Player 822205 — OGILVIE

Player 8222051B DSL Blue Jays Red

Age — —/— ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 138 proj PA

wRC+71

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .300 / .286

PA138

HR1

K%27

BB%10

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE70

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	—	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	152	45	5	1	2	41	30	4	14	3	296	455	382	836	86	350	15	20	384	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	165	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	200	333	248	582	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	165	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	200	333	248	582	48	246	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	—	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	152	45	5	1	2	41	30	4	14	3	296	455	382	836	86	350	15	20	384	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	166	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	199	333	247	580	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	25	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Red	—	201	166	33	3	1	1	29	37	4	14	3	199	333	247	580	48	238	18	14	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	251	221	48	7	2	2	25	67	3	5	1	215	302	288	590	73	295	27	10	273	71	-9	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	—	0%	196	173	37	5	1	2	19	52	2	4	1	217	303	296	600	79	295	27	10	277	73	-6	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	—	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	303	296	600	79	295	—	—	277	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	535	459	97	12	3	4	62	126	8	21	5	211	316	277	592	65	278	24	12	274	72	-11	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	558	119	15	4	5	75	153	10	26	6	213	317	281	599	68	281	24	12	274	72	-21	+1	+0	-12	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Travis Jankowskilast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,718 PA	2.6	1,718	11	100	238	321	309	-9	+11	2.1	2.5
/162	664	4	39	-3.6	+4.2	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	334	3	7	218	300	294	-5	+0	-0.4	-0.2
/162	664	6	14	-9.1	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 822205 (OGILVIE)	25	58	31	55	70	214/300/286	72	295	1	3	27%	10%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andy Simunic 2011 · A	25	50→56	36→30	52→50	48	230/299/295	65	312	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.7	231/285/296	65	310	4	14	25%	7%	66	-1.1	252/294/288	36	321	2	17	21%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Daniel Figueroa 2008 · A	25	51→52	35→30	54→55	49	232/311/292	60	317	2	20	25%	9%	76	-0.4	228/313/289	61	316	3	20	26%	9%	76	-0.4	225/317/276	51	310	2	21	25%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Cutter Dykstra 2014 · A	25	48→57	38→40	52→55	47	228/296/310	82	305	5	16	26%	8%	74	-0.5	231/295/312	81	319	6	11	27%	8%	74	-0.6	227/289/301	74	313	6	9	28%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Maikol Gonzalez 2011 · A	25	51→55	37→40	53→60	47	236/295/318	82	304	2	17	22%	7%	75	-0.5	219/288/301	82	306	4	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	252/320/300	48	300	1	35	15%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Nick Liles 2012 · A	25	54→62	36→30	52→50	44	255/288/326	71	299	2	13	16%	4%	73	-0.6	238/284/304	66	293	3	10	19%	6%	67	-1.1	248/296/280	32	305	0	9	18%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Bryan Pritz 2006 · A	24	53→56	36→40	51→50	50	249/313/319	71	307	4	15	19%	8%	82	-0.0	231/279/317	86	279	5	10	18%	6%	68	-1.0	228/272/314	87	271	6	8	18%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Ryan Bear 2006 · A	25	53→56	37→40	53→45	46	250/304/329	79	310	4	15	20%	6%	81	-0.1	226/282/317	91	284	8	7	22%	7%	70	-0.8	216/274/306	89	269	9	3	22%	7%	62	-1.1
✕Anthony Granato 2006 · A	25	49→50	39→40	53→55	50	230/306/315	86	310	5	17	26%	10%	79	-0.2	219/298/312	93	307	7	17	28%	9%	76	-0.4	175/283/245	70	255	5	31	30%	12%	55	-0.4
✕Yhoxian Medina 2015 · A	25	50→53	35→30	45→50	46	235/289/297	62	297	2	10	21%	6%	68	-1.0	234/282/305	71	285	4	11	18%	5%	67	-1.1	241/283/307	66	285	3	12	16%	4%	64	-0.6
✕Matt Thayer 2007 · A	25	49→45	38→40	50	46	230/290/312	82	295	5	14	23%	7%	72	-0.7	226/293/298	72	303	4	12	25%	8%	70	-0.8	231/308/275	44	315	2	12	24%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Justin Maffei 2017 · AA	25	49→50	37→40	48→50	46	227/291/302	75	299	4	11	24%	7%	70	-0.8	231/305/307	76	302	4	12	23%	8%	77	-0.3	249/347/279	29	324	0	16	20%	10%	84	+0.0
✕Stephen Wickens 2014 · A	25	48→45	37→40	51→55	50	222/299/303	80	269	4	14	18%	8%	74	-0.5	219/280/293	74	275	4	16	20%	7%	64	-1.3	222/278/280	58	278	2	20	19%	6%	58	-0.8
✕Collin Radack 2016 · A	24	50→52	37→30	48→50	42	234/301/301	68	317	4	11	26%	6%	74	-0.5	229/293/294	65	317	4	11	27%	6%	69	-0.9	235/296/255	20	331	0	11	27%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Jonny Tucker 2008 · A	25	51→55	36→40	48→55	51	238/296/307	69	276	3	14	15%	7%	73	-0.6	244/302/329	85	287	4	18	15%	7%	80	-0.2	244/304/329	85	286	3	22	15%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Julian Williams 2007 · A	24	47	36→30	49→55	48	219/304/291	72	292	3	15	24%	8%	74	-0.6	218/292/286	68	280	3	17	21%	8%	67	-1.1	214/289/258	44	269	0	23	19%	8%	57	-1.1
✕Nick Blasi 2007 · A	25	46→55	38→40	52→50	43	218/273/301	83	290	5	11	25%	6%	63	-1.4	228/277/311	83	322	7	11	29%	6%	67	-1.1	232/280/305	74	332	7	12	31%	5%	63	-0.9
✕Hunter Stovall 2022 · A	25	51→50	39→45	54→50	46	239/297/327	87	315	6	19	25%	7%	78	-0.3	235/282/335	100	295	8	15	22%	6%	74	-0.6	234/277/328	95	281	8	14	19%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Joseph Bonadonna 2011 · A	25	47	40	51→50	45	224/287/320	96	303	6	13	27%	7%	73	-0.6	200/259/285	85	283	6	15	30%	6%	55	-2.0	143/202/191	48	204	4	22	31%	5%	11	-1.6
✕Freddy Zamora 2024 · AA	25	48→52	40	52→50	46	226/294/319	93	304	7	15	27%	8%	76	-0.4	209/283/289	80	277	6	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	195/275/263	67	256	5	13	24%	8%	54	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps