	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	199/257/359	161	255	21	7	31%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Max Schuemann 2021 · A	24	44→47	39→45	49→60	42	209/273/298	89	279	5	17	26%	6%	58	-1.2	219/305/336	117	296	11	28	28%	8%	82	+0.5	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→46	38→40	50	46	232/292/315	82	298	5	14	23%	7%	70	-0.3	229/297/301	72	307	4	12	25%	8%	69	-0.4	236/315/281	45	322	2	12	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Matt Rudick 2022 · A	24	45→44	39→45	56→50	49	215/284/308	92	270	6	11	22%	8%	66	-0.6	212/297/327	115	264	10	14	22%	9%	77	+0.1	206/302/338	132	254	15	16	24%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	50→47	39→40	54→55	47	236/300/319	83	304	6	15	23%	8%	74	-0.1	220/304/299	79	290	6	18	24%	10%	72	-0.2	210/305/287	77	272	7	21	23%	11%	68	-0.4
✕Jackson Brennan 2008 · A	25	44→42	42→45	47→50	47	211/303/316	105	285	9	10	27%	8%	77	+0.1	211/299/300	89	300	7	10	29%	9%	71	-0.3	171/289/188	17	273	0	6	32%	12%	37	-0.5
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Ed Lucas 2007 · A	25	50→56	38→50	51→50	45	239/287/320	80	298	5	16	21%	6%	69	-0.4	242/295/342	100	306	8	15	22%	7%	78	+0.2	248/313/367	119	310	12	15	23%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Eli White 2019 · AA	25	49	41→50	49→60	42	230/288/337	107	320	7	12	29%	6%	74	-0.1	213/280/330	117	302	11	13	31%	7%	70	-0.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Marty Gantt 2015 · A	25	46→45	40→45	51→50	42	218/282/319	100	311	7	11	30%	7%	67	-0.5	220/289/331	111	296	9	11	27%	8%	73	-0.1	208/283/321	112	268	11	12	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	47→53	40→45	54→50	50	222/301/315	92	294	6	18	25%	10%	74	-0.1	232/313/341	109	298	10	12	24%	10%	86	+0.8	230/312/334	104	293	10	11	23%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→53	38→40	52→55	47	224/295/304	81	307	5	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	225/290/308	83	316	7	11	29%	8%	67	-0.5	221/282/297	76	309	7	9	29%	7%	60	-0.8
●Joey Rickard 2014 · A	23	45→55	40→45	52→55	46	214/290/315	100	287	7	16	26%	8%	70	-0.3	239/313/330	91	307	5	16	22%	8%	83	+0.6	256/331/345	88	322	4	17	20%	9%	92	+0.7