Canon Reeder — OGILVIE

Canon ReederOF Bradenton Marauders

Age 24 R/R A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 171 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.173 / .270 / .242

PA171

HR1

K%32

BB%10

ISO70

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 28

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER28

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	23	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	204	157	29	5	0	0	39	61	4	10	6	185	360	217	577	32	302	30	19	286	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	19	12	2	0	0	0	5	4	2	0	2	167	474	167	640		250	21	26	356	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	23	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	204	169	25	4	0	0	27	83	4	10	6	148	280	172	452	24	274	41	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	19	14	2	0	0	0	3	6	2	0	2	143	368	143	511		198	32	16	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	183	27	4	0	0	30	89	6	10	8	148	288	169	457	22	287	40	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	223	169	31	5	0	0	44	65	6	10	8	183	370	213	583	30	298	29	20	292	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	185	27	4	0	0	30	89	6	10	8	146	288	168	455	22	268	40	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	223	185	27	4	0	0	30	89	6	10	8	146	288	168	455	22	268	40	13	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	273	239	41	7	1	2	29	87	3	5	2	175	272	244	516	70	261	32	11	244	51	-16	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	30%	230	201	35	6	1	2	24	73	3	4	1	179	275	257	532	77	263	32	10	249	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	30%	69	61	11	2	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	179	275	255	530	76	264	32	10	249	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	69	61	11	2	0	1	7	22	1	1	0	180	275	262	538	82	263	32	10	249	46	-4	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	103	19	0	9	66	207	9	9	0	179	274	259	533	80	262	32	10	249	46	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	624	533	88	15	2	3	72	217	11	17	10	165	278	218	495	53	270	35	12	237	46	-22	+1	+0	-2	+9	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	555	92	16	2	3	75	226	11	18	10	166	277	218	495	52	271	35	12	237	46	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	240	2	5	177	271	249	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	6	13	-4.0	+0.0	-2.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Canon Reeder (OGILVIE)	24	20	28	53	66	173/270/242	69	261	1	3	32%	10%	51	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Richard Nunez 2019 · A	24	39	36→30	47→55	47	182/259/252	69	257	2	9	28%	9%	47	-2.5	206/271/297	91	286	6	6	28%	8%	62	-1.4	188/264/281	93	239	9	3	24%	9%	54	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	196/259/263	67	264	5	15	26%	7%	49	-2.4	208/270/280	72	293	5	10	28%	8%	57	-1.8	193/262/233	41	282	1	4	30%	8%	41	-1.1
✕Rob Henry 2019 · A	24	42	37→40	54→55	49	196/289/273	77	284	4	18	30%	10%	64	-1.3	185/270/264	79	327	6	12	41%	8%	55	-1.9	149/243/213	64	290	6	12	46%	8%	31	-2.4
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Marcos Estevez 2018 · A	23	34	38→40	53→50	49	166/275/245	79	246	5	10	31%	10%	54	-2.0	186/278/269	83	249	5	9	25%	10%	59	-1.6	114/236/199	85	134	3	11	16%	12%	29	-0.7
✕Justin Farmer 2023 · A	24	38→32	43→40	54→55	50	183/286/289	106	286	11	20	36%	12%	68	-1.0	187/262/275	88	306	8	18	38%	9%	54	-2.0	160/223/221	61	269	5	22	40%	7%	25	-2.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Mike Martin 2016 · A	23	40	35→30	52→55	41	182/272/238	56	294	3	13	36%	8%	51	-2.3	219/275/280	61	286	3	17	23%	6%	59	-1.7	236/283/288	52	293	2	23	19%	5%	60	-0.6
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	38	36→40	51→50	37	179/247/242	63	296	3	13	38%	6%	41	-3.0	203/264/279	76	288	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	197/261/265	68	273	2	15	26%	6%	47	-1.2
✕Grant Little 2021 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	46	208/267/277	69	268	3	8	23%	7%	55	-1.9	216/296/292	76	302	5	18	28%	8%	71	-0.8	204/300/252	48	293	2	28	28%	9%	61	-0.6
✕Lucas Dunn 2023 · A	24	42→39	40	51→50	45	193/281/296	102	308	7	11	36%	9%	66	-1.1	187/264/277	90	286	8	12	34%	8%	56	-1.9	170/248/249	79	255	8	13	34%	8%	42	-1.8
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	43	184/250/264	80	271	5	13	32%	8%	47	-2.6	201/277/290	89	292	6	20	30%	9%	63	-1.4	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps